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Tuesday, 06 September 11
INDONESIAS PROPOSED COAL EXPORT BAN MAY HAVE IMPACT ON THE INDIAN POWER SECTOR - DIPESH DIPU
COALspot.com - This is a special interview about Indonesian proposed coal export ban by 2014, with Mr. Dipesh Dipu, Director of Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu, India.
The Indonesian government is currently in the process of drafting a new regulation that could ban the export of low-grade coal by January 12, 2014. This is likely to apply to coal below 5700 kcal/kg on air dried basis in value.
As of now Indonesia is producing around 150 million tons of coal with calorific value below 5700 GAD (according to chairman of Indonesian coal mining association). However by 2014, there are possibilities the total production of below 5700 GAD coal may reach more than 200 million per annum.
Will Indonesian coal export ban impact on the Indian fuel requirements?
The earlier grade of coal that was being considered for proposed ban has GCV of 5100 kcal/kg of less (adb), which can be comparable to 3800-4200 kcal/kg (arb) domestic coal available in India. This grade of coal has found favor in India primarily due to likely price advantage but economics of power generation based on such grade of imported coal may be a suspect. This considering that such grades of coal from Indonesia typically have high moisture content, which makes transportation cost per unit of energy generated higher. The quantum of the low grade of coal (<5100 kcal/kg adb) procured from Indonesia is likely to remain relatively low.
However, if the new definition of low grade coal is applied (<5700 kcal/kg adb), it may be reasonable to believe that such a ban may have impact on the Indian power sector as volumes in this grade of coal are expected to rise in the proportion of coal exports to India. Several of the acquisitions made by Indian power generation companies in Indonesia have been in coal blocks that will produce coal of this grade, and a blanket ban on the exports can jeopardize power plant development in India.
On the other hand, the domestic Indonesian market may not be prepared to consume all the coal mined of this grade in view of the power generation capacity addition plans in Indonesia. In such a case, the coal mine development is likely to be deferred. The Indonesian law makers may need to reconsider domestic market demand, investment climate in coal sector and impact of the legislation on the export revenues.
What is the alternative source for Indian power industry if the proposed coal export ban come into effect by 2014?
Indian power generation companies have been forced to look out for coal assets abroad due to the investment and regulatory environment within the country. India boasts of more than 110 billion tonnes of coal reserves, which largely fall within a 300 meters of depth. If the regulatory and investment environment is amended to allow greater participation of private sector Indian dependence on imports will be reduced.
However, for imports, India will continue to look at Indonesia, South Africa, Australia and newer destinations like Mozambique and Columbia. But these sources also have constraints, domestic demands in South Africa is likely to restrict quantum jump in exports out of South Africa. Indonesia has also proposed domestic market obligations. Mozambique may have infrastructure constraints for large volumes of coal being transported from Tete province to ports of Maputo, Ncala or Beira. Australian coal is of high quality but may have higher costs of mining and transport.
What would be the additional cost if Indian consumers switch their sourcing origin from Indonesia?
Indonesia has competitive advantage due to its geographical closeness. However, on a per tonne basis, assuming comparable quality, costs of transport may make marginal difference when compared with South Africa and Mozambique.
When compared to Australian coal, due to the high quality, cost of energy may well be comparable even though shipping costs are higher. Between Indonesian coal (5500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 90 per tonne) and Australian coal (6500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 120 per tonne), indicative variable cost difference of power generation may be about Indian Rupees 0.20 to 0.30 per kWh (electricity unit) in favor of Indonesian coal.
Will it affect Indian economy growth or this coal export ban is ignorable as India can easily identify alternative sources of fuel?
The magnitude of growth in power generation in India will necessarily mean that coal will remain the mainstay. Natural gas has had issues of availability. Nuclear plant development is facing socio-political challenge in view of the risks of technology failure. Development of hydel power has also faced issues of land acquisition, rehabilitation & resettlement apart from the technical issues of hydro-geological features. Renewable sources such as solar and wind generation are still projected to constitute a small portion of India power generation mix. Identifying an alternative source that can match coal in its accessibility, availability and affordability in the context of scale of capacity addition required in India is a challenge.
What is the Indian government's role on this issue, whether government has to come out with the solution such as easing Indian mining and environment law, open up mining for foreigners, G2G arrangement, etc…?
There is a need to look at domestic sources with pro-active and constructive approach and make all necessary legal and statutory amendments that make the resources available and mineable. Easing the regulations may not be one of such measures but making those regulations work in sync with each other in a time bound and predictable manner must certainly be.
There is certainly a case for opening the domestic coal sector for private participation, including independent miners, and for foreign participation so that newer technology and enhanced scale of operations are implemented in India. The regulation also needs to permit risk capital to come in for prospecting and exploration.
For imports the G2G relations can be leveraged to secure coal assets. India has good relationship with Indonesia and has also signed a tax treaty with Mozambique in 2010 which will facilitate investments. Government may also engage with these countries to ease exports to India and extend fiscal support to coal mining companies investing in mining and associated infrastructure development.
About Dipesh Dipu
Dipesh Dipu works as Director with Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu India Pvt. Ltd in the Energy and Resources consulting practice of the firm and anchors the Firm’s initiative in the mining and metals sectors.
He is a mining engineering graduate from Indian School of Mines and is a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA). He has also done executive program in business management from Indian Institute of Management Calcutta. Dipesh has recently been awarded the Abheraj Baldota Gold Medal for the Young Mining Engineer of the Year 2007 by the Mining Engineers’ Association of India in recognition of his contributions in the improvement of mining industry in India.
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Friday, 07 October 16
INDONESIA'S DEMAND FOR COAL REMAINS STRONG: BP
Indonesia's domestic demand for coal shows no sign of slowing down as the country is banking on its coal abundance to meet the country' ...
Friday, 07 October 16
CEYLON SHIPPING CORPORATION HAS TAKEN DELIVERY OF COAL CARRIER MV.CEYLON PRINCESS
Sri Lanka’s Ceylon Shipping Corporation (CSC) has taken delivery of its second newly built bulk carrier for the transportation of coal to pow ...
Friday, 07 October 16
U.S. YEAR-TO-DATE COAL PRODUCTION TOTALLED AN ESTIMATED 540.5 MMST; DOWN 21.9% Y-O-Y, SAYS EIA
COALspot.com – U.S., the world’s second largest coal producers have produced approximately totalled an estimated 16.7 million short ton ...
Thursday, 06 October 16
SHIPS IN PACIFIC ACHIEVE JUST ABOVE $10K DAILY FOR A BRAZIL ROUND VOYAGE - FEARNLEYS
Supramax
Slower week with limited activity due to holidays in the East. Mixed feelings within different markets, with slight downturn in Pacific ...
Wednesday, 05 October 16
OPEC TO SHUT OFF MORE THAN 6 PERCENT OF ITS PRODUCTION; MIXED FEELING AMONGST TRADERS - ALLIED
OPEC recent accord to shut off more than 6 percent of its production this past week has been met with mixed feeling amongst traders. As we mo ...
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- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Planning Commission, India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- The University of Queensland
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
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