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Tuesday, 06 September 11
INDONESIAS PROPOSED COAL EXPORT BAN MAY HAVE IMPACT ON THE INDIAN POWER SECTOR - DIPESH DIPU
COALspot.com - This is a special interview about Indonesian proposed coal export ban by 2014, with Mr. Dipesh Dipu, Director of Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu, India.
The Indonesian government is currently in the process of drafting a new regulation that could ban the export of low-grade coal by January 12, 2014. This is likely to apply to coal below 5700 kcal/kg on air dried basis in value.
As of now Indonesia is producing around 150 million tons of coal with calorific value below 5700 GAD (according to chairman of Indonesian coal mining association). However by 2014, there are possibilities the total production of below 5700 GAD coal may reach more than 200 million per annum.
Will Indonesian coal export ban impact on the Indian fuel requirements?
The earlier grade of coal that was being considered for proposed ban has GCV of 5100 kcal/kg of less (adb), which can be comparable to 3800-4200 kcal/kg (arb) domestic coal available in India. This grade of coal has found favor in India primarily due to likely price advantage but economics of power generation based on such grade of imported coal may be a suspect. This considering that such grades of coal from Indonesia typically have high moisture content, which makes transportation cost per unit of energy generated higher. The quantum of the low grade of coal (<5100 kcal/kg adb) procured from Indonesia is likely to remain relatively low.
However, if the new definition of low grade coal is applied (<5700 kcal/kg adb), it may be reasonable to believe that such a ban may have impact on the Indian power sector as volumes in this grade of coal are expected to rise in the proportion of coal exports to India. Several of the acquisitions made by Indian power generation companies in Indonesia have been in coal blocks that will produce coal of this grade, and a blanket ban on the exports can jeopardize power plant development in India.
On the other hand, the domestic Indonesian market may not be prepared to consume all the coal mined of this grade in view of the power generation capacity addition plans in Indonesia. In such a case, the coal mine development is likely to be deferred. The Indonesian law makers may need to reconsider domestic market demand, investment climate in coal sector and impact of the legislation on the export revenues.
What is the alternative source for Indian power industry if the proposed coal export ban come into effect by 2014?
Indian power generation companies have been forced to look out for coal assets abroad due to the investment and regulatory environment within the country. India boasts of more than 110 billion tonnes of coal reserves, which largely fall within a 300 meters of depth. If the regulatory and investment environment is amended to allow greater participation of private sector Indian dependence on imports will be reduced.
However, for imports, India will continue to look at Indonesia, South Africa, Australia and newer destinations like Mozambique and Columbia. But these sources also have constraints, domestic demands in South Africa is likely to restrict quantum jump in exports out of South Africa. Indonesia has also proposed domestic market obligations. Mozambique may have infrastructure constraints for large volumes of coal being transported from Tete province to ports of Maputo, Ncala or Beira. Australian coal is of high quality but may have higher costs of mining and transport.
What would be the additional cost if Indian consumers switch their sourcing origin from Indonesia?
Indonesia has competitive advantage due to its geographical closeness. However, on a per tonne basis, assuming comparable quality, costs of transport may make marginal difference when compared with South Africa and Mozambique.
When compared to Australian coal, due to the high quality, cost of energy may well be comparable even though shipping costs are higher. Between Indonesian coal (5500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 90 per tonne) and Australian coal (6500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 120 per tonne), indicative variable cost difference of power generation may be about Indian Rupees 0.20 to 0.30 per kWh (electricity unit) in favor of Indonesian coal.
Will it affect Indian economy growth or this coal export ban is ignorable as India can easily identify alternative sources of fuel?
The magnitude of growth in power generation in India will necessarily mean that coal will remain the mainstay. Natural gas has had issues of availability. Nuclear plant development is facing socio-political challenge in view of the risks of technology failure. Development of hydel power has also faced issues of land acquisition, rehabilitation & resettlement apart from the technical issues of hydro-geological features. Renewable sources such as solar and wind generation are still projected to constitute a small portion of India power generation mix. Identifying an alternative source that can match coal in its accessibility, availability and affordability in the context of scale of capacity addition required in India is a challenge.
What is the Indian government's role on this issue, whether government has to come out with the solution such as easing Indian mining and environment law, open up mining for foreigners, G2G arrangement, etc…?
There is a need to look at domestic sources with pro-active and constructive approach and make all necessary legal and statutory amendments that make the resources available and mineable. Easing the regulations may not be one of such measures but making those regulations work in sync with each other in a time bound and predictable manner must certainly be.
There is certainly a case for opening the domestic coal sector for private participation, including independent miners, and for foreign participation so that newer technology and enhanced scale of operations are implemented in India. The regulation also needs to permit risk capital to come in for prospecting and exploration.
For imports the G2G relations can be leveraged to secure coal assets. India has good relationship with Indonesia and has also signed a tax treaty with Mozambique in 2010 which will facilitate investments. Government may also engage with these countries to ease exports to India and extend fiscal support to coal mining companies investing in mining and associated infrastructure development.
About Dipesh Dipu
Dipesh Dipu works as Director with Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu India Pvt. Ltd in the Energy and Resources consulting practice of the firm and anchors the Firm’s initiative in the mining and metals sectors.
He is a mining engineering graduate from Indian School of Mines and is a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA). He has also done executive program in business management from Indian Institute of Management Calcutta. Dipesh has recently been awarded the Abheraj Baldota Gold Medal for the Young Mining Engineer of the Year 2007 by the Mining Engineers’ Association of India in recognition of his contributions in the improvement of mining industry in India.
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Showing 1891 to 1895 news of total 6871 |
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- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Australian Coal Association
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Planning Commission, India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- The University of Queensland
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
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