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Tuesday, 06 September 11
INDONESIAS PROPOSED COAL EXPORT BAN MAY HAVE IMPACT ON THE INDIAN POWER SECTOR - DIPESH DIPU
COALspot.com - This is a special interview about Indonesian proposed coal export ban by 2014, with Mr. Dipesh Dipu, Director of Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu, India.
The Indonesian government is currently in the process of drafting a new regulation that could ban the export of low-grade coal by January 12, 2014. This is likely to apply to coal below 5700 kcal/kg on air dried basis in value.
As of now Indonesia is producing around 150 million tons of coal with calorific value below 5700 GAD (according to chairman of Indonesian coal mining association). However by 2014, there are possibilities the total production of below 5700 GAD coal may reach more than 200 million per annum.
Will Indonesian coal export ban impact on the Indian fuel requirements?
The earlier grade of coal that was being considered for proposed ban has GCV of 5100 kcal/kg of less (adb), which can be comparable to 3800-4200 kcal/kg (arb) domestic coal available in India. This grade of coal has found favor in India primarily due to likely price advantage but economics of power generation based on such grade of imported coal may be a suspect. This considering that such grades of coal from Indonesia typically have high moisture content, which makes transportation cost per unit of energy generated higher. The quantum of the low grade of coal (<5100 kcal/kg adb) procured from Indonesia is likely to remain relatively low.
However, if the new definition of low grade coal is applied (<5700 kcal/kg adb), it may be reasonable to believe that such a ban may have impact on the Indian power sector as volumes in this grade of coal are expected to rise in the proportion of coal exports to India. Several of the acquisitions made by Indian power generation companies in Indonesia have been in coal blocks that will produce coal of this grade, and a blanket ban on the exports can jeopardize power plant development in India.
On the other hand, the domestic Indonesian market may not be prepared to consume all the coal mined of this grade in view of the power generation capacity addition plans in Indonesia. In such a case, the coal mine development is likely to be deferred. The Indonesian law makers may need to reconsider domestic market demand, investment climate in coal sector and impact of the legislation on the export revenues.
What is the alternative source for Indian power industry if the proposed coal export ban come into effect by 2014?
Indian power generation companies have been forced to look out for coal assets abroad due to the investment and regulatory environment within the country. India boasts of more than 110 billion tonnes of coal reserves, which largely fall within a 300 meters of depth. If the regulatory and investment environment is amended to allow greater participation of private sector Indian dependence on imports will be reduced.
However, for imports, India will continue to look at Indonesia, South Africa, Australia and newer destinations like Mozambique and Columbia. But these sources also have constraints, domestic demands in South Africa is likely to restrict quantum jump in exports out of South Africa. Indonesia has also proposed domestic market obligations. Mozambique may have infrastructure constraints for large volumes of coal being transported from Tete province to ports of Maputo, Ncala or Beira. Australian coal is of high quality but may have higher costs of mining and transport.
What would be the additional cost if Indian consumers switch their sourcing origin from Indonesia?
Indonesia has competitive advantage due to its geographical closeness. However, on a per tonne basis, assuming comparable quality, costs of transport may make marginal difference when compared with South Africa and Mozambique.
When compared to Australian coal, due to the high quality, cost of energy may well be comparable even though shipping costs are higher. Between Indonesian coal (5500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 90 per tonne) and Australian coal (6500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 120 per tonne), indicative variable cost difference of power generation may be about Indian Rupees 0.20 to 0.30 per kWh (electricity unit) in favor of Indonesian coal.
Will it affect Indian economy growth or this coal export ban is ignorable as India can easily identify alternative sources of fuel?
The magnitude of growth in power generation in India will necessarily mean that coal will remain the mainstay. Natural gas has had issues of availability. Nuclear plant development is facing socio-political challenge in view of the risks of technology failure. Development of hydel power has also faced issues of land acquisition, rehabilitation & resettlement apart from the technical issues of hydro-geological features. Renewable sources such as solar and wind generation are still projected to constitute a small portion of India power generation mix. Identifying an alternative source that can match coal in its accessibility, availability and affordability in the context of scale of capacity addition required in India is a challenge.
What is the Indian government's role on this issue, whether government has to come out with the solution such as easing Indian mining and environment law, open up mining for foreigners, G2G arrangement, etc…?
There is a need to look at domestic sources with pro-active and constructive approach and make all necessary legal and statutory amendments that make the resources available and mineable. Easing the regulations may not be one of such measures but making those regulations work in sync with each other in a time bound and predictable manner must certainly be.
There is certainly a case for opening the domestic coal sector for private participation, including independent miners, and for foreign participation so that newer technology and enhanced scale of operations are implemented in India. The regulation also needs to permit risk capital to come in for prospecting and exploration.
For imports the G2G relations can be leveraged to secure coal assets. India has good relationship with Indonesia and has also signed a tax treaty with Mozambique in 2010 which will facilitate investments. Government may also engage with these countries to ease exports to India and extend fiscal support to coal mining companies investing in mining and associated infrastructure development.
About Dipesh Dipu
Dipesh Dipu works as Director with Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu India Pvt. Ltd in the Energy and Resources consulting practice of the firm and anchors the Firm’s initiative in the mining and metals sectors.
He is a mining engineering graduate from Indian School of Mines and is a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA). He has also done executive program in business management from Indian Institute of Management Calcutta. Dipesh has recently been awarded the Abheraj Baldota Gold Medal for the Young Mining Engineer of the Year 2007 by the Mining Engineers’ Association of India in recognition of his contributions in the improvement of mining industry in India.
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Thursday, 17 September 15
LOW DEMAND PUSH COAL SWAP DOWN
COALspot.com: Indonesian coal swap for delivery 4Q 2015 declined month on month and gain week over week.
The 4Q swap declined $ 1.77 (-4.17%) ...
Thursday, 17 September 15
MARKET INSIGHT - KONSTANTINOS KONTOMICHIS
Having experienced, as it was much anticipated, a poor 1st half combined with negative forecasts, summer, in sharp contrast, proved to be more hope ...
Wednesday, 16 September 15
SLOWER GROWTH IN WORLD COAL DEMAND AND LOWER INTERNATIONAL COAL PRICES LED A DECLINE IN INDONESIAN COAL PRODUCTION
COALspot.com: Slower growth in world coal demand particularly China and lower international coal prices have led to a decline in Indonesian coal pr ...
Wednesday, 16 September 15
HIGHER TAXES COULD LEAD GREEK SHIP OWNERS OUT OF THE COUNTRY - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
A potential taxation overhaul of the shipping industry in Hellas, which could see the loss of particular tax benefits for ship owners, could lead t ...
Tuesday, 15 September 15
WORLD SEABORNE TRADE: ENTERING INTO A ROLE REVERSAL? - CLARKSONS
Over the past decade, world seaborne trade growth has been dominated by dry bulk and container trade. However, developments in the global economy t ...
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Showing 2811 to 2815 news of total 6871 |
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- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Australian Coal Association
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- White Energy Company Limited
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- PTC India Limited - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Planning Commission, India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- The University of Queensland
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
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