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Tuesday, 06 September 11
INDONESIAS PROPOSED COAL EXPORT BAN MAY HAVE IMPACT ON THE INDIAN POWER SECTOR - DIPESH DIPU
COALspot.com - This is a special interview about Indonesian proposed coal export ban by 2014, with Mr. Dipesh Dipu, Director of Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu, India.
The Indonesian government is currently in the process of drafting a new regulation that could ban the export of low-grade coal by January 12, 2014. This is likely to apply to coal below 5700 kcal/kg on air dried basis in value.
As of now Indonesia is producing around 150 million tons of coal with calorific value below 5700 GAD (according to chairman of Indonesian coal mining association). However by 2014, there are possibilities the total production of below 5700 GAD coal may reach more than 200 million per annum.
Will Indonesian coal export ban impact on the Indian fuel requirements?
The earlier grade of coal that was being considered for proposed ban has GCV of 5100 kcal/kg of less (adb), which can be comparable to 3800-4200 kcal/kg (arb) domestic coal available in India. This grade of coal has found favor in India primarily due to likely price advantage but economics of power generation based on such grade of imported coal may be a suspect. This considering that such grades of coal from Indonesia typically have high moisture content, which makes transportation cost per unit of energy generated higher. The quantum of the low grade of coal (<5100 kcal/kg adb) procured from Indonesia is likely to remain relatively low.
However, if the new definition of low grade coal is applied (<5700 kcal/kg adb), it may be reasonable to believe that such a ban may have impact on the Indian power sector as volumes in this grade of coal are expected to rise in the proportion of coal exports to India. Several of the acquisitions made by Indian power generation companies in Indonesia have been in coal blocks that will produce coal of this grade, and a blanket ban on the exports can jeopardize power plant development in India.
On the other hand, the domestic Indonesian market may not be prepared to consume all the coal mined of this grade in view of the power generation capacity addition plans in Indonesia. In such a case, the coal mine development is likely to be deferred. The Indonesian law makers may need to reconsider domestic market demand, investment climate in coal sector and impact of the legislation on the export revenues.
What is the alternative source for Indian power industry if the proposed coal export ban come into effect by 2014?
Indian power generation companies have been forced to look out for coal assets abroad due to the investment and regulatory environment within the country. India boasts of more than 110 billion tonnes of coal reserves, which largely fall within a 300 meters of depth. If the regulatory and investment environment is amended to allow greater participation of private sector Indian dependence on imports will be reduced.
However, for imports, India will continue to look at Indonesia, South Africa, Australia and newer destinations like Mozambique and Columbia. But these sources also have constraints, domestic demands in South Africa is likely to restrict quantum jump in exports out of South Africa. Indonesia has also proposed domestic market obligations. Mozambique may have infrastructure constraints for large volumes of coal being transported from Tete province to ports of Maputo, Ncala or Beira. Australian coal is of high quality but may have higher costs of mining and transport.
What would be the additional cost if Indian consumers switch their sourcing origin from Indonesia?
Indonesia has competitive advantage due to its geographical closeness. However, on a per tonne basis, assuming comparable quality, costs of transport may make marginal difference when compared with South Africa and Mozambique.
When compared to Australian coal, due to the high quality, cost of energy may well be comparable even though shipping costs are higher. Between Indonesian coal (5500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 90 per tonne) and Australian coal (6500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 120 per tonne), indicative variable cost difference of power generation may be about Indian Rupees 0.20 to 0.30 per kWh (electricity unit) in favor of Indonesian coal.
Will it affect Indian economy growth or this coal export ban is ignorable as India can easily identify alternative sources of fuel?
The magnitude of growth in power generation in India will necessarily mean that coal will remain the mainstay. Natural gas has had issues of availability. Nuclear plant development is facing socio-political challenge in view of the risks of technology failure. Development of hydel power has also faced issues of land acquisition, rehabilitation & resettlement apart from the technical issues of hydro-geological features. Renewable sources such as solar and wind generation are still projected to constitute a small portion of India power generation mix. Identifying an alternative source that can match coal in its accessibility, availability and affordability in the context of scale of capacity addition required in India is a challenge.
What is the Indian government's role on this issue, whether government has to come out with the solution such as easing Indian mining and environment law, open up mining for foreigners, G2G arrangement, etc…?
There is a need to look at domestic sources with pro-active and constructive approach and make all necessary legal and statutory amendments that make the resources available and mineable. Easing the regulations may not be one of such measures but making those regulations work in sync with each other in a time bound and predictable manner must certainly be.
There is certainly a case for opening the domestic coal sector for private participation, including independent miners, and for foreign participation so that newer technology and enhanced scale of operations are implemented in India. The regulation also needs to permit risk capital to come in for prospecting and exploration.
For imports the G2G relations can be leveraged to secure coal assets. India has good relationship with Indonesia and has also signed a tax treaty with Mozambique in 2010 which will facilitate investments. Government may also engage with these countries to ease exports to India and extend fiscal support to coal mining companies investing in mining and associated infrastructure development.
About Dipesh Dipu
Dipesh Dipu works as Director with Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu India Pvt. Ltd in the Energy and Resources consulting practice of the firm and anchors the Firm’s initiative in the mining and metals sectors.
He is a mining engineering graduate from Indian School of Mines and is a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA). He has also done executive program in business management from Indian Institute of Management Calcutta. Dipesh has recently been awarded the Abheraj Baldota Gold Medal for the Young Mining Engineer of the Year 2007 by the Mining Engineers’ Association of India in recognition of his contributions in the improvement of mining industry in India.
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Wednesday, 20 November 19
FOREIGN DIRECT INVESTMENTS IN COMMERCIAL COAL MINING IN INDIA? - DIPESH DIPU
In August 2019, Government of India announced its approval for Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) for coal mining, processing and sale. Not that FDI i ...
Wednesday, 20 November 19
AUSTRALIA'S NEW HOPE POSTS 66% SURGE IN Q1 SALEABLE COAL OUTPUT - REUTERS
Australian coal producer New Hope Corp Ltd reported on Tuesday a 66% jump in saleable coal production in the first quarter, as output ramped up at ...
Wednesday, 20 November 19
THE IMO AND THE PRICE OF GAS OR THE IMPACT OF THE INTERNATIONAL MARITIME ORGANISATION'S SULPHUR 2020 LIMIT FOR MARINE FUEL OIL ON THE PRICE OF GAS - KING & SPALDING
The main bunker fuel for ships is High Sulphur Fuel Oil (HSFO, with sulphur up to 3.5% m/m (mass by mass)). This will all change on 1 January 2020 ...
Wednesday, 20 November 19
SHIPPING MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
While the market expects the next OPEC meeting, there are still no clear signs indicating that the organization will keep supporting oil prices, wh ...
Monday, 18 November 19
CHINA RECORDS STABLE COAL PRODUCTION IN JAN-OCT: XINHUA
China’s raw coal output registered stable growth in the first 10 months, while its imports remained robust, official data showed.
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- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Planning Commission, India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- The University of Queensland
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- PTC India Limited - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
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