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Tuesday, 06 September 11
INDONESIAS PROPOSED COAL EXPORT BAN MAY HAVE IMPACT ON THE INDIAN POWER SECTOR - DIPESH DIPU
COALspot.com - This is a special interview about Indonesian proposed coal export ban by 2014, with Mr. Dipesh Dipu, Director of Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu, India.
The Indonesian government is currently in the process of drafting a new regulation that could ban the export of low-grade coal by January 12, 2014. This is likely to apply to coal below 5700 kcal/kg on air dried basis in value.
As of now Indonesia is producing around 150 million tons of coal with calorific value below 5700 GAD (according to chairman of Indonesian coal mining association). However by 2014, there are possibilities the total production of below 5700 GAD coal may reach more than 200 million per annum.
Will Indonesian coal export ban impact on the Indian fuel requirements?
The earlier grade of coal that was being considered for proposed ban has GCV of 5100 kcal/kg of less (adb), which can be comparable to 3800-4200 kcal/kg (arb) domestic coal available in India. This grade of coal has found favor in India primarily due to likely price advantage but economics of power generation based on such grade of imported coal may be a suspect. This considering that such grades of coal from Indonesia typically have high moisture content, which makes transportation cost per unit of energy generated higher. The quantum of the low grade of coal (<5100 kcal/kg adb) procured from Indonesia is likely to remain relatively low.
However, if the new definition of low grade coal is applied (<5700 kcal/kg adb), it may be reasonable to believe that such a ban may have impact on the Indian power sector as volumes in this grade of coal are expected to rise in the proportion of coal exports to India. Several of the acquisitions made by Indian power generation companies in Indonesia have been in coal blocks that will produce coal of this grade, and a blanket ban on the exports can jeopardize power plant development in India.
On the other hand, the domestic Indonesian market may not be prepared to consume all the coal mined of this grade in view of the power generation capacity addition plans in Indonesia. In such a case, the coal mine development is likely to be deferred. The Indonesian law makers may need to reconsider domestic market demand, investment climate in coal sector and impact of the legislation on the export revenues.
What is the alternative source for Indian power industry if the proposed coal export ban come into effect by 2014?
Indian power generation companies have been forced to look out for coal assets abroad due to the investment and regulatory environment within the country. India boasts of more than 110 billion tonnes of coal reserves, which largely fall within a 300 meters of depth. If the regulatory and investment environment is amended to allow greater participation of private sector Indian dependence on imports will be reduced.
However, for imports, India will continue to look at Indonesia, South Africa, Australia and newer destinations like Mozambique and Columbia. But these sources also have constraints, domestic demands in South Africa is likely to restrict quantum jump in exports out of South Africa. Indonesia has also proposed domestic market obligations. Mozambique may have infrastructure constraints for large volumes of coal being transported from Tete province to ports of Maputo, Ncala or Beira. Australian coal is of high quality but may have higher costs of mining and transport.
What would be the additional cost if Indian consumers switch their sourcing origin from Indonesia?
Indonesia has competitive advantage due to its geographical closeness. However, on a per tonne basis, assuming comparable quality, costs of transport may make marginal difference when compared with South Africa and Mozambique.
When compared to Australian coal, due to the high quality, cost of energy may well be comparable even though shipping costs are higher. Between Indonesian coal (5500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 90 per tonne) and Australian coal (6500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 120 per tonne), indicative variable cost difference of power generation may be about Indian Rupees 0.20 to 0.30 per kWh (electricity unit) in favor of Indonesian coal.
Will it affect Indian economy growth or this coal export ban is ignorable as India can easily identify alternative sources of fuel?
The magnitude of growth in power generation in India will necessarily mean that coal will remain the mainstay. Natural gas has had issues of availability. Nuclear plant development is facing socio-political challenge in view of the risks of technology failure. Development of hydel power has also faced issues of land acquisition, rehabilitation & resettlement apart from the technical issues of hydro-geological features. Renewable sources such as solar and wind generation are still projected to constitute a small portion of India power generation mix. Identifying an alternative source that can match coal in its accessibility, availability and affordability in the context of scale of capacity addition required in India is a challenge.
What is the Indian government's role on this issue, whether government has to come out with the solution such as easing Indian mining and environment law, open up mining for foreigners, G2G arrangement, etc…?
There is a need to look at domestic sources with pro-active and constructive approach and make all necessary legal and statutory amendments that make the resources available and mineable. Easing the regulations may not be one of such measures but making those regulations work in sync with each other in a time bound and predictable manner must certainly be.
There is certainly a case for opening the domestic coal sector for private participation, including independent miners, and for foreign participation so that newer technology and enhanced scale of operations are implemented in India. The regulation also needs to permit risk capital to come in for prospecting and exploration.
For imports the G2G relations can be leveraged to secure coal assets. India has good relationship with Indonesia and has also signed a tax treaty with Mozambique in 2010 which will facilitate investments. Government may also engage with these countries to ease exports to India and extend fiscal support to coal mining companies investing in mining and associated infrastructure development.
About Dipesh Dipu
Dipesh Dipu works as Director with Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu India Pvt. Ltd in the Energy and Resources consulting practice of the firm and anchors the Firm’s initiative in the mining and metals sectors.
He is a mining engineering graduate from Indian School of Mines and is a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA). He has also done executive program in business management from Indian Institute of Management Calcutta. Dipesh has recently been awarded the Abheraj Baldota Gold Medal for the Young Mining Engineer of the Year 2007 by the Mining Engineers’ Association of India in recognition of his contributions in the improvement of mining industry in India.
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Thursday, 23 January 20
AFRICAN POWER PLATFORM PUBLISHES REPORTS ON POWER SECTOR FRAMEWORK FOR SELECTED AFRICAN COUNTRIES
Press Release: African Power Platform publishes Reports on Power Sector Framework for selected African Countries
With the repo ...
Thursday, 23 January 20
COAL-BASED ELECTRICITY GENERATION SURGES 95% IN 2019 - PROFIT PAKISTAN TODAY
Coal-based power generation jumped 94.5 percent to 2,030 Gigawatt hours (GWh) in the year to November 2019, taking its share in the country’s ...
Wednesday, 22 January 20
INDIA: COAL PRODUCTION FROM CAPTIVE MINES RAISES 24% OUTPUT IN APRIL TO DECEMBER - FINANCIAL EXPRESS
Coal production from captive mines in the first nine months of the ongoing financial year was up 24% year-on-year (y-o-y) at 40.93 million tonne (M ...
Wednesday, 22 January 20
SHIPPING MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
It seems that we are finally seeing whitish smoke as far as the trade feud between the US and China is concerned, while following this much anticip ...
Tuesday, 21 January 20
IRON ORE - 5 THINGS TO WATCH IN 2020 - WOOD MACKENZIE
Wood Mackenzie identifies five trends that will impact the iron ore industry.
Slower demand growth (especially in China) and a decen ...
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- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- White Energy Company Limited
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- The University of Queensland
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Planning Commission, India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
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