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Tuesday, 06 September 11
INDONESIAS PROPOSED COAL EXPORT BAN MAY HAVE IMPACT ON THE INDIAN POWER SECTOR - DIPESH DIPU
COALspot.com - This is a special interview about Indonesian proposed coal export ban by 2014, with Mr. Dipesh Dipu, Director of Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu, India.
The Indonesian government is currently in the process of drafting a new regulation that could ban the export of low-grade coal by January 12, 2014. This is likely to apply to coal below 5700 kcal/kg on air dried basis in value.
As of now Indonesia is producing around 150 million tons of coal with calorific value below 5700 GAD (according to chairman of Indonesian coal mining association). However by 2014, there are possibilities the total production of below 5700 GAD coal may reach more than 200 million per annum.
Will Indonesian coal export ban impact on the Indian fuel requirements?
The earlier grade of coal that was being considered for proposed ban has GCV of 5100 kcal/kg of less (adb), which can be comparable to 3800-4200 kcal/kg (arb) domestic coal available in India. This grade of coal has found favor in India primarily due to likely price advantage but economics of power generation based on such grade of imported coal may be a suspect. This considering that such grades of coal from Indonesia typically have high moisture content, which makes transportation cost per unit of energy generated higher. The quantum of the low grade of coal (<5100 kcal/kg adb) procured from Indonesia is likely to remain relatively low.
However, if the new definition of low grade coal is applied (<5700 kcal/kg adb), it may be reasonable to believe that such a ban may have impact on the Indian power sector as volumes in this grade of coal are expected to rise in the proportion of coal exports to India. Several of the acquisitions made by Indian power generation companies in Indonesia have been in coal blocks that will produce coal of this grade, and a blanket ban on the exports can jeopardize power plant development in India.
On the other hand, the domestic Indonesian market may not be prepared to consume all the coal mined of this grade in view of the power generation capacity addition plans in Indonesia. In such a case, the coal mine development is likely to be deferred. The Indonesian law makers may need to reconsider domestic market demand, investment climate in coal sector and impact of the legislation on the export revenues.
What is the alternative source for Indian power industry if the proposed coal export ban come into effect by 2014?
Indian power generation companies have been forced to look out for coal assets abroad due to the investment and regulatory environment within the country. India boasts of more than 110 billion tonnes of coal reserves, which largely fall within a 300 meters of depth. If the regulatory and investment environment is amended to allow greater participation of private sector Indian dependence on imports will be reduced.
However, for imports, India will continue to look at Indonesia, South Africa, Australia and newer destinations like Mozambique and Columbia. But these sources also have constraints, domestic demands in South Africa is likely to restrict quantum jump in exports out of South Africa. Indonesia has also proposed domestic market obligations. Mozambique may have infrastructure constraints for large volumes of coal being transported from Tete province to ports of Maputo, Ncala or Beira. Australian coal is of high quality but may have higher costs of mining and transport.
What would be the additional cost if Indian consumers switch their sourcing origin from Indonesia?
Indonesia has competitive advantage due to its geographical closeness. However, on a per tonne basis, assuming comparable quality, costs of transport may make marginal difference when compared with South Africa and Mozambique.
When compared to Australian coal, due to the high quality, cost of energy may well be comparable even though shipping costs are higher. Between Indonesian coal (5500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 90 per tonne) and Australian coal (6500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 120 per tonne), indicative variable cost difference of power generation may be about Indian Rupees 0.20 to 0.30 per kWh (electricity unit) in favor of Indonesian coal.
Will it affect Indian economy growth or this coal export ban is ignorable as India can easily identify alternative sources of fuel?
The magnitude of growth in power generation in India will necessarily mean that coal will remain the mainstay. Natural gas has had issues of availability. Nuclear plant development is facing socio-political challenge in view of the risks of technology failure. Development of hydel power has also faced issues of land acquisition, rehabilitation & resettlement apart from the technical issues of hydro-geological features. Renewable sources such as solar and wind generation are still projected to constitute a small portion of India power generation mix. Identifying an alternative source that can match coal in its accessibility, availability and affordability in the context of scale of capacity addition required in India is a challenge.
What is the Indian government's role on this issue, whether government has to come out with the solution such as easing Indian mining and environment law, open up mining for foreigners, G2G arrangement, etc…?
There is a need to look at domestic sources with pro-active and constructive approach and make all necessary legal and statutory amendments that make the resources available and mineable. Easing the regulations may not be one of such measures but making those regulations work in sync with each other in a time bound and predictable manner must certainly be.
There is certainly a case for opening the domestic coal sector for private participation, including independent miners, and for foreign participation so that newer technology and enhanced scale of operations are implemented in India. The regulation also needs to permit risk capital to come in for prospecting and exploration.
For imports the G2G relations can be leveraged to secure coal assets. India has good relationship with Indonesia and has also signed a tax treaty with Mozambique in 2010 which will facilitate investments. Government may also engage with these countries to ease exports to India and extend fiscal support to coal mining companies investing in mining and associated infrastructure development.
About Dipesh Dipu
Dipesh Dipu works as Director with Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu India Pvt. Ltd in the Energy and Resources consulting practice of the firm and anchors the Firm’s initiative in the mining and metals sectors.
He is a mining engineering graduate from Indian School of Mines and is a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA). He has also done executive program in business management from Indian Institute of Management Calcutta. Dipesh has recently been awarded the Abheraj Baldota Gold Medal for the Young Mining Engineer of the Year 2007 by the Mining Engineers’ Association of India in recognition of his contributions in the improvement of mining industry in India.
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Wednesday, 14 October 20
CHINA COKING COAL FUTURES RALLY ON REPORTED BAN ON AUSTRALIA CARGOES - REUTERS
Dalian coking coal futures rallied for a sixth straight session on Tuesday after reports surfaced that China had stopped buying coal from Australia ...
Wednesday, 14 October 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
The tanker market has experienced severe freight rate and asset value declines over the past 5 months. A potential market upturn may arise in the c ...
Friday, 09 October 20
INDIA'S COAL IMPORTS IMPROVE SOMEWHAT, BUT RECOVERY IS UNEVEN - REUTERS
India’s coal imports, depressed by the impact of coronavirus this year, regained ground in September, but in an uneven uptick – shipmen ...
Thursday, 08 October 20
CHINA'S COAL IMPORTS FROM INDONESIA DECLINED 16.4% Y-O-Y, TO 80.2 MLN TONNES IN THE FIRST 9 MONTHS OF 2020 - BANCHERO COSTA
China's coal imports boomed in 2019, surprising many who had expected the government would clamp down strictly on shipments.
...
Thursday, 08 October 20
GLIMMER OF LIGHT FOR COAL, BUT SHORT TERM - FNARENA
Is coal on the rebound? Demand appears stronger and supply reductions have underpinned a tightening market. Certainly, the Newcastle thermal coal p ...
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- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- White Energy Company Limited
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- The University of Queensland
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- PTC India Limited - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
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