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Tuesday, 06 September 11
INDONESIAS PROPOSED COAL EXPORT BAN MAY HAVE IMPACT ON THE INDIAN POWER SECTOR - DIPESH DIPU
COALspot.com - This is a special interview about Indonesian proposed coal export ban by 2014, with Mr. Dipesh Dipu, Director of Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu, India.
The Indonesian government is currently in the process of drafting a new regulation that could ban the export of low-grade coal by January 12, 2014. This is likely to apply to coal below 5700 kcal/kg on air dried basis in value.
As of now Indonesia is producing around 150 million tons of coal with calorific value below 5700 GAD (according to chairman of Indonesian coal mining association). However by 2014, there are possibilities the total production of below 5700 GAD coal may reach more than 200 million per annum.
Will Indonesian coal export ban impact on the Indian fuel requirements?
The earlier grade of coal that was being considered for proposed ban has GCV of 5100 kcal/kg of less (adb), which can be comparable to 3800-4200 kcal/kg (arb) domestic coal available in India. This grade of coal has found favor in India primarily due to likely price advantage but economics of power generation based on such grade of imported coal may be a suspect. This considering that such grades of coal from Indonesia typically have high moisture content, which makes transportation cost per unit of energy generated higher. The quantum of the low grade of coal (<5100 kcal/kg adb) procured from Indonesia is likely to remain relatively low.
However, if the new definition of low grade coal is applied (<5700 kcal/kg adb), it may be reasonable to believe that such a ban may have impact on the Indian power sector as volumes in this grade of coal are expected to rise in the proportion of coal exports to India. Several of the acquisitions made by Indian power generation companies in Indonesia have been in coal blocks that will produce coal of this grade, and a blanket ban on the exports can jeopardize power plant development in India.
On the other hand, the domestic Indonesian market may not be prepared to consume all the coal mined of this grade in view of the power generation capacity addition plans in Indonesia. In such a case, the coal mine development is likely to be deferred. The Indonesian law makers may need to reconsider domestic market demand, investment climate in coal sector and impact of the legislation on the export revenues.
What is the alternative source for Indian power industry if the proposed coal export ban come into effect by 2014?
Indian power generation companies have been forced to look out for coal assets abroad due to the investment and regulatory environment within the country. India boasts of more than 110 billion tonnes of coal reserves, which largely fall within a 300 meters of depth. If the regulatory and investment environment is amended to allow greater participation of private sector Indian dependence on imports will be reduced.
However, for imports, India will continue to look at Indonesia, South Africa, Australia and newer destinations like Mozambique and Columbia. But these sources also have constraints, domestic demands in South Africa is likely to restrict quantum jump in exports out of South Africa. Indonesia has also proposed domestic market obligations. Mozambique may have infrastructure constraints for large volumes of coal being transported from Tete province to ports of Maputo, Ncala or Beira. Australian coal is of high quality but may have higher costs of mining and transport.
What would be the additional cost if Indian consumers switch their sourcing origin from Indonesia?
Indonesia has competitive advantage due to its geographical closeness. However, on a per tonne basis, assuming comparable quality, costs of transport may make marginal difference when compared with South Africa and Mozambique.
When compared to Australian coal, due to the high quality, cost of energy may well be comparable even though shipping costs are higher. Between Indonesian coal (5500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 90 per tonne) and Australian coal (6500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 120 per tonne), indicative variable cost difference of power generation may be about Indian Rupees 0.20 to 0.30 per kWh (electricity unit) in favor of Indonesian coal.
Will it affect Indian economy growth or this coal export ban is ignorable as India can easily identify alternative sources of fuel?
The magnitude of growth in power generation in India will necessarily mean that coal will remain the mainstay. Natural gas has had issues of availability. Nuclear plant development is facing socio-political challenge in view of the risks of technology failure. Development of hydel power has also faced issues of land acquisition, rehabilitation & resettlement apart from the technical issues of hydro-geological features. Renewable sources such as solar and wind generation are still projected to constitute a small portion of India power generation mix. Identifying an alternative source that can match coal in its accessibility, availability and affordability in the context of scale of capacity addition required in India is a challenge.
What is the Indian government's role on this issue, whether government has to come out with the solution such as easing Indian mining and environment law, open up mining for foreigners, G2G arrangement, etc…?
There is a need to look at domestic sources with pro-active and constructive approach and make all necessary legal and statutory amendments that make the resources available and mineable. Easing the regulations may not be one of such measures but making those regulations work in sync with each other in a time bound and predictable manner must certainly be.
There is certainly a case for opening the domestic coal sector for private participation, including independent miners, and for foreign participation so that newer technology and enhanced scale of operations are implemented in India. The regulation also needs to permit risk capital to come in for prospecting and exploration.
For imports the G2G relations can be leveraged to secure coal assets. India has good relationship with Indonesia and has also signed a tax treaty with Mozambique in 2010 which will facilitate investments. Government may also engage with these countries to ease exports to India and extend fiscal support to coal mining companies investing in mining and associated infrastructure development.
About Dipesh Dipu
Dipesh Dipu works as Director with Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu India Pvt. Ltd in the Energy and Resources consulting practice of the firm and anchors the Firm’s initiative in the mining and metals sectors.
He is a mining engineering graduate from Indian School of Mines and is a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA). He has also done executive program in business management from Indian Institute of Management Calcutta. Dipesh has recently been awarded the Abheraj Baldota Gold Medal for the Young Mining Engineer of the Year 2007 by the Mining Engineers’ Association of India in recognition of his contributions in the improvement of mining industry in India.
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Sunday, 18 October 15
THE BDI AND OTHER INDICES CLOSED OFF ON NEGATIVE NOTE THIS FRIDAY
COALspot.com: The BDI closed off on negative note this Friday compared to previous Friday's closing.
The BDI closed this Friday (16 Octobe ...
Friday, 16 October 15
MAJOR REVISION OF NYPE TIME CHAPTER PARTY - BIMCO
Major revision of NYPE time charter party promises to be both balanced and comprehensive
BIMCO has today jointly issued the first revision of ...
Friday, 16 October 15
FOB INDONESIA COAL SWAP FOR Q4'15 DELIVERY FLAT WEEK OVER WEEK; DOWN 5.5 PER CENT M-M
COALspot.com: Indonesian coal swap for delivery Q4 2015 declined month on month and flat week over week.
The Q4 swap declined $ 2.23 (-5.51%) ...
Friday, 16 October 15
COAL PRODUCTION IN THE UNITED STATES DECREASED THIS WEEK; DOWN 11.3 PER CENT Y-Y, DOWN 3.5 PERCENT W-W
COALspot.com – United States the world’s second largest coal producer has produced approximately totaled an estimated 17.1 million shor ...
Friday, 16 October 15
INDONESIA REJOINING OPEC DESPITE BEING A NET IMPORTER OF PETROLEUM - EIA
The Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) notified Indonesia that it plans to accept the country's request to reactivate its ...
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- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Minerals Council of Australia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- The University of Queensland
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- PTC India Limited - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
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