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Tuesday, 06 September 11
INDONESIAS PROPOSED COAL EXPORT BAN MAY HAVE IMPACT ON THE INDIAN POWER SECTOR - DIPESH DIPU
COALspot.com - This is a special interview about Indonesian proposed coal export ban by 2014, with Mr. Dipesh Dipu, Director of Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu, India.
The Indonesian government is currently in the process of drafting a new regulation that could ban the export of low-grade coal by January 12, 2014. This is likely to apply to coal below 5700 kcal/kg on air dried basis in value.
As of now Indonesia is producing around 150 million tons of coal with calorific value below 5700 GAD (according to chairman of Indonesian coal mining association). However by 2014, there are possibilities the total production of below 5700 GAD coal may reach more than 200 million per annum.
Will Indonesian coal export ban impact on the Indian fuel requirements?
The earlier grade of coal that was being considered for proposed ban has GCV of 5100 kcal/kg of less (adb), which can be comparable to 3800-4200 kcal/kg (arb) domestic coal available in India. This grade of coal has found favor in India primarily due to likely price advantage but economics of power generation based on such grade of imported coal may be a suspect. This considering that such grades of coal from Indonesia typically have high moisture content, which makes transportation cost per unit of energy generated higher. The quantum of the low grade of coal (<5100 kcal/kg adb) procured from Indonesia is likely to remain relatively low.
However, if the new definition of low grade coal is applied (<5700 kcal/kg adb), it may be reasonable to believe that such a ban may have impact on the Indian power sector as volumes in this grade of coal are expected to rise in the proportion of coal exports to India. Several of the acquisitions made by Indian power generation companies in Indonesia have been in coal blocks that will produce coal of this grade, and a blanket ban on the exports can jeopardize power plant development in India.
On the other hand, the domestic Indonesian market may not be prepared to consume all the coal mined of this grade in view of the power generation capacity addition plans in Indonesia. In such a case, the coal mine development is likely to be deferred. The Indonesian law makers may need to reconsider domestic market demand, investment climate in coal sector and impact of the legislation on the export revenues.
What is the alternative source for Indian power industry if the proposed coal export ban come into effect by 2014?
Indian power generation companies have been forced to look out for coal assets abroad due to the investment and regulatory environment within the country. India boasts of more than 110 billion tonnes of coal reserves, which largely fall within a 300 meters of depth. If the regulatory and investment environment is amended to allow greater participation of private sector Indian dependence on imports will be reduced.
However, for imports, India will continue to look at Indonesia, South Africa, Australia and newer destinations like Mozambique and Columbia. But these sources also have constraints, domestic demands in South Africa is likely to restrict quantum jump in exports out of South Africa. Indonesia has also proposed domestic market obligations. Mozambique may have infrastructure constraints for large volumes of coal being transported from Tete province to ports of Maputo, Ncala or Beira. Australian coal is of high quality but may have higher costs of mining and transport.
What would be the additional cost if Indian consumers switch their sourcing origin from Indonesia?
Indonesia has competitive advantage due to its geographical closeness. However, on a per tonne basis, assuming comparable quality, costs of transport may make marginal difference when compared with South Africa and Mozambique.
When compared to Australian coal, due to the high quality, cost of energy may well be comparable even though shipping costs are higher. Between Indonesian coal (5500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 90 per tonne) and Australian coal (6500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 120 per tonne), indicative variable cost difference of power generation may be about Indian Rupees 0.20 to 0.30 per kWh (electricity unit) in favor of Indonesian coal.
Will it affect Indian economy growth or this coal export ban is ignorable as India can easily identify alternative sources of fuel?
The magnitude of growth in power generation in India will necessarily mean that coal will remain the mainstay. Natural gas has had issues of availability. Nuclear plant development is facing socio-political challenge in view of the risks of technology failure. Development of hydel power has also faced issues of land acquisition, rehabilitation & resettlement apart from the technical issues of hydro-geological features. Renewable sources such as solar and wind generation are still projected to constitute a small portion of India power generation mix. Identifying an alternative source that can match coal in its accessibility, availability and affordability in the context of scale of capacity addition required in India is a challenge.
What is the Indian government's role on this issue, whether government has to come out with the solution such as easing Indian mining and environment law, open up mining for foreigners, G2G arrangement, etc…?
There is a need to look at domestic sources with pro-active and constructive approach and make all necessary legal and statutory amendments that make the resources available and mineable. Easing the regulations may not be one of such measures but making those regulations work in sync with each other in a time bound and predictable manner must certainly be.
There is certainly a case for opening the domestic coal sector for private participation, including independent miners, and for foreign participation so that newer technology and enhanced scale of operations are implemented in India. The regulation also needs to permit risk capital to come in for prospecting and exploration.
For imports the G2G relations can be leveraged to secure coal assets. India has good relationship with Indonesia and has also signed a tax treaty with Mozambique in 2010 which will facilitate investments. Government may also engage with these countries to ease exports to India and extend fiscal support to coal mining companies investing in mining and associated infrastructure development.
About Dipesh Dipu
Dipesh Dipu works as Director with Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu India Pvt. Ltd in the Energy and Resources consulting practice of the firm and anchors the Firm’s initiative in the mining and metals sectors.
He is a mining engineering graduate from Indian School of Mines and is a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA). He has also done executive program in business management from Indian Institute of Management Calcutta. Dipesh has recently been awarded the Abheraj Baldota Gold Medal for the Young Mining Engineer of the Year 2007 by the Mining Engineers’ Association of India in recognition of his contributions in the improvement of mining industry in India.
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Monday, 26 December 16
DO THE DERIVATIVES MARKETS MAKE COAL PRICES MORE VOLATILE? 59.21% SAY YES, POLL
COALspot.com: The substantial increase or decrease in coal prices within a short period of time has been supported by a number of fundamental drive ...
Friday, 23 December 16
U.S. YEAR-TO-DATE COAL PRODUCTION TOTALED 711.1 MMST; DOWN 18.5% Y/Y - EIA
COALspot.com – U.S., the world’s second largest coal producers have produced approximately totalled an estimated 15.7 million short ton ...
Thursday, 22 December 16
INDONESIA LACK OF EXPORT TO INDIA THIS WEEK - FERNLEYS
Supramax
While the Atlantic is keeping up with rates, the Pacific has been weaker says Astrup Fernley.
According to Astrup Fernley, backhaul ...
Wednesday, 21 December 16
THE SUPREME COURT DECISION IN OW BUNKERS - WHEN A SALE OF GOODS IS NOT A SALE OF GOODS - LEON ALEXANDER, CLYDE&CO
KNOWLEDGE TO ELEVATE
In May 2016 the Supreme Court of England & Wales gave judgment in an OW Bunkers test case entitled "Res Cogitans ...
Wednesday, 21 December 16
CLEANING THE OCEANS FROM PLASTIC - SOPHIE COTZIAS
2016 is coming to a close and it finds us in preparation for the 2017 enforcement of the Ballast Water Treatment Systems. We naturally are in thoug ...
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- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Planning Commission, India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- White Energy Company Limited
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- The University of Queensland
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- VISA Power Limited - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- MS Steel International - UAE
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Minerals Council of Australia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
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