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Tuesday, 06 September 11
INDONESIAS PROPOSED COAL EXPORT BAN MAY HAVE IMPACT ON THE INDIAN POWER SECTOR - DIPESH DIPU
COALspot.com - This is a special interview about Indonesian proposed coal export ban by 2014, with Mr. Dipesh Dipu, Director of Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu, India.
The Indonesian government is currently in the process of drafting a new regulation that could ban the export of low-grade coal by January 12, 2014. This is likely to apply to coal below 5700 kcal/kg on air dried basis in value.
As of now Indonesia is producing around 150 million tons of coal with calorific value below 5700 GAD (according to chairman of Indonesian coal mining association). However by 2014, there are possibilities the total production of below 5700 GAD coal may reach more than 200 million per annum.
Will Indonesian coal export ban impact on the Indian fuel requirements?
The earlier grade of coal that was being considered for proposed ban has GCV of 5100 kcal/kg of less (adb), which can be comparable to 3800-4200 kcal/kg (arb) domestic coal available in India. This grade of coal has found favor in India primarily due to likely price advantage but economics of power generation based on such grade of imported coal may be a suspect. This considering that such grades of coal from Indonesia typically have high moisture content, which makes transportation cost per unit of energy generated higher. The quantum of the low grade of coal (<5100 kcal/kg adb) procured from Indonesia is likely to remain relatively low.
However, if the new definition of low grade coal is applied (<5700 kcal/kg adb), it may be reasonable to believe that such a ban may have impact on the Indian power sector as volumes in this grade of coal are expected to rise in the proportion of coal exports to India. Several of the acquisitions made by Indian power generation companies in Indonesia have been in coal blocks that will produce coal of this grade, and a blanket ban on the exports can jeopardize power plant development in India.
On the other hand, the domestic Indonesian market may not be prepared to consume all the coal mined of this grade in view of the power generation capacity addition plans in Indonesia. In such a case, the coal mine development is likely to be deferred. The Indonesian law makers may need to reconsider domestic market demand, investment climate in coal sector and impact of the legislation on the export revenues.
What is the alternative source for Indian power industry if the proposed coal export ban come into effect by 2014?
Indian power generation companies have been forced to look out for coal assets abroad due to the investment and regulatory environment within the country. India boasts of more than 110 billion tonnes of coal reserves, which largely fall within a 300 meters of depth. If the regulatory and investment environment is amended to allow greater participation of private sector Indian dependence on imports will be reduced.
However, for imports, India will continue to look at Indonesia, South Africa, Australia and newer destinations like Mozambique and Columbia. But these sources also have constraints, domestic demands in South Africa is likely to restrict quantum jump in exports out of South Africa. Indonesia has also proposed domestic market obligations. Mozambique may have infrastructure constraints for large volumes of coal being transported from Tete province to ports of Maputo, Ncala or Beira. Australian coal is of high quality but may have higher costs of mining and transport.
What would be the additional cost if Indian consumers switch their sourcing origin from Indonesia?
Indonesia has competitive advantage due to its geographical closeness. However, on a per tonne basis, assuming comparable quality, costs of transport may make marginal difference when compared with South Africa and Mozambique.
When compared to Australian coal, due to the high quality, cost of energy may well be comparable even though shipping costs are higher. Between Indonesian coal (5500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 90 per tonne) and Australian coal (6500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 120 per tonne), indicative variable cost difference of power generation may be about Indian Rupees 0.20 to 0.30 per kWh (electricity unit) in favor of Indonesian coal.
Will it affect Indian economy growth or this coal export ban is ignorable as India can easily identify alternative sources of fuel?
The magnitude of growth in power generation in India will necessarily mean that coal will remain the mainstay. Natural gas has had issues of availability. Nuclear plant development is facing socio-political challenge in view of the risks of technology failure. Development of hydel power has also faced issues of land acquisition, rehabilitation & resettlement apart from the technical issues of hydro-geological features. Renewable sources such as solar and wind generation are still projected to constitute a small portion of India power generation mix. Identifying an alternative source that can match coal in its accessibility, availability and affordability in the context of scale of capacity addition required in India is a challenge.
What is the Indian government's role on this issue, whether government has to come out with the solution such as easing Indian mining and environment law, open up mining for foreigners, G2G arrangement, etc…?
There is a need to look at domestic sources with pro-active and constructive approach and make all necessary legal and statutory amendments that make the resources available and mineable. Easing the regulations may not be one of such measures but making those regulations work in sync with each other in a time bound and predictable manner must certainly be.
There is certainly a case for opening the domestic coal sector for private participation, including independent miners, and for foreign participation so that newer technology and enhanced scale of operations are implemented in India. The regulation also needs to permit risk capital to come in for prospecting and exploration.
For imports the G2G relations can be leveraged to secure coal assets. India has good relationship with Indonesia and has also signed a tax treaty with Mozambique in 2010 which will facilitate investments. Government may also engage with these countries to ease exports to India and extend fiscal support to coal mining companies investing in mining and associated infrastructure development.
About Dipesh Dipu
Dipesh Dipu works as Director with Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu India Pvt. Ltd in the Energy and Resources consulting practice of the firm and anchors the Firm’s initiative in the mining and metals sectors.
He is a mining engineering graduate from Indian School of Mines and is a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA). He has also done executive program in business management from Indian Institute of Management Calcutta. Dipesh has recently been awarded the Abheraj Baldota Gold Medal for the Young Mining Engineer of the Year 2007 by the Mining Engineers’ Association of India in recognition of his contributions in the improvement of mining industry in India.
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Sunday, 29 December 19
AUSTRALIA SUFFERS WORST OF CHINA'S COAL CURBS AFTER EARLIER BOOM - BLOOMBERG
Australia is bearing the brunt of China’s year-end coal import restrictions, ceding market share to other exporters including Russia and Mong ...
Saturday, 28 December 19
SUPRAMAX: A 63,000DWT VESSEL, OPEN CIGADING, FIXED A TRIP VIA INDONESIA, REDELIVERY WEST COAST INDIA, AT $8,500 - BALTIC BRIEFING
Capesize
The Capesize market this past week has been attempting to recalibrate itself in consideration of weakening freight levels and increasing ...
Saturday, 28 December 19
CHINESE INDUSTRIAL CITY TO FURTHER CUT COAL CONSUMPTION - XINHUA
Harbin, capital city of Heilongjiang Province in China’s northeastern industrial heartland, is planning to further reduce its coal consumptio ...
Friday, 27 December 19
MISERY LOOMS OVER TOP COAL SHIPPERS AS CHINA TO BUY LESS IN 2020 BLOOMBERG
China isn’t cutting back on consumption of the most-polluting fossil fuel just yet, but it is set to reduce imports.
The world ...
Thursday, 26 December 19
REVIEW OF 2019 AND OUTLOOK FOR 2020 - OPEC
Global economic growth slowed in 2019, impacted by a variety of challenges. Trade issues not only led to reduction in global final consumption but ...
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- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- The University of Queensland
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Australian Coal Association
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- White Energy Company Limited
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
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