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Tuesday, 06 September 11
INDONESIAS PROPOSED COAL EXPORT BAN MAY HAVE IMPACT ON THE INDIAN POWER SECTOR - DIPESH DIPU
COALspot.com - This is a special interview about Indonesian proposed coal export ban by 2014, with Mr. Dipesh Dipu, Director of Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu, India.
The Indonesian government is currently in the process of drafting a new regulation that could ban the export of low-grade coal by January 12, 2014. This is likely to apply to coal below 5700 kcal/kg on air dried basis in value.
As of now Indonesia is producing around 150 million tons of coal with calorific value below 5700 GAD (according to chairman of Indonesian coal mining association). However by 2014, there are possibilities the total production of below 5700 GAD coal may reach more than 200 million per annum.
Will Indonesian coal export ban impact on the Indian fuel requirements?
The earlier grade of coal that was being considered for proposed ban has GCV of 5100 kcal/kg of less (adb), which can be comparable to 3800-4200 kcal/kg (arb) domestic coal available in India. This grade of coal has found favor in India primarily due to likely price advantage but economics of power generation based on such grade of imported coal may be a suspect. This considering that such grades of coal from Indonesia typically have high moisture content, which makes transportation cost per unit of energy generated higher. The quantum of the low grade of coal (<5100 kcal/kg adb) procured from Indonesia is likely to remain relatively low.
However, if the new definition of low grade coal is applied (<5700 kcal/kg adb), it may be reasonable to believe that such a ban may have impact on the Indian power sector as volumes in this grade of coal are expected to rise in the proportion of coal exports to India. Several of the acquisitions made by Indian power generation companies in Indonesia have been in coal blocks that will produce coal of this grade, and a blanket ban on the exports can jeopardize power plant development in India.
On the other hand, the domestic Indonesian market may not be prepared to consume all the coal mined of this grade in view of the power generation capacity addition plans in Indonesia. In such a case, the coal mine development is likely to be deferred. The Indonesian law makers may need to reconsider domestic market demand, investment climate in coal sector and impact of the legislation on the export revenues.
What is the alternative source for Indian power industry if the proposed coal export ban come into effect by 2014?
Indian power generation companies have been forced to look out for coal assets abroad due to the investment and regulatory environment within the country. India boasts of more than 110 billion tonnes of coal reserves, which largely fall within a 300 meters of depth. If the regulatory and investment environment is amended to allow greater participation of private sector Indian dependence on imports will be reduced.
However, for imports, India will continue to look at Indonesia, South Africa, Australia and newer destinations like Mozambique and Columbia. But these sources also have constraints, domestic demands in South Africa is likely to restrict quantum jump in exports out of South Africa. Indonesia has also proposed domestic market obligations. Mozambique may have infrastructure constraints for large volumes of coal being transported from Tete province to ports of Maputo, Ncala or Beira. Australian coal is of high quality but may have higher costs of mining and transport.
What would be the additional cost if Indian consumers switch their sourcing origin from Indonesia?
Indonesia has competitive advantage due to its geographical closeness. However, on a per tonne basis, assuming comparable quality, costs of transport may make marginal difference when compared with South Africa and Mozambique.
When compared to Australian coal, due to the high quality, cost of energy may well be comparable even though shipping costs are higher. Between Indonesian coal (5500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 90 per tonne) and Australian coal (6500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 120 per tonne), indicative variable cost difference of power generation may be about Indian Rupees 0.20 to 0.30 per kWh (electricity unit) in favor of Indonesian coal.
Will it affect Indian economy growth or this coal export ban is ignorable as India can easily identify alternative sources of fuel?
The magnitude of growth in power generation in India will necessarily mean that coal will remain the mainstay. Natural gas has had issues of availability. Nuclear plant development is facing socio-political challenge in view of the risks of technology failure. Development of hydel power has also faced issues of land acquisition, rehabilitation & resettlement apart from the technical issues of hydro-geological features. Renewable sources such as solar and wind generation are still projected to constitute a small portion of India power generation mix. Identifying an alternative source that can match coal in its accessibility, availability and affordability in the context of scale of capacity addition required in India is a challenge.
What is the Indian government's role on this issue, whether government has to come out with the solution such as easing Indian mining and environment law, open up mining for foreigners, G2G arrangement, etc…?
There is a need to look at domestic sources with pro-active and constructive approach and make all necessary legal and statutory amendments that make the resources available and mineable. Easing the regulations may not be one of such measures but making those regulations work in sync with each other in a time bound and predictable manner must certainly be.
There is certainly a case for opening the domestic coal sector for private participation, including independent miners, and for foreign participation so that newer technology and enhanced scale of operations are implemented in India. The regulation also needs to permit risk capital to come in for prospecting and exploration.
For imports the G2G relations can be leveraged to secure coal assets. India has good relationship with Indonesia and has also signed a tax treaty with Mozambique in 2010 which will facilitate investments. Government may also engage with these countries to ease exports to India and extend fiscal support to coal mining companies investing in mining and associated infrastructure development.
About Dipesh Dipu
Dipesh Dipu works as Director with Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu India Pvt. Ltd in the Energy and Resources consulting practice of the firm and anchors the Firm’s initiative in the mining and metals sectors.
He is a mining engineering graduate from Indian School of Mines and is a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA). He has also done executive program in business management from Indian Institute of Management Calcutta. Dipesh has recently been awarded the Abheraj Baldota Gold Medal for the Young Mining Engineer of the Year 2007 by the Mining Engineers’ Association of India in recognition of his contributions in the improvement of mining industry in India.
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Friday, 02 September 16
EIA FORECASTS U.S. COAL EXPORTS TO DECLINE BY 19 MMST IN 2016 TO 55 MMST
COALspot.com – U.S., the world’s second largest coal producers have produced approximately totalled an estimated 16.3 million sho ...
Thursday, 01 September 16
SUPRAMAX GETTING LEVELS OF MID/HIGHER 7K DELIVERY SINGAPORE FOR TRIPS TO CHINA AND AROUND 9K FOR DIRECTION INDIA - FEARNLEYS
Supramax
This week started slower with London on bank holiday Monday. The south east Asian market seems to have been taking a breather with chart ...
Thursday, 01 September 16
AUSTRALIA'S NEWCASTLE PORT SHIPPED 2.33 PERCENT MORE COAL IN JULY
COALspot.com: The Port of Newcastle, Australia’s major trading ports and the world’s largest coal export port has shipped $AU 1.10 bill ...
Wednesday, 31 August 16
THE DRY BULK MARKET MANAGED TO FIND FURTHER SUPPORT DURING THE LAST DAYS OF THE SUMMER SEASON - INTERMODAL
The Dry Bulk market managed to find further support during the last days of the summer season, with the BDI climbing above 700 last Friday, reachin ...
Tuesday, 30 August 16
THE SUDDEN SURGE IN IRON ORE TRADE HAS CREPT UP ON THE MARKET THIS PAST WEEK - GEORGE LAZARIDIS
The sudden surge in Iron ore trade has crept up on the market this past week bringing about a change in the prospects for Capes. Continued increase ...
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- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- PTC India Limited - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- MS Steel International - UAE
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- The University of Queensland
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Planning Commission, India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
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