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Tuesday, 06 September 11
INDONESIAS PROPOSED COAL EXPORT BAN MAY HAVE IMPACT ON THE INDIAN POWER SECTOR - DIPESH DIPU
COALspot.com - This is a special interview about Indonesian proposed coal export ban by 2014, with Mr. Dipesh Dipu, Director of Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu, India.
The Indonesian government is currently in the process of drafting a new regulation that could ban the export of low-grade coal by January 12, 2014. This is likely to apply to coal below 5700 kcal/kg on air dried basis in value.
As of now Indonesia is producing around 150 million tons of coal with calorific value below 5700 GAD (according to chairman of Indonesian coal mining association). However by 2014, there are possibilities the total production of below 5700 GAD coal may reach more than 200 million per annum.
Will Indonesian coal export ban impact on the Indian fuel requirements?
The earlier grade of coal that was being considered for proposed ban has GCV of 5100 kcal/kg of less (adb), which can be comparable to 3800-4200 kcal/kg (arb) domestic coal available in India. This grade of coal has found favor in India primarily due to likely price advantage but economics of power generation based on such grade of imported coal may be a suspect. This considering that such grades of coal from Indonesia typically have high moisture content, which makes transportation cost per unit of energy generated higher. The quantum of the low grade of coal (<5100 kcal/kg adb) procured from Indonesia is likely to remain relatively low.
However, if the new definition of low grade coal is applied (<5700 kcal/kg adb), it may be reasonable to believe that such a ban may have impact on the Indian power sector as volumes in this grade of coal are expected to rise in the proportion of coal exports to India. Several of the acquisitions made by Indian power generation companies in Indonesia have been in coal blocks that will produce coal of this grade, and a blanket ban on the exports can jeopardize power plant development in India.
On the other hand, the domestic Indonesian market may not be prepared to consume all the coal mined of this grade in view of the power generation capacity addition plans in Indonesia. In such a case, the coal mine development is likely to be deferred. The Indonesian law makers may need to reconsider domestic market demand, investment climate in coal sector and impact of the legislation on the export revenues.
What is the alternative source for Indian power industry if the proposed coal export ban come into effect by 2014?
Indian power generation companies have been forced to look out for coal assets abroad due to the investment and regulatory environment within the country. India boasts of more than 110 billion tonnes of coal reserves, which largely fall within a 300 meters of depth. If the regulatory and investment environment is amended to allow greater participation of private sector Indian dependence on imports will be reduced.
However, for imports, India will continue to look at Indonesia, South Africa, Australia and newer destinations like Mozambique and Columbia. But these sources also have constraints, domestic demands in South Africa is likely to restrict quantum jump in exports out of South Africa. Indonesia has also proposed domestic market obligations. Mozambique may have infrastructure constraints for large volumes of coal being transported from Tete province to ports of Maputo, Ncala or Beira. Australian coal is of high quality but may have higher costs of mining and transport.
What would be the additional cost if Indian consumers switch their sourcing origin from Indonesia?
Indonesia has competitive advantage due to its geographical closeness. However, on a per tonne basis, assuming comparable quality, costs of transport may make marginal difference when compared with South Africa and Mozambique.
When compared to Australian coal, due to the high quality, cost of energy may well be comparable even though shipping costs are higher. Between Indonesian coal (5500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 90 per tonne) and Australian coal (6500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 120 per tonne), indicative variable cost difference of power generation may be about Indian Rupees 0.20 to 0.30 per kWh (electricity unit) in favor of Indonesian coal.
Will it affect Indian economy growth or this coal export ban is ignorable as India can easily identify alternative sources of fuel?
The magnitude of growth in power generation in India will necessarily mean that coal will remain the mainstay. Natural gas has had issues of availability. Nuclear plant development is facing socio-political challenge in view of the risks of technology failure. Development of hydel power has also faced issues of land acquisition, rehabilitation & resettlement apart from the technical issues of hydro-geological features. Renewable sources such as solar and wind generation are still projected to constitute a small portion of India power generation mix. Identifying an alternative source that can match coal in its accessibility, availability and affordability in the context of scale of capacity addition required in India is a challenge.
What is the Indian government's role on this issue, whether government has to come out with the solution such as easing Indian mining and environment law, open up mining for foreigners, G2G arrangement, etc…?
There is a need to look at domestic sources with pro-active and constructive approach and make all necessary legal and statutory amendments that make the resources available and mineable. Easing the regulations may not be one of such measures but making those regulations work in sync with each other in a time bound and predictable manner must certainly be.
There is certainly a case for opening the domestic coal sector for private participation, including independent miners, and for foreign participation so that newer technology and enhanced scale of operations are implemented in India. The regulation also needs to permit risk capital to come in for prospecting and exploration.
For imports the G2G relations can be leveraged to secure coal assets. India has good relationship with Indonesia and has also signed a tax treaty with Mozambique in 2010 which will facilitate investments. Government may also engage with these countries to ease exports to India and extend fiscal support to coal mining companies investing in mining and associated infrastructure development.
About Dipesh Dipu
Dipesh Dipu works as Director with Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu India Pvt. Ltd in the Energy and Resources consulting practice of the firm and anchors the Firm’s initiative in the mining and metals sectors.
He is a mining engineering graduate from Indian School of Mines and is a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA). He has also done executive program in business management from Indian Institute of Management Calcutta. Dipesh has recently been awarded the Abheraj Baldota Gold Medal for the Young Mining Engineer of the Year 2007 by the Mining Engineers’ Association of India in recognition of his contributions in the improvement of mining industry in India.
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Friday, 10 July 20
CHINA'S BENCHMARK POWER COAL PRICE EDGES UP - XINHUA
China’s benchmark power coal price rose slightly during the past week.
The Bohai-Rim Steam-Coal Price Index (BSPI), a gauge of ...
Friday, 10 July 20
GLOBAL SHIPPING EARNINGS FORECAST CUT AS SUPPLY SET TO OUTSTRIP DEMAND - MOODY'S
EBITDA forecast worsens, keeping outlook negative. We now expect the aggregate EBITDA of rated shipping companies to fall by around 16%-18% in 2020 ...
Friday, 10 July 20
SLOW RECOVERY IN TANKER RATES TO WEIGH ON BUANA LINTAS LAUTAN - FITCH RATINGS
Fitch Ratings believes that international tanker rates are likely improve after their sharp fall since May 2020, albeit at a slow pace. The weaknes ...
Wednesday, 08 July 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
During the previous month, the dry bulk market witnessed an impressive increase in the BDI index that has reached 1800 points from 500 with a clear ...
Tuesday, 07 July 20
COAL INDIA WORKERS STRIKE CUTS OUTPUT BY 56%: OFFICIAL - REUTERS
A strike at Coal India Ltd cut production by 56% in the three days ending July 4 as workers oppose opening up coal mining to the private sector, a ...
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- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Economic Council, Georgia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- The University of Queensland
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Planning Commission, India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Australian Coal Association
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
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