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Tuesday, 06 September 11
INDONESIAS PROPOSED COAL EXPORT BAN MAY HAVE IMPACT ON THE INDIAN POWER SECTOR - DIPESH DIPU
COALspot.com - This is a special interview about Indonesian proposed coal export ban by 2014, with Mr. Dipesh Dipu, Director of Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu, India.
The Indonesian government is currently in the process of drafting a new regulation that could ban the export of low-grade coal by January 12, 2014. This is likely to apply to coal below 5700 kcal/kg on air dried basis in value.
As of now Indonesia is producing around 150 million tons of coal with calorific value below 5700 GAD (according to chairman of Indonesian coal mining association). However by 2014, there are possibilities the total production of below 5700 GAD coal may reach more than 200 million per annum.
Will Indonesian coal export ban impact on the Indian fuel requirements?
The earlier grade of coal that was being considered for proposed ban has GCV of 5100 kcal/kg of less (adb), which can be comparable to 3800-4200 kcal/kg (arb) domestic coal available in India. This grade of coal has found favor in India primarily due to likely price advantage but economics of power generation based on such grade of imported coal may be a suspect. This considering that such grades of coal from Indonesia typically have high moisture content, which makes transportation cost per unit of energy generated higher. The quantum of the low grade of coal (<5100 kcal/kg adb) procured from Indonesia is likely to remain relatively low.
However, if the new definition of low grade coal is applied (<5700 kcal/kg adb), it may be reasonable to believe that such a ban may have impact on the Indian power sector as volumes in this grade of coal are expected to rise in the proportion of coal exports to India. Several of the acquisitions made by Indian power generation companies in Indonesia have been in coal blocks that will produce coal of this grade, and a blanket ban on the exports can jeopardize power plant development in India.
On the other hand, the domestic Indonesian market may not be prepared to consume all the coal mined of this grade in view of the power generation capacity addition plans in Indonesia. In such a case, the coal mine development is likely to be deferred. The Indonesian law makers may need to reconsider domestic market demand, investment climate in coal sector and impact of the legislation on the export revenues.
What is the alternative source for Indian power industry if the proposed coal export ban come into effect by 2014?
Indian power generation companies have been forced to look out for coal assets abroad due to the investment and regulatory environment within the country. India boasts of more than 110 billion tonnes of coal reserves, which largely fall within a 300 meters of depth. If the regulatory and investment environment is amended to allow greater participation of private sector Indian dependence on imports will be reduced.
However, for imports, India will continue to look at Indonesia, South Africa, Australia and newer destinations like Mozambique and Columbia. But these sources also have constraints, domestic demands in South Africa is likely to restrict quantum jump in exports out of South Africa. Indonesia has also proposed domestic market obligations. Mozambique may have infrastructure constraints for large volumes of coal being transported from Tete province to ports of Maputo, Ncala or Beira. Australian coal is of high quality but may have higher costs of mining and transport.
What would be the additional cost if Indian consumers switch their sourcing origin from Indonesia?
Indonesia has competitive advantage due to its geographical closeness. However, on a per tonne basis, assuming comparable quality, costs of transport may make marginal difference when compared with South Africa and Mozambique.
When compared to Australian coal, due to the high quality, cost of energy may well be comparable even though shipping costs are higher. Between Indonesian coal (5500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 90 per tonne) and Australian coal (6500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 120 per tonne), indicative variable cost difference of power generation may be about Indian Rupees 0.20 to 0.30 per kWh (electricity unit) in favor of Indonesian coal.
Will it affect Indian economy growth or this coal export ban is ignorable as India can easily identify alternative sources of fuel?
The magnitude of growth in power generation in India will necessarily mean that coal will remain the mainstay. Natural gas has had issues of availability. Nuclear plant development is facing socio-political challenge in view of the risks of technology failure. Development of hydel power has also faced issues of land acquisition, rehabilitation & resettlement apart from the technical issues of hydro-geological features. Renewable sources such as solar and wind generation are still projected to constitute a small portion of India power generation mix. Identifying an alternative source that can match coal in its accessibility, availability and affordability in the context of scale of capacity addition required in India is a challenge.
What is the Indian government's role on this issue, whether government has to come out with the solution such as easing Indian mining and environment law, open up mining for foreigners, G2G arrangement, etc…?
There is a need to look at domestic sources with pro-active and constructive approach and make all necessary legal and statutory amendments that make the resources available and mineable. Easing the regulations may not be one of such measures but making those regulations work in sync with each other in a time bound and predictable manner must certainly be.
There is certainly a case for opening the domestic coal sector for private participation, including independent miners, and for foreign participation so that newer technology and enhanced scale of operations are implemented in India. The regulation also needs to permit risk capital to come in for prospecting and exploration.
For imports the G2G relations can be leveraged to secure coal assets. India has good relationship with Indonesia and has also signed a tax treaty with Mozambique in 2010 which will facilitate investments. Government may also engage with these countries to ease exports to India and extend fiscal support to coal mining companies investing in mining and associated infrastructure development.
About Dipesh Dipu
Dipesh Dipu works as Director with Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu India Pvt. Ltd in the Energy and Resources consulting practice of the firm and anchors the Firm’s initiative in the mining and metals sectors.
He is a mining engineering graduate from Indian School of Mines and is a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA). He has also done executive program in business management from Indian Institute of Management Calcutta. Dipesh has recently been awarded the Abheraj Baldota Gold Medal for the Young Mining Engineer of the Year 2007 by the Mining Engineers’ Association of India in recognition of his contributions in the improvement of mining industry in India.
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Friday, 08 May 15
COAL PRODUCTION IN U.S. UP 3.2% THIS PAST WEEK - EIA
COALspot.com – United States the second largest coal producer in the world has produced approximately totaled an estimated 17.4 million short ...
Wednesday, 06 May 15
COMBINATION OF HOLIDAYS AND A SHAKY MARKET PUT ADDITIONAL PRESSURE ON RATES
COALspot.com: The combination of holidays and a shaky market is always a recipe for additional pressure on rates and last week was no exception. Wi ...
Wednesday, 06 May 15
SHIPPING MARKET INSIGHT - GEORGE ILIOPOULOS
The first four months of 2015 are now behind us and they make up for a decent amount of time to look back and assess how the year is evolving so fa ...
Tuesday, 05 May 15
MIFA BERSAUDARA UNIT OF ABM INVESTAMA STARTS OPERATING $200M COAL MINE IN ACEH
Reswara Minergi Hartama, a coal mining unit of coal miner ABM Investama known as known as Reswara, inaugurated a $200 million integrated coal minin ...
Tuesday, 05 May 15
FREIGHT DERIVATIVE VOLUMES REACHED TOTALED 14,154 CONTRACTS IN APRIL - SGX
COALspot.com: “Our unique suite of freight and bulk commodity products provides market participants with a wide range of trading strategies a ...
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- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- The University of Queensland
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Australian Coal Association
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- White Energy Company Limited
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
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