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Tuesday, 06 September 11
INDONESIAS PROPOSED COAL EXPORT BAN MAY HAVE IMPACT ON THE INDIAN POWER SECTOR - DIPESH DIPU
COALspot.com - This is a special interview about Indonesian proposed coal export ban by 2014, with Mr. Dipesh Dipu, Director of Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu, India.
The Indonesian government is currently in the process of drafting a new regulation that could ban the export of low-grade coal by January 12, 2014. This is likely to apply to coal below 5700 kcal/kg on air dried basis in value.
As of now Indonesia is producing around 150 million tons of coal with calorific value below 5700 GAD (according to chairman of Indonesian coal mining association). However by 2014, there are possibilities the total production of below 5700 GAD coal may reach more than 200 million per annum.
Will Indonesian coal export ban impact on the Indian fuel requirements?
The earlier grade of coal that was being considered for proposed ban has GCV of 5100 kcal/kg of less (adb), which can be comparable to 3800-4200 kcal/kg (arb) domestic coal available in India. This grade of coal has found favor in India primarily due to likely price advantage but economics of power generation based on such grade of imported coal may be a suspect. This considering that such grades of coal from Indonesia typically have high moisture content, which makes transportation cost per unit of energy generated higher. The quantum of the low grade of coal (<5100 kcal/kg adb) procured from Indonesia is likely to remain relatively low.
However, if the new definition of low grade coal is applied (<5700 kcal/kg adb), it may be reasonable to believe that such a ban may have impact on the Indian power sector as volumes in this grade of coal are expected to rise in the proportion of coal exports to India. Several of the acquisitions made by Indian power generation companies in Indonesia have been in coal blocks that will produce coal of this grade, and a blanket ban on the exports can jeopardize power plant development in India.
On the other hand, the domestic Indonesian market may not be prepared to consume all the coal mined of this grade in view of the power generation capacity addition plans in Indonesia. In such a case, the coal mine development is likely to be deferred. The Indonesian law makers may need to reconsider domestic market demand, investment climate in coal sector and impact of the legislation on the export revenues.
What is the alternative source for Indian power industry if the proposed coal export ban come into effect by 2014?
Indian power generation companies have been forced to look out for coal assets abroad due to the investment and regulatory environment within the country. India boasts of more than 110 billion tonnes of coal reserves, which largely fall within a 300 meters of depth. If the regulatory and investment environment is amended to allow greater participation of private sector Indian dependence on imports will be reduced.
However, for imports, India will continue to look at Indonesia, South Africa, Australia and newer destinations like Mozambique and Columbia. But these sources also have constraints, domestic demands in South Africa is likely to restrict quantum jump in exports out of South Africa. Indonesia has also proposed domestic market obligations. Mozambique may have infrastructure constraints for large volumes of coal being transported from Tete province to ports of Maputo, Ncala or Beira. Australian coal is of high quality but may have higher costs of mining and transport.
What would be the additional cost if Indian consumers switch their sourcing origin from Indonesia?
Indonesia has competitive advantage due to its geographical closeness. However, on a per tonne basis, assuming comparable quality, costs of transport may make marginal difference when compared with South Africa and Mozambique.
When compared to Australian coal, due to the high quality, cost of energy may well be comparable even though shipping costs are higher. Between Indonesian coal (5500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 90 per tonne) and Australian coal (6500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 120 per tonne), indicative variable cost difference of power generation may be about Indian Rupees 0.20 to 0.30 per kWh (electricity unit) in favor of Indonesian coal.
Will it affect Indian economy growth or this coal export ban is ignorable as India can easily identify alternative sources of fuel?
The magnitude of growth in power generation in India will necessarily mean that coal will remain the mainstay. Natural gas has had issues of availability. Nuclear plant development is facing socio-political challenge in view of the risks of technology failure. Development of hydel power has also faced issues of land acquisition, rehabilitation & resettlement apart from the technical issues of hydro-geological features. Renewable sources such as solar and wind generation are still projected to constitute a small portion of India power generation mix. Identifying an alternative source that can match coal in its accessibility, availability and affordability in the context of scale of capacity addition required in India is a challenge.
What is the Indian government's role on this issue, whether government has to come out with the solution such as easing Indian mining and environment law, open up mining for foreigners, G2G arrangement, etc…?
There is a need to look at domestic sources with pro-active and constructive approach and make all necessary legal and statutory amendments that make the resources available and mineable. Easing the regulations may not be one of such measures but making those regulations work in sync with each other in a time bound and predictable manner must certainly be.
There is certainly a case for opening the domestic coal sector for private participation, including independent miners, and for foreign participation so that newer technology and enhanced scale of operations are implemented in India. The regulation also needs to permit risk capital to come in for prospecting and exploration.
For imports the G2G relations can be leveraged to secure coal assets. India has good relationship with Indonesia and has also signed a tax treaty with Mozambique in 2010 which will facilitate investments. Government may also engage with these countries to ease exports to India and extend fiscal support to coal mining companies investing in mining and associated infrastructure development.
About Dipesh Dipu
Dipesh Dipu works as Director with Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu India Pvt. Ltd in the Energy and Resources consulting practice of the firm and anchors the Firm’s initiative in the mining and metals sectors.
He is a mining engineering graduate from Indian School of Mines and is a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA). He has also done executive program in business management from Indian Institute of Management Calcutta. Dipesh has recently been awarded the Abheraj Baldota Gold Medal for the Young Mining Engineer of the Year 2007 by the Mining Engineers’ Association of India in recognition of his contributions in the improvement of mining industry in India.
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Wednesday, 15 June 16
THE DRY BULK PRICES CORRECTED UPWARDS ROUGHLY 15% - KONSTANTINOS KONTOMICHIS
Once more, the international shipping community turned its attention to Greece and more specifically to Attica that hosted Posidonia, the biggest m ...
Tuesday, 14 June 16
CS COAL INDICES ROSE UP FOR A THIRD STRAIGHT WEEK; 4200 GAR COAL UP 0.73%
COALspot.com: Average 5000 GAR coal index of Indonesian origin was up 0.54 percent week over week to averaging $39.37 per ton this past week, shows ...
Monday, 13 June 16
DEMAND FOR DRY BULK COMMODITIES COULD PROVIDE FUTURE BOOST FOR SHIP OWNERS - HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
When it comes to the dry bulk market, shipowners these days are looking for news in any shape or form they can find them. However, as the discussio ...
Monday, 13 June 16
ONSHORE SHALE: WORTH KEEPING IN THE SHIPPING SPOTLIGHT CLARKSONS
Generally, shipping industry watchers spend much of their time monitoring events out to sea: how fleets are evolving, trade volumes growing and fre ...
Monday, 13 June 16
PORT OF NEWCASTLE SHIPPED 5.03% MORE COAL IN MAY; AVERAGE SELLING PRICE DECLINED 2.08% FROM APRIL
COALspot.com: The Port of Newcastle, Australia’s major trading ports and the world’s largest coal export port has shipped $AU 1.162bill ...
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- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- White Energy Company Limited
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Australian Coal Association
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- The University of Queensland
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- PTC India Limited - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Planning Commission, India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
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