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Tuesday, 06 September 11
INDONESIAS PROPOSED COAL EXPORT BAN MAY HAVE IMPACT ON THE INDIAN POWER SECTOR - DIPESH DIPU
COALspot.com - This is a special interview about Indonesian proposed coal export ban by 2014, with Mr. Dipesh Dipu, Director of Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu, India.
The Indonesian government is currently in the process of drafting a new regulation that could ban the export of low-grade coal by January 12, 2014. This is likely to apply to coal below 5700 kcal/kg on air dried basis in value.
As of now Indonesia is producing around 150 million tons of coal with calorific value below 5700 GAD (according to chairman of Indonesian coal mining association). However by 2014, there are possibilities the total production of below 5700 GAD coal may reach more than 200 million per annum.
Will Indonesian coal export ban impact on the Indian fuel requirements?
The earlier grade of coal that was being considered for proposed ban has GCV of 5100 kcal/kg of less (adb), which can be comparable to 3800-4200 kcal/kg (arb) domestic coal available in India. This grade of coal has found favor in India primarily due to likely price advantage but economics of power generation based on such grade of imported coal may be a suspect. This considering that such grades of coal from Indonesia typically have high moisture content, which makes transportation cost per unit of energy generated higher. The quantum of the low grade of coal (<5100 kcal/kg adb) procured from Indonesia is likely to remain relatively low.
However, if the new definition of low grade coal is applied (<5700 kcal/kg adb), it may be reasonable to believe that such a ban may have impact on the Indian power sector as volumes in this grade of coal are expected to rise in the proportion of coal exports to India. Several of the acquisitions made by Indian power generation companies in Indonesia have been in coal blocks that will produce coal of this grade, and a blanket ban on the exports can jeopardize power plant development in India.
On the other hand, the domestic Indonesian market may not be prepared to consume all the coal mined of this grade in view of the power generation capacity addition plans in Indonesia. In such a case, the coal mine development is likely to be deferred. The Indonesian law makers may need to reconsider domestic market demand, investment climate in coal sector and impact of the legislation on the export revenues.
What is the alternative source for Indian power industry if the proposed coal export ban come into effect by 2014?
Indian power generation companies have been forced to look out for coal assets abroad due to the investment and regulatory environment within the country. India boasts of more than 110 billion tonnes of coal reserves, which largely fall within a 300 meters of depth. If the regulatory and investment environment is amended to allow greater participation of private sector Indian dependence on imports will be reduced.
However, for imports, India will continue to look at Indonesia, South Africa, Australia and newer destinations like Mozambique and Columbia. But these sources also have constraints, domestic demands in South Africa is likely to restrict quantum jump in exports out of South Africa. Indonesia has also proposed domestic market obligations. Mozambique may have infrastructure constraints for large volumes of coal being transported from Tete province to ports of Maputo, Ncala or Beira. Australian coal is of high quality but may have higher costs of mining and transport.
What would be the additional cost if Indian consumers switch their sourcing origin from Indonesia?
Indonesia has competitive advantage due to its geographical closeness. However, on a per tonne basis, assuming comparable quality, costs of transport may make marginal difference when compared with South Africa and Mozambique.
When compared to Australian coal, due to the high quality, cost of energy may well be comparable even though shipping costs are higher. Between Indonesian coal (5500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 90 per tonne) and Australian coal (6500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 120 per tonne), indicative variable cost difference of power generation may be about Indian Rupees 0.20 to 0.30 per kWh (electricity unit) in favor of Indonesian coal.
Will it affect Indian economy growth or this coal export ban is ignorable as India can easily identify alternative sources of fuel?
The magnitude of growth in power generation in India will necessarily mean that coal will remain the mainstay. Natural gas has had issues of availability. Nuclear plant development is facing socio-political challenge in view of the risks of technology failure. Development of hydel power has also faced issues of land acquisition, rehabilitation & resettlement apart from the technical issues of hydro-geological features. Renewable sources such as solar and wind generation are still projected to constitute a small portion of India power generation mix. Identifying an alternative source that can match coal in its accessibility, availability and affordability in the context of scale of capacity addition required in India is a challenge.
What is the Indian government's role on this issue, whether government has to come out with the solution such as easing Indian mining and environment law, open up mining for foreigners, G2G arrangement, etc…?
There is a need to look at domestic sources with pro-active and constructive approach and make all necessary legal and statutory amendments that make the resources available and mineable. Easing the regulations may not be one of such measures but making those regulations work in sync with each other in a time bound and predictable manner must certainly be.
There is certainly a case for opening the domestic coal sector for private participation, including independent miners, and for foreign participation so that newer technology and enhanced scale of operations are implemented in India. The regulation also needs to permit risk capital to come in for prospecting and exploration.
For imports the G2G relations can be leveraged to secure coal assets. India has good relationship with Indonesia and has also signed a tax treaty with Mozambique in 2010 which will facilitate investments. Government may also engage with these countries to ease exports to India and extend fiscal support to coal mining companies investing in mining and associated infrastructure development.
About Dipesh Dipu
Dipesh Dipu works as Director with Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu India Pvt. Ltd in the Energy and Resources consulting practice of the firm and anchors the Firm’s initiative in the mining and metals sectors.
He is a mining engineering graduate from Indian School of Mines and is a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA). He has also done executive program in business management from Indian Institute of Management Calcutta. Dipesh has recently been awarded the Abheraj Baldota Gold Medal for the Young Mining Engineer of the Year 2007 by the Mining Engineers’ Association of India in recognition of his contributions in the improvement of mining industry in India.
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Tuesday, 20 September 22
CHINA COAL OUTPUT UP 8.1 PCT IN AUGUST - XINHUA
China’s raw coal output posted stable expansion in August, official data showed.
The country produced 370 million tonnes of ra ...
Monday, 19 September 22
BUMA AUSTRALIA AWARDED A$400 MILLION CONTRACT EXTENSION BY BMA FOR GOONYELLA PROJECT
Press Release – PT Delta Dunia Makmur Tbk. (the "Company") announced that its subsidiary, PT Bukit Makmur Mandiri Utama ("BUMA ...
Saturday, 17 September 22
CHINA WARNS COAL COMPANIES AGAINST DUAL CONTRACTS, KEEP PRICES STABLE - REUTERS
China’s state economic planner warned coal companies operating at ports in the Bohai Bay region to comply with their long-term contracts to k ...
Saturday, 17 September 22
IS A GLOBAL RECESSION IMMINENT? - WORLD BANK
Since the beginning of the year, a rapid deterioration of growth prospects coupled with rising inflation and tightening financing conditions, has i ...
Saturday, 17 September 22
FITCH RATINGS REVISES GLOBAL METALS & MINING PRICE ASSUMPTIONS
Fitch Ratings has revised its metals and mining price assumptions reflecting evolving economic growth expectations and demand and supply dynamics.
...
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- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- White Energy Company Limited
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Planning Commission, India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Australian Coal Association
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- The University of Queensland
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
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