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Tuesday, 06 September 11
INDONESIAS PROPOSED COAL EXPORT BAN MAY HAVE IMPACT ON THE INDIAN POWER SECTOR - DIPESH DIPU
COALspot.com - This is a special interview about Indonesian proposed coal export ban by 2014, with Mr. Dipesh Dipu, Director of Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu, India.
The Indonesian government is currently in the process of drafting a new regulation that could ban the export of low-grade coal by January 12, 2014. This is likely to apply to coal below 5700 kcal/kg on air dried basis in value.
As of now Indonesia is producing around 150 million tons of coal with calorific value below 5700 GAD (according to chairman of Indonesian coal mining association). However by 2014, there are possibilities the total production of below 5700 GAD coal may reach more than 200 million per annum.
Will Indonesian coal export ban impact on the Indian fuel requirements?
The earlier grade of coal that was being considered for proposed ban has GCV of 5100 kcal/kg of less (adb), which can be comparable to 3800-4200 kcal/kg (arb) domestic coal available in India. This grade of coal has found favor in India primarily due to likely price advantage but economics of power generation based on such grade of imported coal may be a suspect. This considering that such grades of coal from Indonesia typically have high moisture content, which makes transportation cost per unit of energy generated higher. The quantum of the low grade of coal (<5100 kcal/kg adb) procured from Indonesia is likely to remain relatively low.
However, if the new definition of low grade coal is applied (<5700 kcal/kg adb), it may be reasonable to believe that such a ban may have impact on the Indian power sector as volumes in this grade of coal are expected to rise in the proportion of coal exports to India. Several of the acquisitions made by Indian power generation companies in Indonesia have been in coal blocks that will produce coal of this grade, and a blanket ban on the exports can jeopardize power plant development in India.
On the other hand, the domestic Indonesian market may not be prepared to consume all the coal mined of this grade in view of the power generation capacity addition plans in Indonesia. In such a case, the coal mine development is likely to be deferred. The Indonesian law makers may need to reconsider domestic market demand, investment climate in coal sector and impact of the legislation on the export revenues.
What is the alternative source for Indian power industry if the proposed coal export ban come into effect by 2014?
Indian power generation companies have been forced to look out for coal assets abroad due to the investment and regulatory environment within the country. India boasts of more than 110 billion tonnes of coal reserves, which largely fall within a 300 meters of depth. If the regulatory and investment environment is amended to allow greater participation of private sector Indian dependence on imports will be reduced.
However, for imports, India will continue to look at Indonesia, South Africa, Australia and newer destinations like Mozambique and Columbia. But these sources also have constraints, domestic demands in South Africa is likely to restrict quantum jump in exports out of South Africa. Indonesia has also proposed domestic market obligations. Mozambique may have infrastructure constraints for large volumes of coal being transported from Tete province to ports of Maputo, Ncala or Beira. Australian coal is of high quality but may have higher costs of mining and transport.
What would be the additional cost if Indian consumers switch their sourcing origin from Indonesia?
Indonesia has competitive advantage due to its geographical closeness. However, on a per tonne basis, assuming comparable quality, costs of transport may make marginal difference when compared with South Africa and Mozambique.
When compared to Australian coal, due to the high quality, cost of energy may well be comparable even though shipping costs are higher. Between Indonesian coal (5500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 90 per tonne) and Australian coal (6500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 120 per tonne), indicative variable cost difference of power generation may be about Indian Rupees 0.20 to 0.30 per kWh (electricity unit) in favor of Indonesian coal.
Will it affect Indian economy growth or this coal export ban is ignorable as India can easily identify alternative sources of fuel?
The magnitude of growth in power generation in India will necessarily mean that coal will remain the mainstay. Natural gas has had issues of availability. Nuclear plant development is facing socio-political challenge in view of the risks of technology failure. Development of hydel power has also faced issues of land acquisition, rehabilitation & resettlement apart from the technical issues of hydro-geological features. Renewable sources such as solar and wind generation are still projected to constitute a small portion of India power generation mix. Identifying an alternative source that can match coal in its accessibility, availability and affordability in the context of scale of capacity addition required in India is a challenge.
What is the Indian government's role on this issue, whether government has to come out with the solution such as easing Indian mining and environment law, open up mining for foreigners, G2G arrangement, etc…?
There is a need to look at domestic sources with pro-active and constructive approach and make all necessary legal and statutory amendments that make the resources available and mineable. Easing the regulations may not be one of such measures but making those regulations work in sync with each other in a time bound and predictable manner must certainly be.
There is certainly a case for opening the domestic coal sector for private participation, including independent miners, and for foreign participation so that newer technology and enhanced scale of operations are implemented in India. The regulation also needs to permit risk capital to come in for prospecting and exploration.
For imports the G2G relations can be leveraged to secure coal assets. India has good relationship with Indonesia and has also signed a tax treaty with Mozambique in 2010 which will facilitate investments. Government may also engage with these countries to ease exports to India and extend fiscal support to coal mining companies investing in mining and associated infrastructure development.
About Dipesh Dipu
Dipesh Dipu works as Director with Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu India Pvt. Ltd in the Energy and Resources consulting practice of the firm and anchors the Firm’s initiative in the mining and metals sectors.
He is a mining engineering graduate from Indian School of Mines and is a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA). He has also done executive program in business management from Indian Institute of Management Calcutta. Dipesh has recently been awarded the Abheraj Baldota Gold Medal for the Young Mining Engineer of the Year 2007 by the Mining Engineers’ Association of India in recognition of his contributions in the improvement of mining industry in India.
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Friday, 28 April 17
U.S PRODUCED LESS COAL THIS PAST WEEK COMPARED TO THE PREVIOUS WEEK - EIA
COALspot.com – U.S., the world’s second largest coal producers have produced approximately totaled an estimated 14 million short tons ( ...
Friday, 28 April 17
DELTA DUNIA RECORDED $24 MILLION NET PROFIT FOR FIRST QUARTER OF 2017; UP 700% Y/Y
COALspot.com: PT Delta Dunia Makmur Tbk. has announced its financial results for the first quarter of 2017 yesterday. According to the ...
Thursday, 27 April 17
PACIFIC IS SOFTENING WITH MORE TONNAGE OPENING AND LESS COAL ORDERS AROUND - FEARNLEYS
Supramax
Relatively slow week, with both basins showing signs of cooling down. Although grain cargoes out ECSA and ECCA on Ultras still delivered ...
Wednesday, 26 April 17
IRON ORE PRICES HAVE BEEN ON A ROLLERCOASTER RIDE OVER THE LAST MONTH - CHRISTOPHER WHITTY
Iron ore prices have been on a rollercoaster ride over the last month. Prices started the year on a very positive note, surging up to their highest ...
Tuesday, 25 April 17
FIONA POUNDS: VALID TENDER OF NOTICE OF READINESS
KNOWLEDGE TO ELEVATE
In the recent English High Court case of MV Arundel Castle1, the Judge ruled that a vessel, that could not immediately pr ...
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- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Australian Coal Association
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- White Energy Company Limited
- Planning Commission, India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- The University of Queensland
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
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