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Tuesday, 06 September 11
INDONESIAS PROPOSED COAL EXPORT BAN MAY HAVE IMPACT ON THE INDIAN POWER SECTOR - DIPESH DIPU
COALspot.com - This is a special interview about Indonesian proposed coal export ban by 2014, with Mr. Dipesh Dipu, Director of Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu, India.
The Indonesian government is currently in the process of drafting a new regulation that could ban the export of low-grade coal by January 12, 2014. This is likely to apply to coal below 5700 kcal/kg on air dried basis in value.
As of now Indonesia is producing around 150 million tons of coal with calorific value below 5700 GAD (according to chairman of Indonesian coal mining association). However by 2014, there are possibilities the total production of below 5700 GAD coal may reach more than 200 million per annum.
Will Indonesian coal export ban impact on the Indian fuel requirements?
The earlier grade of coal that was being considered for proposed ban has GCV of 5100 kcal/kg of less (adb), which can be comparable to 3800-4200 kcal/kg (arb) domestic coal available in India. This grade of coal has found favor in India primarily due to likely price advantage but economics of power generation based on such grade of imported coal may be a suspect. This considering that such grades of coal from Indonesia typically have high moisture content, which makes transportation cost per unit of energy generated higher. The quantum of the low grade of coal (<5100 kcal/kg adb) procured from Indonesia is likely to remain relatively low.
However, if the new definition of low grade coal is applied (<5700 kcal/kg adb), it may be reasonable to believe that such a ban may have impact on the Indian power sector as volumes in this grade of coal are expected to rise in the proportion of coal exports to India. Several of the acquisitions made by Indian power generation companies in Indonesia have been in coal blocks that will produce coal of this grade, and a blanket ban on the exports can jeopardize power plant development in India.
On the other hand, the domestic Indonesian market may not be prepared to consume all the coal mined of this grade in view of the power generation capacity addition plans in Indonesia. In such a case, the coal mine development is likely to be deferred. The Indonesian law makers may need to reconsider domestic market demand, investment climate in coal sector and impact of the legislation on the export revenues.
What is the alternative source for Indian power industry if the proposed coal export ban come into effect by 2014?
Indian power generation companies have been forced to look out for coal assets abroad due to the investment and regulatory environment within the country. India boasts of more than 110 billion tonnes of coal reserves, which largely fall within a 300 meters of depth. If the regulatory and investment environment is amended to allow greater participation of private sector Indian dependence on imports will be reduced.
However, for imports, India will continue to look at Indonesia, South Africa, Australia and newer destinations like Mozambique and Columbia. But these sources also have constraints, domestic demands in South Africa is likely to restrict quantum jump in exports out of South Africa. Indonesia has also proposed domestic market obligations. Mozambique may have infrastructure constraints for large volumes of coal being transported from Tete province to ports of Maputo, Ncala or Beira. Australian coal is of high quality but may have higher costs of mining and transport.
What would be the additional cost if Indian consumers switch their sourcing origin from Indonesia?
Indonesia has competitive advantage due to its geographical closeness. However, on a per tonne basis, assuming comparable quality, costs of transport may make marginal difference when compared with South Africa and Mozambique.
When compared to Australian coal, due to the high quality, cost of energy may well be comparable even though shipping costs are higher. Between Indonesian coal (5500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 90 per tonne) and Australian coal (6500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 120 per tonne), indicative variable cost difference of power generation may be about Indian Rupees 0.20 to 0.30 per kWh (electricity unit) in favor of Indonesian coal.
Will it affect Indian economy growth or this coal export ban is ignorable as India can easily identify alternative sources of fuel?
The magnitude of growth in power generation in India will necessarily mean that coal will remain the mainstay. Natural gas has had issues of availability. Nuclear plant development is facing socio-political challenge in view of the risks of technology failure. Development of hydel power has also faced issues of land acquisition, rehabilitation & resettlement apart from the technical issues of hydro-geological features. Renewable sources such as solar and wind generation are still projected to constitute a small portion of India power generation mix. Identifying an alternative source that can match coal in its accessibility, availability and affordability in the context of scale of capacity addition required in India is a challenge.
What is the Indian government's role on this issue, whether government has to come out with the solution such as easing Indian mining and environment law, open up mining for foreigners, G2G arrangement, etc…?
There is a need to look at domestic sources with pro-active and constructive approach and make all necessary legal and statutory amendments that make the resources available and mineable. Easing the regulations may not be one of such measures but making those regulations work in sync with each other in a time bound and predictable manner must certainly be.
There is certainly a case for opening the domestic coal sector for private participation, including independent miners, and for foreign participation so that newer technology and enhanced scale of operations are implemented in India. The regulation also needs to permit risk capital to come in for prospecting and exploration.
For imports the G2G relations can be leveraged to secure coal assets. India has good relationship with Indonesia and has also signed a tax treaty with Mozambique in 2010 which will facilitate investments. Government may also engage with these countries to ease exports to India and extend fiscal support to coal mining companies investing in mining and associated infrastructure development.
About Dipesh Dipu
Dipesh Dipu works as Director with Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu India Pvt. Ltd in the Energy and Resources consulting practice of the firm and anchors the Firm’s initiative in the mining and metals sectors.
He is a mining engineering graduate from Indian School of Mines and is a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA). He has also done executive program in business management from Indian Institute of Management Calcutta. Dipesh has recently been awarded the Abheraj Baldota Gold Medal for the Young Mining Engineer of the Year 2007 by the Mining Engineers’ Association of India in recognition of his contributions in the improvement of mining industry in India.
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Friday, 10 February 17
U.S. COAL OUTPUT IS ESTIMATED TO HAVE DECLINED BY 158 MMST IN 2016 TO 739 MMST, SAYS EIA
COALspot.com – U.S., the world’s second largest coal producers have produced approximately totalled an estimated 17 million short tons ...
Wednesday, 08 February 17
MARKET INSIGHT - PANOS MAKRINOS
The challenges the oil market has witnessed since the end of 2014 has resulted in a crisis for the global offshore oil and gas exploration industry ...
Tuesday, 07 February 17
WE ARE STILL RIDING ON A WAVE OF MARKET IMPROVEMENT, WITH THE GLOBAL TRADE OF MOST COMMODITIES STILL SHOWING SIGNS OF IMPROVING GROWTH - GEORGE LAZARIDIS
The end of 2016 came with a rejuvenated sentiment amongst most traders and investors, in part through the sigh of relief that 2016 was finally comi ...
Monday, 06 February 17
AFTER MONTHS OF GAINS, THE INDONESIAN GOVERNMENT DECLARED MONTHLY COAL BENCHMARK PRICE IS STEADILY DROPPING
COALspot.com: Over the past two months, the HBA of Indonesian thermal coal has dropped around 18.06 percent. It sank to $ 83.32 per ton for Februar ...
Monday, 06 February 17
THE FREIGHT MARKET CONTINUED ITS DOWNFALL IN ALL SEGMENTS
COALspot.com: Due to Lunar year holidays and celebration, the Freight market was declined in all segments week ending 27 January. The fall was cont ...
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- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Australian Coal Association
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Planning Commission, India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- White Energy Company Limited
- Economic Council, Georgia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
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