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Tuesday, 06 September 11
INDONESIAS PROPOSED COAL EXPORT BAN MAY HAVE IMPACT ON THE INDIAN POWER SECTOR - DIPESH DIPU
COALspot.com - This is a special interview about Indonesian proposed coal export ban by 2014, with Mr. Dipesh Dipu, Director of Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu, India.
The Indonesian government is currently in the process of drafting a new regulation that could ban the export of low-grade coal by January 12, 2014. This is likely to apply to coal below 5700 kcal/kg on air dried basis in value.
As of now Indonesia is producing around 150 million tons of coal with calorific value below 5700 GAD (according to chairman of Indonesian coal mining association). However by 2014, there are possibilities the total production of below 5700 GAD coal may reach more than 200 million per annum.
Will Indonesian coal export ban impact on the Indian fuel requirements?
The earlier grade of coal that was being considered for proposed ban has GCV of 5100 kcal/kg of less (adb), which can be comparable to 3800-4200 kcal/kg (arb) domestic coal available in India. This grade of coal has found favor in India primarily due to likely price advantage but economics of power generation based on such grade of imported coal may be a suspect. This considering that such grades of coal from Indonesia typically have high moisture content, which makes transportation cost per unit of energy generated higher. The quantum of the low grade of coal (<5100 kcal/kg adb) procured from Indonesia is likely to remain relatively low.
However, if the new definition of low grade coal is applied (<5700 kcal/kg adb), it may be reasonable to believe that such a ban may have impact on the Indian power sector as volumes in this grade of coal are expected to rise in the proportion of coal exports to India. Several of the acquisitions made by Indian power generation companies in Indonesia have been in coal blocks that will produce coal of this grade, and a blanket ban on the exports can jeopardize power plant development in India.
On the other hand, the domestic Indonesian market may not be prepared to consume all the coal mined of this grade in view of the power generation capacity addition plans in Indonesia. In such a case, the coal mine development is likely to be deferred. The Indonesian law makers may need to reconsider domestic market demand, investment climate in coal sector and impact of the legislation on the export revenues.
What is the alternative source for Indian power industry if the proposed coal export ban come into effect by 2014?
Indian power generation companies have been forced to look out for coal assets abroad due to the investment and regulatory environment within the country. India boasts of more than 110 billion tonnes of coal reserves, which largely fall within a 300 meters of depth. If the regulatory and investment environment is amended to allow greater participation of private sector Indian dependence on imports will be reduced.
However, for imports, India will continue to look at Indonesia, South Africa, Australia and newer destinations like Mozambique and Columbia. But these sources also have constraints, domestic demands in South Africa is likely to restrict quantum jump in exports out of South Africa. Indonesia has also proposed domestic market obligations. Mozambique may have infrastructure constraints for large volumes of coal being transported from Tete province to ports of Maputo, Ncala or Beira. Australian coal is of high quality but may have higher costs of mining and transport.
What would be the additional cost if Indian consumers switch their sourcing origin from Indonesia?
Indonesia has competitive advantage due to its geographical closeness. However, on a per tonne basis, assuming comparable quality, costs of transport may make marginal difference when compared with South Africa and Mozambique.
When compared to Australian coal, due to the high quality, cost of energy may well be comparable even though shipping costs are higher. Between Indonesian coal (5500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 90 per tonne) and Australian coal (6500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 120 per tonne), indicative variable cost difference of power generation may be about Indian Rupees 0.20 to 0.30 per kWh (electricity unit) in favor of Indonesian coal.
Will it affect Indian economy growth or this coal export ban is ignorable as India can easily identify alternative sources of fuel?
The magnitude of growth in power generation in India will necessarily mean that coal will remain the mainstay. Natural gas has had issues of availability. Nuclear plant development is facing socio-political challenge in view of the risks of technology failure. Development of hydel power has also faced issues of land acquisition, rehabilitation & resettlement apart from the technical issues of hydro-geological features. Renewable sources such as solar and wind generation are still projected to constitute a small portion of India power generation mix. Identifying an alternative source that can match coal in its accessibility, availability and affordability in the context of scale of capacity addition required in India is a challenge.
What is the Indian government's role on this issue, whether government has to come out with the solution such as easing Indian mining and environment law, open up mining for foreigners, G2G arrangement, etc…?
There is a need to look at domestic sources with pro-active and constructive approach and make all necessary legal and statutory amendments that make the resources available and mineable. Easing the regulations may not be one of such measures but making those regulations work in sync with each other in a time bound and predictable manner must certainly be.
There is certainly a case for opening the domestic coal sector for private participation, including independent miners, and for foreign participation so that newer technology and enhanced scale of operations are implemented in India. The regulation also needs to permit risk capital to come in for prospecting and exploration.
For imports the G2G relations can be leveraged to secure coal assets. India has good relationship with Indonesia and has also signed a tax treaty with Mozambique in 2010 which will facilitate investments. Government may also engage with these countries to ease exports to India and extend fiscal support to coal mining companies investing in mining and associated infrastructure development.
About Dipesh Dipu
Dipesh Dipu works as Director with Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu India Pvt. Ltd in the Energy and Resources consulting practice of the firm and anchors the Firm’s initiative in the mining and metals sectors.
He is a mining engineering graduate from Indian School of Mines and is a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA). He has also done executive program in business management from Indian Institute of Management Calcutta. Dipesh has recently been awarded the Abheraj Baldota Gold Medal for the Young Mining Engineer of the Year 2007 by the Mining Engineers’ Association of India in recognition of his contributions in the improvement of mining industry in India.
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Friday, 12 February 16
DRY BULK MARKET'S FORTUNES STILL TIED WITH CHINA'S ECONOMY - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
The inevitable slowdown of the Chinese economy was expected to hurt dry bulk shipping, but few expected the blow to be this hard, especially given ...
Friday, 12 February 16
COAL PRICES ARE EXPECTED TO DECLINE 13% IN 2016 TO $50 ATON, ON CONTINUED WEAK DEMAND AND OVERSUPPLY - WORLD BANK
COALspot.com: Thermal coal prices fell 9 percent in the fourth quarter on continued weak demand, high stocks, and surplus production, World Bank sa ...
Friday, 12 February 16
U.S. COAL PRODUCTION OFF 5.4% FROM LAST WEEK - EIA
COALspot.com – United States the world’s second largest coal producer has produced approximately totaled an estimated 12.9 million shor ...
Thursday, 11 February 16
GLOBAL NEWBUILDING ORDERBOOK IS SHRINKING ON A DAILY BASIS - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
2016 has started right where 2015 left off when it comes to newbuilding ordering activity, i.e. there are slim pickings to be had from shipyards ar ...
Wednesday, 10 February 16
SOUTH AFRICA IS HOPING TO SHIP MORE COAL TO INDIA IN 2016
COALspot.com: South Africa is hoping to boost coal exports to India after shipping a record 75.4 million tonnes of coal in 2015, industry officials ...
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- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- The University of Queensland
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Planning Commission, India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Australian Coal Association
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
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