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Tuesday, 06 September 11
INDONESIAS PROPOSED COAL EXPORT BAN MAY HAVE IMPACT ON THE INDIAN POWER SECTOR - DIPESH DIPU
COALspot.com - This is a special interview about Indonesian proposed coal export ban by 2014, with Mr. Dipesh Dipu, Director of Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu, India.
The Indonesian government is currently in the process of drafting a new regulation that could ban the export of low-grade coal by January 12, 2014. This is likely to apply to coal below 5700 kcal/kg on air dried basis in value.
As of now Indonesia is producing around 150 million tons of coal with calorific value below 5700 GAD (according to chairman of Indonesian coal mining association). However by 2014, there are possibilities the total production of below 5700 GAD coal may reach more than 200 million per annum.
Will Indonesian coal export ban impact on the Indian fuel requirements?
The earlier grade of coal that was being considered for proposed ban has GCV of 5100 kcal/kg of less (adb), which can be comparable to 3800-4200 kcal/kg (arb) domestic coal available in India. This grade of coal has found favor in India primarily due to likely price advantage but economics of power generation based on such grade of imported coal may be a suspect. This considering that such grades of coal from Indonesia typically have high moisture content, which makes transportation cost per unit of energy generated higher. The quantum of the low grade of coal (<5100 kcal/kg adb) procured from Indonesia is likely to remain relatively low.
However, if the new definition of low grade coal is applied (<5700 kcal/kg adb), it may be reasonable to believe that such a ban may have impact on the Indian power sector as volumes in this grade of coal are expected to rise in the proportion of coal exports to India. Several of the acquisitions made by Indian power generation companies in Indonesia have been in coal blocks that will produce coal of this grade, and a blanket ban on the exports can jeopardize power plant development in India.
On the other hand, the domestic Indonesian market may not be prepared to consume all the coal mined of this grade in view of the power generation capacity addition plans in Indonesia. In such a case, the coal mine development is likely to be deferred. The Indonesian law makers may need to reconsider domestic market demand, investment climate in coal sector and impact of the legislation on the export revenues.
What is the alternative source for Indian power industry if the proposed coal export ban come into effect by 2014?
Indian power generation companies have been forced to look out for coal assets abroad due to the investment and regulatory environment within the country. India boasts of more than 110 billion tonnes of coal reserves, which largely fall within a 300 meters of depth. If the regulatory and investment environment is amended to allow greater participation of private sector Indian dependence on imports will be reduced.
However, for imports, India will continue to look at Indonesia, South Africa, Australia and newer destinations like Mozambique and Columbia. But these sources also have constraints, domestic demands in South Africa is likely to restrict quantum jump in exports out of South Africa. Indonesia has also proposed domestic market obligations. Mozambique may have infrastructure constraints for large volumes of coal being transported from Tete province to ports of Maputo, Ncala or Beira. Australian coal is of high quality but may have higher costs of mining and transport.
What would be the additional cost if Indian consumers switch their sourcing origin from Indonesia?
Indonesia has competitive advantage due to its geographical closeness. However, on a per tonne basis, assuming comparable quality, costs of transport may make marginal difference when compared with South Africa and Mozambique.
When compared to Australian coal, due to the high quality, cost of energy may well be comparable even though shipping costs are higher. Between Indonesian coal (5500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 90 per tonne) and Australian coal (6500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 120 per tonne), indicative variable cost difference of power generation may be about Indian Rupees 0.20 to 0.30 per kWh (electricity unit) in favor of Indonesian coal.
Will it affect Indian economy growth or this coal export ban is ignorable as India can easily identify alternative sources of fuel?
The magnitude of growth in power generation in India will necessarily mean that coal will remain the mainstay. Natural gas has had issues of availability. Nuclear plant development is facing socio-political challenge in view of the risks of technology failure. Development of hydel power has also faced issues of land acquisition, rehabilitation & resettlement apart from the technical issues of hydro-geological features. Renewable sources such as solar and wind generation are still projected to constitute a small portion of India power generation mix. Identifying an alternative source that can match coal in its accessibility, availability and affordability in the context of scale of capacity addition required in India is a challenge.
What is the Indian government's role on this issue, whether government has to come out with the solution such as easing Indian mining and environment law, open up mining for foreigners, G2G arrangement, etc…?
There is a need to look at domestic sources with pro-active and constructive approach and make all necessary legal and statutory amendments that make the resources available and mineable. Easing the regulations may not be one of such measures but making those regulations work in sync with each other in a time bound and predictable manner must certainly be.
There is certainly a case for opening the domestic coal sector for private participation, including independent miners, and for foreign participation so that newer technology and enhanced scale of operations are implemented in India. The regulation also needs to permit risk capital to come in for prospecting and exploration.
For imports the G2G relations can be leveraged to secure coal assets. India has good relationship with Indonesia and has also signed a tax treaty with Mozambique in 2010 which will facilitate investments. Government may also engage with these countries to ease exports to India and extend fiscal support to coal mining companies investing in mining and associated infrastructure development.
About Dipesh Dipu
Dipesh Dipu works as Director with Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu India Pvt. Ltd in the Energy and Resources consulting practice of the firm and anchors the Firm’s initiative in the mining and metals sectors.
He is a mining engineering graduate from Indian School of Mines and is a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA). He has also done executive program in business management from Indian Institute of Management Calcutta. Dipesh has recently been awarded the Abheraj Baldota Gold Medal for the Young Mining Engineer of the Year 2007 by the Mining Engineers’ Association of India in recognition of his contributions in the improvement of mining industry in India.
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Thursday, 24 October 19
AUSTRALIA'S HOPES TO EXPAND COAL EXPORTS IN SOUTH-EAST ASIA 'DELUSIONAL', EXPERTS SAY - THE GUARDIAN
The number of new coal-fired power plants starting construction across south-east Asia has fallen markedly over the past two years as Australia has ...
Thursday, 24 October 19
PANAMAX: NEGATIVE SENTIMENT IN THE MARKET AS IT CONTINUES TO WEAKEN - FEARNLEYS
Capesize
The market has continued to slide the last week, as lack of fresh requirements and a slight oversupply of tonnage heading towards Sout ...
Wednesday, 23 October 19
CHINA'S 2019 COAL IMPORTS SET TO RISE MORE THAN 10%: ANALYSTS - REUTERS
China, the world’s top coal buyer, is on track to boost imports of the fuel by more than 10% this year, traders and analysts said on Tuesday, ...
Wednesday, 23 October 19
SHIPPING MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
Moving closer to the end of the year, we are facing what the market was expecting for quite a while, the ship repair sector booming with the shipya ...
Tuesday, 22 October 19
DRY BULK: DESPITE THE DOWNWARD CORRECTION NOTED OVER THE PAST MONTH, RATES ARE STILL HOLDING OFF AT FAVORABLE LEVELS - ALLIED SHIPPING
Despite the downward correction that has been noted in the dry bulk market over the past month, rates are still holding off at favorable levels. Ev ...
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- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- White Energy Company Limited
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Australian Coal Association
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
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