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Tuesday, 06 September 11
INDONESIAS PROPOSED COAL EXPORT BAN MAY HAVE IMPACT ON THE INDIAN POWER SECTOR - DIPESH DIPU
COALspot.com - This is a special interview about Indonesian proposed coal export ban by 2014, with Mr. Dipesh Dipu, Director of Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu, India.
The Indonesian government is currently in the process of drafting a new regulation that could ban the export of low-grade coal by January 12, 2014. This is likely to apply to coal below 5700 kcal/kg on air dried basis in value.
As of now Indonesia is producing around 150 million tons of coal with calorific value below 5700 GAD (according to chairman of Indonesian coal mining association). However by 2014, there are possibilities the total production of below 5700 GAD coal may reach more than 200 million per annum.
Will Indonesian coal export ban impact on the Indian fuel requirements?
The earlier grade of coal that was being considered for proposed ban has GCV of 5100 kcal/kg of less (adb), which can be comparable to 3800-4200 kcal/kg (arb) domestic coal available in India. This grade of coal has found favor in India primarily due to likely price advantage but economics of power generation based on such grade of imported coal may be a suspect. This considering that such grades of coal from Indonesia typically have high moisture content, which makes transportation cost per unit of energy generated higher. The quantum of the low grade of coal (<5100 kcal/kg adb) procured from Indonesia is likely to remain relatively low.
However, if the new definition of low grade coal is applied (<5700 kcal/kg adb), it may be reasonable to believe that such a ban may have impact on the Indian power sector as volumes in this grade of coal are expected to rise in the proportion of coal exports to India. Several of the acquisitions made by Indian power generation companies in Indonesia have been in coal blocks that will produce coal of this grade, and a blanket ban on the exports can jeopardize power plant development in India.
On the other hand, the domestic Indonesian market may not be prepared to consume all the coal mined of this grade in view of the power generation capacity addition plans in Indonesia. In such a case, the coal mine development is likely to be deferred. The Indonesian law makers may need to reconsider domestic market demand, investment climate in coal sector and impact of the legislation on the export revenues.
What is the alternative source for Indian power industry if the proposed coal export ban come into effect by 2014?
Indian power generation companies have been forced to look out for coal assets abroad due to the investment and regulatory environment within the country. India boasts of more than 110 billion tonnes of coal reserves, which largely fall within a 300 meters of depth. If the regulatory and investment environment is amended to allow greater participation of private sector Indian dependence on imports will be reduced.
However, for imports, India will continue to look at Indonesia, South Africa, Australia and newer destinations like Mozambique and Columbia. But these sources also have constraints, domestic demands in South Africa is likely to restrict quantum jump in exports out of South Africa. Indonesia has also proposed domestic market obligations. Mozambique may have infrastructure constraints for large volumes of coal being transported from Tete province to ports of Maputo, Ncala or Beira. Australian coal is of high quality but may have higher costs of mining and transport.
What would be the additional cost if Indian consumers switch their sourcing origin from Indonesia?
Indonesia has competitive advantage due to its geographical closeness. However, on a per tonne basis, assuming comparable quality, costs of transport may make marginal difference when compared with South Africa and Mozambique.
When compared to Australian coal, due to the high quality, cost of energy may well be comparable even though shipping costs are higher. Between Indonesian coal (5500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 90 per tonne) and Australian coal (6500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 120 per tonne), indicative variable cost difference of power generation may be about Indian Rupees 0.20 to 0.30 per kWh (electricity unit) in favor of Indonesian coal.
Will it affect Indian economy growth or this coal export ban is ignorable as India can easily identify alternative sources of fuel?
The magnitude of growth in power generation in India will necessarily mean that coal will remain the mainstay. Natural gas has had issues of availability. Nuclear plant development is facing socio-political challenge in view of the risks of technology failure. Development of hydel power has also faced issues of land acquisition, rehabilitation & resettlement apart from the technical issues of hydro-geological features. Renewable sources such as solar and wind generation are still projected to constitute a small portion of India power generation mix. Identifying an alternative source that can match coal in its accessibility, availability and affordability in the context of scale of capacity addition required in India is a challenge.
What is the Indian government's role on this issue, whether government has to come out with the solution such as easing Indian mining and environment law, open up mining for foreigners, G2G arrangement, etc…?
There is a need to look at domestic sources with pro-active and constructive approach and make all necessary legal and statutory amendments that make the resources available and mineable. Easing the regulations may not be one of such measures but making those regulations work in sync with each other in a time bound and predictable manner must certainly be.
There is certainly a case for opening the domestic coal sector for private participation, including independent miners, and for foreign participation so that newer technology and enhanced scale of operations are implemented in India. The regulation also needs to permit risk capital to come in for prospecting and exploration.
For imports the G2G relations can be leveraged to secure coal assets. India has good relationship with Indonesia and has also signed a tax treaty with Mozambique in 2010 which will facilitate investments. Government may also engage with these countries to ease exports to India and extend fiscal support to coal mining companies investing in mining and associated infrastructure development.
About Dipesh Dipu
Dipesh Dipu works as Director with Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu India Pvt. Ltd in the Energy and Resources consulting practice of the firm and anchors the Firm’s initiative in the mining and metals sectors.
He is a mining engineering graduate from Indian School of Mines and is a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA). He has also done executive program in business management from Indian Institute of Management Calcutta. Dipesh has recently been awarded the Abheraj Baldota Gold Medal for the Young Mining Engineer of the Year 2007 by the Mining Engineers’ Association of India in recognition of his contributions in the improvement of mining industry in India.
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Monday, 18 January 16
BALTIC DRY SHIPPING INDEX DROPS TO 373 POINTS; DECLINE 13% WEEK OVER WEEK
COALspot.com: The freight market dropped this week as the BDI declined further 13 percent to 373 points week over week. The Cape index ...
Monday, 18 January 16
Q1'16 CFR SOUTH CHINA COAL SWAP CLOSED AT $ 42.50 PER TON; UP 1% MONTH OVER MONTH
COALspot.com: API 8 CFR South China Coal swap for Q1’ 2016 delivery rose US$ 0.43 (1.02%) per ton month over month.
A commodity swap is ...
Friday, 15 January 16
FOB INDONESIA COAL SWAPS FIRM SLIGHTLY LAST WEEK
COALspot.com: Indonesian coal swap delivery Q1 2016 declined month over month and week over week.
According to AsiaClear OTC coal swap's r ...
Friday, 15 January 16
SHIPPING: 2016 STARTED WITH MISERY ACROSS THE BOARD FOR SHIP OWNERS - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
As one would have expected, the dry bulk market starter the new year where it left off in 2015, plunging to never seen before depths, as the market ...
Friday, 15 January 16
U.S. WEEKLY COAL PRODUCTION ROSE ACROSS ALL BASINS: EIA
COALspot.com – United States the world’s second largest coal producer has produced approximately totaled an estimated 13.4 million shor ...
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- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
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- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
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- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
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- Economic Council, Georgia
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- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
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- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
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- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Parliament of New Zealand
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- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
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- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Australian Coal Association
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
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- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
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- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
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