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Tuesday, 06 September 11
INDONESIAS PROPOSED COAL EXPORT BAN MAY HAVE IMPACT ON THE INDIAN POWER SECTOR - DIPESH DIPU
COALspot.com - This is a special interview about Indonesian proposed coal export ban by 2014, with Mr. Dipesh Dipu, Director of Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu, India.
The Indonesian government is currently in the process of drafting a new regulation that could ban the export of low-grade coal by January 12, 2014. This is likely to apply to coal below 5700 kcal/kg on air dried basis in value.
As of now Indonesia is producing around 150 million tons of coal with calorific value below 5700 GAD (according to chairman of Indonesian coal mining association). However by 2014, there are possibilities the total production of below 5700 GAD coal may reach more than 200 million per annum.
Will Indonesian coal export ban impact on the Indian fuel requirements?
The earlier grade of coal that was being considered for proposed ban has GCV of 5100 kcal/kg of less (adb), which can be comparable to 3800-4200 kcal/kg (arb) domestic coal available in India. This grade of coal has found favor in India primarily due to likely price advantage but economics of power generation based on such grade of imported coal may be a suspect. This considering that such grades of coal from Indonesia typically have high moisture content, which makes transportation cost per unit of energy generated higher. The quantum of the low grade of coal (<5100 kcal/kg adb) procured from Indonesia is likely to remain relatively low.
However, if the new definition of low grade coal is applied (<5700 kcal/kg adb), it may be reasonable to believe that such a ban may have impact on the Indian power sector as volumes in this grade of coal are expected to rise in the proportion of coal exports to India. Several of the acquisitions made by Indian power generation companies in Indonesia have been in coal blocks that will produce coal of this grade, and a blanket ban on the exports can jeopardize power plant development in India.
On the other hand, the domestic Indonesian market may not be prepared to consume all the coal mined of this grade in view of the power generation capacity addition plans in Indonesia. In such a case, the coal mine development is likely to be deferred. The Indonesian law makers may need to reconsider domestic market demand, investment climate in coal sector and impact of the legislation on the export revenues.
What is the alternative source for Indian power industry if the proposed coal export ban come into effect by 2014?
Indian power generation companies have been forced to look out for coal assets abroad due to the investment and regulatory environment within the country. India boasts of more than 110 billion tonnes of coal reserves, which largely fall within a 300 meters of depth. If the regulatory and investment environment is amended to allow greater participation of private sector Indian dependence on imports will be reduced.
However, for imports, India will continue to look at Indonesia, South Africa, Australia and newer destinations like Mozambique and Columbia. But these sources also have constraints, domestic demands in South Africa is likely to restrict quantum jump in exports out of South Africa. Indonesia has also proposed domestic market obligations. Mozambique may have infrastructure constraints for large volumes of coal being transported from Tete province to ports of Maputo, Ncala or Beira. Australian coal is of high quality but may have higher costs of mining and transport.
What would be the additional cost if Indian consumers switch their sourcing origin from Indonesia?
Indonesia has competitive advantage due to its geographical closeness. However, on a per tonne basis, assuming comparable quality, costs of transport may make marginal difference when compared with South Africa and Mozambique.
When compared to Australian coal, due to the high quality, cost of energy may well be comparable even though shipping costs are higher. Between Indonesian coal (5500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 90 per tonne) and Australian coal (6500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 120 per tonne), indicative variable cost difference of power generation may be about Indian Rupees 0.20 to 0.30 per kWh (electricity unit) in favor of Indonesian coal.
Will it affect Indian economy growth or this coal export ban is ignorable as India can easily identify alternative sources of fuel?
The magnitude of growth in power generation in India will necessarily mean that coal will remain the mainstay. Natural gas has had issues of availability. Nuclear plant development is facing socio-political challenge in view of the risks of technology failure. Development of hydel power has also faced issues of land acquisition, rehabilitation & resettlement apart from the technical issues of hydro-geological features. Renewable sources such as solar and wind generation are still projected to constitute a small portion of India power generation mix. Identifying an alternative source that can match coal in its accessibility, availability and affordability in the context of scale of capacity addition required in India is a challenge.
What is the Indian government's role on this issue, whether government has to come out with the solution such as easing Indian mining and environment law, open up mining for foreigners, G2G arrangement, etc…?
There is a need to look at domestic sources with pro-active and constructive approach and make all necessary legal and statutory amendments that make the resources available and mineable. Easing the regulations may not be one of such measures but making those regulations work in sync with each other in a time bound and predictable manner must certainly be.
There is certainly a case for opening the domestic coal sector for private participation, including independent miners, and for foreign participation so that newer technology and enhanced scale of operations are implemented in India. The regulation also needs to permit risk capital to come in for prospecting and exploration.
For imports the G2G relations can be leveraged to secure coal assets. India has good relationship with Indonesia and has also signed a tax treaty with Mozambique in 2010 which will facilitate investments. Government may also engage with these countries to ease exports to India and extend fiscal support to coal mining companies investing in mining and associated infrastructure development.
About Dipesh Dipu
Dipesh Dipu works as Director with Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu India Pvt. Ltd in the Energy and Resources consulting practice of the firm and anchors the Firm’s initiative in the mining and metals sectors.
He is a mining engineering graduate from Indian School of Mines and is a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA). He has also done executive program in business management from Indian Institute of Management Calcutta. Dipesh has recently been awarded the Abheraj Baldota Gold Medal for the Young Mining Engineer of the Year 2007 by the Mining Engineers’ Association of India in recognition of his contributions in the improvement of mining industry in India.
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Sunday, 10 January 16
LNG BUNKERING IN ASIA: FUELING A PROMISING FUTURE? - REED SMITH
The requirement of a mandatory reduction of sulphur content in bunker fuel proposed by the International Maritime Organisation (IMO) poses a challe ...
Saturday, 09 January 16
BALTIC DRY INDEX SINKS 10% WEEK OVER WEEK TO AN ALL-TIME LOW OF 429 POINTS
COALspot.com: The Baltic Exchange’s main sea freight index, which tracks rates for ships carrying dry bulk commodities, decline around 10% we ...
Friday, 08 January 16
FOB INDONESIA COAL SWAP FOR DELIVERY H1'16 REMAIN FLAT AS DEMAND DROPS OFF
COALspot.com: Indonesian coal swap delivery Q1 2016 declined month on month, flat week over week. The price for coal has been in a Dull Market sinc ...
Friday, 08 January 16
FOB RICHARDS BAY COAL SWAP FOR Q2'16 DELIVERY CLOSED UP $0.13 AT $45.50 PER TON
COALspot.com: Q1’ 2016 API4 FOB Richards Bay Coal swap decline month over month and slightly up week over week.
The Q1’ 2016 FOB R ...
Friday, 08 January 16
WEEKLY US COAL PRODUCTION DECLINES 1.6% TO 11.7 MMST, SAYS EIA
COALspot.com – United States the world’s second largest coal producer has produced approximately totaled an estimated 11.7million short ...
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- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- The University of Queensland
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Australian Coal Association
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Planning Commission, India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- White Energy Company Limited
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- PTC India Limited - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
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