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Tuesday, 06 September 11
INDONESIAS PROPOSED COAL EXPORT BAN MAY HAVE IMPACT ON THE INDIAN POWER SECTOR - DIPESH DIPU
COALspot.com - This is a special interview about Indonesian proposed coal export ban by 2014, with Mr. Dipesh Dipu, Director of Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu, India.
The Indonesian government is currently in the process of drafting a new regulation that could ban the export of low-grade coal by January 12, 2014. This is likely to apply to coal below 5700 kcal/kg on air dried basis in value.
As of now Indonesia is producing around 150 million tons of coal with calorific value below 5700 GAD (according to chairman of Indonesian coal mining association). However by 2014, there are possibilities the total production of below 5700 GAD coal may reach more than 200 million per annum.
Will Indonesian coal export ban impact on the Indian fuel requirements?
The earlier grade of coal that was being considered for proposed ban has GCV of 5100 kcal/kg of less (adb), which can be comparable to 3800-4200 kcal/kg (arb) domestic coal available in India. This grade of coal has found favor in India primarily due to likely price advantage but economics of power generation based on such grade of imported coal may be a suspect. This considering that such grades of coal from Indonesia typically have high moisture content, which makes transportation cost per unit of energy generated higher. The quantum of the low grade of coal (<5100 kcal/kg adb) procured from Indonesia is likely to remain relatively low.
However, if the new definition of low grade coal is applied (<5700 kcal/kg adb), it may be reasonable to believe that such a ban may have impact on the Indian power sector as volumes in this grade of coal are expected to rise in the proportion of coal exports to India. Several of the acquisitions made by Indian power generation companies in Indonesia have been in coal blocks that will produce coal of this grade, and a blanket ban on the exports can jeopardize power plant development in India.
On the other hand, the domestic Indonesian market may not be prepared to consume all the coal mined of this grade in view of the power generation capacity addition plans in Indonesia. In such a case, the coal mine development is likely to be deferred. The Indonesian law makers may need to reconsider domestic market demand, investment climate in coal sector and impact of the legislation on the export revenues.
What is the alternative source for Indian power industry if the proposed coal export ban come into effect by 2014?
Indian power generation companies have been forced to look out for coal assets abroad due to the investment and regulatory environment within the country. India boasts of more than 110 billion tonnes of coal reserves, which largely fall within a 300 meters of depth. If the regulatory and investment environment is amended to allow greater participation of private sector Indian dependence on imports will be reduced.
However, for imports, India will continue to look at Indonesia, South Africa, Australia and newer destinations like Mozambique and Columbia. But these sources also have constraints, domestic demands in South Africa is likely to restrict quantum jump in exports out of South Africa. Indonesia has also proposed domestic market obligations. Mozambique may have infrastructure constraints for large volumes of coal being transported from Tete province to ports of Maputo, Ncala or Beira. Australian coal is of high quality but may have higher costs of mining and transport.
What would be the additional cost if Indian consumers switch their sourcing origin from Indonesia?
Indonesia has competitive advantage due to its geographical closeness. However, on a per tonne basis, assuming comparable quality, costs of transport may make marginal difference when compared with South Africa and Mozambique.
When compared to Australian coal, due to the high quality, cost of energy may well be comparable even though shipping costs are higher. Between Indonesian coal (5500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 90 per tonne) and Australian coal (6500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 120 per tonne), indicative variable cost difference of power generation may be about Indian Rupees 0.20 to 0.30 per kWh (electricity unit) in favor of Indonesian coal.
Will it affect Indian economy growth or this coal export ban is ignorable as India can easily identify alternative sources of fuel?
The magnitude of growth in power generation in India will necessarily mean that coal will remain the mainstay. Natural gas has had issues of availability. Nuclear plant development is facing socio-political challenge in view of the risks of technology failure. Development of hydel power has also faced issues of land acquisition, rehabilitation & resettlement apart from the technical issues of hydro-geological features. Renewable sources such as solar and wind generation are still projected to constitute a small portion of India power generation mix. Identifying an alternative source that can match coal in its accessibility, availability and affordability in the context of scale of capacity addition required in India is a challenge.
What is the Indian government's role on this issue, whether government has to come out with the solution such as easing Indian mining and environment law, open up mining for foreigners, G2G arrangement, etc…?
There is a need to look at domestic sources with pro-active and constructive approach and make all necessary legal and statutory amendments that make the resources available and mineable. Easing the regulations may not be one of such measures but making those regulations work in sync with each other in a time bound and predictable manner must certainly be.
There is certainly a case for opening the domestic coal sector for private participation, including independent miners, and for foreign participation so that newer technology and enhanced scale of operations are implemented in India. The regulation also needs to permit risk capital to come in for prospecting and exploration.
For imports the G2G relations can be leveraged to secure coal assets. India has good relationship with Indonesia and has also signed a tax treaty with Mozambique in 2010 which will facilitate investments. Government may also engage with these countries to ease exports to India and extend fiscal support to coal mining companies investing in mining and associated infrastructure development.
About Dipesh Dipu
Dipesh Dipu works as Director with Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu India Pvt. Ltd in the Energy and Resources consulting practice of the firm and anchors the Firm’s initiative in the mining and metals sectors.
He is a mining engineering graduate from Indian School of Mines and is a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA). He has also done executive program in business management from Indian Institute of Management Calcutta. Dipesh has recently been awarded the Abheraj Baldota Gold Medal for the Young Mining Engineer of the Year 2007 by the Mining Engineers’ Association of India in recognition of his contributions in the improvement of mining industry in India.
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Friday, 03 August 18
HBA HAS RISEN 28.41 PER CENT IN A YEAR TO BE AT THEIR HIGHEST LEVELS SINCE JANUARY 2012
COALspot.com: The benchmark price of Indonesian thermal coal has risen 28.41 per cent in a year to be at their highest levels since January 2012.&n ...
Thursday, 02 August 18
INDO / CHINA COAL RV'S IS PAYING AROUND USD 11,000 TO SUPRAS BSS DELIVERY SINGAPORE - FEARNLEYS
Capesize
The counter seasonally strong market during the summer months bodes well for the remainder of the year.
According ...
Wednesday, 01 August 18
JOKOWI CANCELS PLAN TO REVOKE COAL DMO - JP
President Joko "Jokowi" Widodo on Tuesday has canceled the government’s plan to revoke the domestic market obligation (DMO) for coa ...
Wednesday, 01 August 18
SHIPPING MARKET INSIGHT - GIANNIS ANDRITSOPOULOS
The dry bulk market activity over the past four weeks has remained stable when compared to the previous months. There are concerns with regards to ...
Tuesday, 31 July 18
INDONESIA UNLIKELY TO CHANGE COAL SUPPLY, PRICING RULES UNTIL 2019 - REUTERS
Indonesia is unlikely to change its rules on domestic coal supply and pricing until 2019, Coordinating Maritime Minister Luhut Pandjaitan said on M ...
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- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Planning Commission, India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Australian Coal Association
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- PTC India Limited - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
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