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Tuesday, 06 September 11
INDONESIAS PROPOSED COAL EXPORT BAN MAY HAVE IMPACT ON THE INDIAN POWER SECTOR - DIPESH DIPU
COALspot.com - This is a special interview about Indonesian proposed coal export ban by 2014, with Mr. Dipesh Dipu, Director of Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu, India.
The Indonesian government is currently in the process of drafting a new regulation that could ban the export of low-grade coal by January 12, 2014. This is likely to apply to coal below 5700 kcal/kg on air dried basis in value.
As of now Indonesia is producing around 150 million tons of coal with calorific value below 5700 GAD (according to chairman of Indonesian coal mining association). However by 2014, there are possibilities the total production of below 5700 GAD coal may reach more than 200 million per annum.
Will Indonesian coal export ban impact on the Indian fuel requirements?
The earlier grade of coal that was being considered for proposed ban has GCV of 5100 kcal/kg of less (adb), which can be comparable to 3800-4200 kcal/kg (arb) domestic coal available in India. This grade of coal has found favor in India primarily due to likely price advantage but economics of power generation based on such grade of imported coal may be a suspect. This considering that such grades of coal from Indonesia typically have high moisture content, which makes transportation cost per unit of energy generated higher. The quantum of the low grade of coal (<5100 kcal/kg adb) procured from Indonesia is likely to remain relatively low.
However, if the new definition of low grade coal is applied (<5700 kcal/kg adb), it may be reasonable to believe that such a ban may have impact on the Indian power sector as volumes in this grade of coal are expected to rise in the proportion of coal exports to India. Several of the acquisitions made by Indian power generation companies in Indonesia have been in coal blocks that will produce coal of this grade, and a blanket ban on the exports can jeopardize power plant development in India.
On the other hand, the domestic Indonesian market may not be prepared to consume all the coal mined of this grade in view of the power generation capacity addition plans in Indonesia. In such a case, the coal mine development is likely to be deferred. The Indonesian law makers may need to reconsider domestic market demand, investment climate in coal sector and impact of the legislation on the export revenues.
What is the alternative source for Indian power industry if the proposed coal export ban come into effect by 2014?
Indian power generation companies have been forced to look out for coal assets abroad due to the investment and regulatory environment within the country. India boasts of more than 110 billion tonnes of coal reserves, which largely fall within a 300 meters of depth. If the regulatory and investment environment is amended to allow greater participation of private sector Indian dependence on imports will be reduced.
However, for imports, India will continue to look at Indonesia, South Africa, Australia and newer destinations like Mozambique and Columbia. But these sources also have constraints, domestic demands in South Africa is likely to restrict quantum jump in exports out of South Africa. Indonesia has also proposed domestic market obligations. Mozambique may have infrastructure constraints for large volumes of coal being transported from Tete province to ports of Maputo, Ncala or Beira. Australian coal is of high quality but may have higher costs of mining and transport.
What would be the additional cost if Indian consumers switch their sourcing origin from Indonesia?
Indonesia has competitive advantage due to its geographical closeness. However, on a per tonne basis, assuming comparable quality, costs of transport may make marginal difference when compared with South Africa and Mozambique.
When compared to Australian coal, due to the high quality, cost of energy may well be comparable even though shipping costs are higher. Between Indonesian coal (5500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 90 per tonne) and Australian coal (6500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 120 per tonne), indicative variable cost difference of power generation may be about Indian Rupees 0.20 to 0.30 per kWh (electricity unit) in favor of Indonesian coal.
Will it affect Indian economy growth or this coal export ban is ignorable as India can easily identify alternative sources of fuel?
The magnitude of growth in power generation in India will necessarily mean that coal will remain the mainstay. Natural gas has had issues of availability. Nuclear plant development is facing socio-political challenge in view of the risks of technology failure. Development of hydel power has also faced issues of land acquisition, rehabilitation & resettlement apart from the technical issues of hydro-geological features. Renewable sources such as solar and wind generation are still projected to constitute a small portion of India power generation mix. Identifying an alternative source that can match coal in its accessibility, availability and affordability in the context of scale of capacity addition required in India is a challenge.
What is the Indian government's role on this issue, whether government has to come out with the solution such as easing Indian mining and environment law, open up mining for foreigners, G2G arrangement, etc…?
There is a need to look at domestic sources with pro-active and constructive approach and make all necessary legal and statutory amendments that make the resources available and mineable. Easing the regulations may not be one of such measures but making those regulations work in sync with each other in a time bound and predictable manner must certainly be.
There is certainly a case for opening the domestic coal sector for private participation, including independent miners, and for foreign participation so that newer technology and enhanced scale of operations are implemented in India. The regulation also needs to permit risk capital to come in for prospecting and exploration.
For imports the G2G relations can be leveraged to secure coal assets. India has good relationship with Indonesia and has also signed a tax treaty with Mozambique in 2010 which will facilitate investments. Government may also engage with these countries to ease exports to India and extend fiscal support to coal mining companies investing in mining and associated infrastructure development.
About Dipesh Dipu
Dipesh Dipu works as Director with Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu India Pvt. Ltd in the Energy and Resources consulting practice of the firm and anchors the Firm’s initiative in the mining and metals sectors.
He is a mining engineering graduate from Indian School of Mines and is a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA). He has also done executive program in business management from Indian Institute of Management Calcutta. Dipesh has recently been awarded the Abheraj Baldota Gold Medal for the Young Mining Engineer of the Year 2007 by the Mining Engineers’ Association of India in recognition of his contributions in the improvement of mining industry in India.
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Monday, 14 December 20
PHILIPPINE BANK RCBC TO STOP LENDING FOR NEW COAL-FIRED POWER PROJECTS - MANILA BULLETIN
Yuchengco-led Rizal Commercial Banking Corporation (RCBC) has forthrightly declared that it will no longer extend financing to new coal-fired power ...
Sunday, 13 December 20
LONGSTANDING DOWNSIDE RISKS TO TRADE OUTLOOK - BALTIC EXCHANGE
The OECD has attempted to put a positive spin on the trade message emanating from its latest economic outlook, released last week.
The ...
Sunday, 13 December 20
INDONESIA COAL OUTPUT AT 514 MILLION TONNES THIS YEAR, 2021 TARGET UNCHANGED - REUTERS
Indonesia coal output in the period to Dec. 10 stood at 514.2 million tonnes, official data from the energy ministry’s website showed.
&n ...
Thursday, 10 December 20
MALAYSIA'S CIMB ANNOUNCES COAL FINANCING PHASE-OUT BY 2040 AS ASIA'S FOSSIL FUEL DIVESTMENT DRIVE ACCELERATES - IEEFA
The first emerging markets bank to announce a progressive coal exit policy
Malaysia’s CIMB Group Holdings (CIMB) has announced ...
Wednesday, 09 December 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
Heading towards the end of a difficult year and with the entire planet under the shadow of the covid-19 virus, it is interesting to proceed with a ...
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- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- The University of Queensland
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Parliament of New Zealand
- White Energy Company Limited
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- PTC India Limited - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
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