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Tuesday, 06 September 11
INDONESIAS PROPOSED COAL EXPORT BAN MAY HAVE IMPACT ON THE INDIAN POWER SECTOR - DIPESH DIPU
COALspot.com - This is a special interview about Indonesian proposed coal export ban by 2014, with Mr. Dipesh Dipu, Director of Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu, India.
The Indonesian government is currently in the process of drafting a new regulation that could ban the export of low-grade coal by January 12, 2014. This is likely to apply to coal below 5700 kcal/kg on air dried basis in value.
As of now Indonesia is producing around 150 million tons of coal with calorific value below 5700 GAD (according to chairman of Indonesian coal mining association). However by 2014, there are possibilities the total production of below 5700 GAD coal may reach more than 200 million per annum.
Will Indonesian coal export ban impact on the Indian fuel requirements?
The earlier grade of coal that was being considered for proposed ban has GCV of 5100 kcal/kg of less (adb), which can be comparable to 3800-4200 kcal/kg (arb) domestic coal available in India. This grade of coal has found favor in India primarily due to likely price advantage but economics of power generation based on such grade of imported coal may be a suspect. This considering that such grades of coal from Indonesia typically have high moisture content, which makes transportation cost per unit of energy generated higher. The quantum of the low grade of coal (<5100 kcal/kg adb) procured from Indonesia is likely to remain relatively low.
However, if the new definition of low grade coal is applied (<5700 kcal/kg adb), it may be reasonable to believe that such a ban may have impact on the Indian power sector as volumes in this grade of coal are expected to rise in the proportion of coal exports to India. Several of the acquisitions made by Indian power generation companies in Indonesia have been in coal blocks that will produce coal of this grade, and a blanket ban on the exports can jeopardize power plant development in India.
On the other hand, the domestic Indonesian market may not be prepared to consume all the coal mined of this grade in view of the power generation capacity addition plans in Indonesia. In such a case, the coal mine development is likely to be deferred. The Indonesian law makers may need to reconsider domestic market demand, investment climate in coal sector and impact of the legislation on the export revenues.
What is the alternative source for Indian power industry if the proposed coal export ban come into effect by 2014?
Indian power generation companies have been forced to look out for coal assets abroad due to the investment and regulatory environment within the country. India boasts of more than 110 billion tonnes of coal reserves, which largely fall within a 300 meters of depth. If the regulatory and investment environment is amended to allow greater participation of private sector Indian dependence on imports will be reduced.
However, for imports, India will continue to look at Indonesia, South Africa, Australia and newer destinations like Mozambique and Columbia. But these sources also have constraints, domestic demands in South Africa is likely to restrict quantum jump in exports out of South Africa. Indonesia has also proposed domestic market obligations. Mozambique may have infrastructure constraints for large volumes of coal being transported from Tete province to ports of Maputo, Ncala or Beira. Australian coal is of high quality but may have higher costs of mining and transport.
What would be the additional cost if Indian consumers switch their sourcing origin from Indonesia?
Indonesia has competitive advantage due to its geographical closeness. However, on a per tonne basis, assuming comparable quality, costs of transport may make marginal difference when compared with South Africa and Mozambique.
When compared to Australian coal, due to the high quality, cost of energy may well be comparable even though shipping costs are higher. Between Indonesian coal (5500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 90 per tonne) and Australian coal (6500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 120 per tonne), indicative variable cost difference of power generation may be about Indian Rupees 0.20 to 0.30 per kWh (electricity unit) in favor of Indonesian coal.
Will it affect Indian economy growth or this coal export ban is ignorable as India can easily identify alternative sources of fuel?
The magnitude of growth in power generation in India will necessarily mean that coal will remain the mainstay. Natural gas has had issues of availability. Nuclear plant development is facing socio-political challenge in view of the risks of technology failure. Development of hydel power has also faced issues of land acquisition, rehabilitation & resettlement apart from the technical issues of hydro-geological features. Renewable sources such as solar and wind generation are still projected to constitute a small portion of India power generation mix. Identifying an alternative source that can match coal in its accessibility, availability and affordability in the context of scale of capacity addition required in India is a challenge.
What is the Indian government's role on this issue, whether government has to come out with the solution such as easing Indian mining and environment law, open up mining for foreigners, G2G arrangement, etc…?
There is a need to look at domestic sources with pro-active and constructive approach and make all necessary legal and statutory amendments that make the resources available and mineable. Easing the regulations may not be one of such measures but making those regulations work in sync with each other in a time bound and predictable manner must certainly be.
There is certainly a case for opening the domestic coal sector for private participation, including independent miners, and for foreign participation so that newer technology and enhanced scale of operations are implemented in India. The regulation also needs to permit risk capital to come in for prospecting and exploration.
For imports the G2G relations can be leveraged to secure coal assets. India has good relationship with Indonesia and has also signed a tax treaty with Mozambique in 2010 which will facilitate investments. Government may also engage with these countries to ease exports to India and extend fiscal support to coal mining companies investing in mining and associated infrastructure development.
About Dipesh Dipu
Dipesh Dipu works as Director with Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu India Pvt. Ltd in the Energy and Resources consulting practice of the firm and anchors the Firm’s initiative in the mining and metals sectors.
He is a mining engineering graduate from Indian School of Mines and is a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA). He has also done executive program in business management from Indian Institute of Management Calcutta. Dipesh has recently been awarded the Abheraj Baldota Gold Medal for the Young Mining Engineer of the Year 2007 by the Mining Engineers’ Association of India in recognition of his contributions in the improvement of mining industry in India.
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Friday, 10 April 15
US COAL PRODUCTION FELL 4.7% W-O-W : EIA
COALspot.com – United States the second largest coal producer in the world has produced approximately totaled an estimated 17.4 million short ...
Friday, 10 April 15
DRY BULK MARKET'S DOWNFALL ALSO OFFER INVESTMENT BARGAINS - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
Dry bulk market rates have fallen to historical lows over the past few weeks, with no clear path of recovery, at least in the near term. As such, m ...
Thursday, 09 April 15
CAPESIZE: RATES ARE STILL DISAPPOINTING - FEARNLEYS
Handy
The handy market had a stronger sentiment before the Easter holidays, but have as the bigger panamaxes seen a softening tendency this week. ...
Wednesday, 08 April 15
DRY BULK MARKET SEEMS UNABLE TO CATCH A BREAK - INTERMODAL
COALspot.com: The Dry Bulk market seems unable to catch a break these days.
According to Intermodal, following the market stabilization that p ...
Wednesday, 08 April 15
CHINA BURNS HALF OF THE WORLD'S COAL - CHRISTOPHER T. WHITTY
Intermodal Weekly Market Update
China is the world's largest consumer of coal, using more coal each year than the United States, the Europ ...
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- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Australian Coal Association
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- PTC India Limited - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- The University of Queensland
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
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