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Tuesday, 06 September 11
INDONESIAS PROPOSED COAL EXPORT BAN MAY HAVE IMPACT ON THE INDIAN POWER SECTOR - DIPESH DIPU
COALspot.com - This is a special interview about Indonesian proposed coal export ban by 2014, with Mr. Dipesh Dipu, Director of Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu, India.
The Indonesian government is currently in the process of drafting a new regulation that could ban the export of low-grade coal by January 12, 2014. This is likely to apply to coal below 5700 kcal/kg on air dried basis in value.
As of now Indonesia is producing around 150 million tons of coal with calorific value below 5700 GAD (according to chairman of Indonesian coal mining association). However by 2014, there are possibilities the total production of below 5700 GAD coal may reach more than 200 million per annum.
Will Indonesian coal export ban impact on the Indian fuel requirements?
The earlier grade of coal that was being considered for proposed ban has GCV of 5100 kcal/kg of less (adb), which can be comparable to 3800-4200 kcal/kg (arb) domestic coal available in India. This grade of coal has found favor in India primarily due to likely price advantage but economics of power generation based on such grade of imported coal may be a suspect. This considering that such grades of coal from Indonesia typically have high moisture content, which makes transportation cost per unit of energy generated higher. The quantum of the low grade of coal (<5100 kcal/kg adb) procured from Indonesia is likely to remain relatively low.
However, if the new definition of low grade coal is applied (<5700 kcal/kg adb), it may be reasonable to believe that such a ban may have impact on the Indian power sector as volumes in this grade of coal are expected to rise in the proportion of coal exports to India. Several of the acquisitions made by Indian power generation companies in Indonesia have been in coal blocks that will produce coal of this grade, and a blanket ban on the exports can jeopardize power plant development in India.
On the other hand, the domestic Indonesian market may not be prepared to consume all the coal mined of this grade in view of the power generation capacity addition plans in Indonesia. In such a case, the coal mine development is likely to be deferred. The Indonesian law makers may need to reconsider domestic market demand, investment climate in coal sector and impact of the legislation on the export revenues.
What is the alternative source for Indian power industry if the proposed coal export ban come into effect by 2014?
Indian power generation companies have been forced to look out for coal assets abroad due to the investment and regulatory environment within the country. India boasts of more than 110 billion tonnes of coal reserves, which largely fall within a 300 meters of depth. If the regulatory and investment environment is amended to allow greater participation of private sector Indian dependence on imports will be reduced.
However, for imports, India will continue to look at Indonesia, South Africa, Australia and newer destinations like Mozambique and Columbia. But these sources also have constraints, domestic demands in South Africa is likely to restrict quantum jump in exports out of South Africa. Indonesia has also proposed domestic market obligations. Mozambique may have infrastructure constraints for large volumes of coal being transported from Tete province to ports of Maputo, Ncala or Beira. Australian coal is of high quality but may have higher costs of mining and transport.
What would be the additional cost if Indian consumers switch their sourcing origin from Indonesia?
Indonesia has competitive advantage due to its geographical closeness. However, on a per tonne basis, assuming comparable quality, costs of transport may make marginal difference when compared with South Africa and Mozambique.
When compared to Australian coal, due to the high quality, cost of energy may well be comparable even though shipping costs are higher. Between Indonesian coal (5500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 90 per tonne) and Australian coal (6500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 120 per tonne), indicative variable cost difference of power generation may be about Indian Rupees 0.20 to 0.30 per kWh (electricity unit) in favor of Indonesian coal.
Will it affect Indian economy growth or this coal export ban is ignorable as India can easily identify alternative sources of fuel?
The magnitude of growth in power generation in India will necessarily mean that coal will remain the mainstay. Natural gas has had issues of availability. Nuclear plant development is facing socio-political challenge in view of the risks of technology failure. Development of hydel power has also faced issues of land acquisition, rehabilitation & resettlement apart from the technical issues of hydro-geological features. Renewable sources such as solar and wind generation are still projected to constitute a small portion of India power generation mix. Identifying an alternative source that can match coal in its accessibility, availability and affordability in the context of scale of capacity addition required in India is a challenge.
What is the Indian government's role on this issue, whether government has to come out with the solution such as easing Indian mining and environment law, open up mining for foreigners, G2G arrangement, etc…?
There is a need to look at domestic sources with pro-active and constructive approach and make all necessary legal and statutory amendments that make the resources available and mineable. Easing the regulations may not be one of such measures but making those regulations work in sync with each other in a time bound and predictable manner must certainly be.
There is certainly a case for opening the domestic coal sector for private participation, including independent miners, and for foreign participation so that newer technology and enhanced scale of operations are implemented in India. The regulation also needs to permit risk capital to come in for prospecting and exploration.
For imports the G2G relations can be leveraged to secure coal assets. India has good relationship with Indonesia and has also signed a tax treaty with Mozambique in 2010 which will facilitate investments. Government may also engage with these countries to ease exports to India and extend fiscal support to coal mining companies investing in mining and associated infrastructure development.
About Dipesh Dipu
Dipesh Dipu works as Director with Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu India Pvt. Ltd in the Energy and Resources consulting practice of the firm and anchors the Firm’s initiative in the mining and metals sectors.
He is a mining engineering graduate from Indian School of Mines and is a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA). He has also done executive program in business management from Indian Institute of Management Calcutta. Dipesh has recently been awarded the Abheraj Baldota Gold Medal for the Young Mining Engineer of the Year 2007 by the Mining Engineers’ Association of India in recognition of his contributions in the improvement of mining industry in India.
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Friday, 18 December 15
WHEN IS A MASTER ENTITLED TO REFUSE DAMAGED CARGO? A REMINDER - THE STANDARD CLUB
KNOWLEDGE TO ELEVATE
A master’s authority to clause bills of lading issued by or on his behalf can sometimes become the cause of disagreeme ...
Friday, 18 December 15
CHINA GROWTH SHOCK TO HIT ENERGY, SHIPPING, STEEL MOST - FITCH
Energy, shipping and steel would be the hardest-hit sectors in Asia-Pacific (APAC) in the event of a sharp slowdown in Chinese growth, says Fitch R ...
Friday, 18 December 15
WEEKLY U.S. COAL PRODUCTION REMAINS FLAT ACROSS ALL BASINS
COALspot.com – United States the world’s second largest coal producer has produced approximately totaled an estimated 16.1 million shor ...
Thursday, 17 December 15
THE LOW DEMAND AND EXCESS COAL OUTPUT, KEEP THE FOB INDONESIA COAL SWAPS UNDER PRESSURE
COALspot.com: Indonesian coal swap for delivery Q1 2016 rose month on month and decline slightly week over week. For the week ended December 11, 20 ...
Thursday, 17 December 15
GLADSTONE PORT COAL RECORD LOOMING, EXPORTS UP 12% - GLADSTONE OBSERVER
COAL exports from Gladstone's port have taken a leap, with more than seven million tonnes leaving the wharves in November.
That increase i ...
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- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- The University of Queensland
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Planning Commission, India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- White Energy Company Limited
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Australian Coal Association
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
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