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Tuesday, 06 September 11
INDONESIAS PROPOSED COAL EXPORT BAN MAY HAVE IMPACT ON THE INDIAN POWER SECTOR - DIPESH DIPU
COALspot.com - This is a special interview about Indonesian proposed coal export ban by 2014, with Mr. Dipesh Dipu, Director of Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu, India.
The Indonesian government is currently in the process of drafting a new regulation that could ban the export of low-grade coal by January 12, 2014. This is likely to apply to coal below 5700 kcal/kg on air dried basis in value.
As of now Indonesia is producing around 150 million tons of coal with calorific value below 5700 GAD (according to chairman of Indonesian coal mining association). However by 2014, there are possibilities the total production of below 5700 GAD coal may reach more than 200 million per annum.
Will Indonesian coal export ban impact on the Indian fuel requirements?
The earlier grade of coal that was being considered for proposed ban has GCV of 5100 kcal/kg of less (adb), which can be comparable to 3800-4200 kcal/kg (arb) domestic coal available in India. This grade of coal has found favor in India primarily due to likely price advantage but economics of power generation based on such grade of imported coal may be a suspect. This considering that such grades of coal from Indonesia typically have high moisture content, which makes transportation cost per unit of energy generated higher. The quantum of the low grade of coal (<5100 kcal/kg adb) procured from Indonesia is likely to remain relatively low.
However, if the new definition of low grade coal is applied (<5700 kcal/kg adb), it may be reasonable to believe that such a ban may have impact on the Indian power sector as volumes in this grade of coal are expected to rise in the proportion of coal exports to India. Several of the acquisitions made by Indian power generation companies in Indonesia have been in coal blocks that will produce coal of this grade, and a blanket ban on the exports can jeopardize power plant development in India.
On the other hand, the domestic Indonesian market may not be prepared to consume all the coal mined of this grade in view of the power generation capacity addition plans in Indonesia. In such a case, the coal mine development is likely to be deferred. The Indonesian law makers may need to reconsider domestic market demand, investment climate in coal sector and impact of the legislation on the export revenues.
What is the alternative source for Indian power industry if the proposed coal export ban come into effect by 2014?
Indian power generation companies have been forced to look out for coal assets abroad due to the investment and regulatory environment within the country. India boasts of more than 110 billion tonnes of coal reserves, which largely fall within a 300 meters of depth. If the regulatory and investment environment is amended to allow greater participation of private sector Indian dependence on imports will be reduced.
However, for imports, India will continue to look at Indonesia, South Africa, Australia and newer destinations like Mozambique and Columbia. But these sources also have constraints, domestic demands in South Africa is likely to restrict quantum jump in exports out of South Africa. Indonesia has also proposed domestic market obligations. Mozambique may have infrastructure constraints for large volumes of coal being transported from Tete province to ports of Maputo, Ncala or Beira. Australian coal is of high quality but may have higher costs of mining and transport.
What would be the additional cost if Indian consumers switch their sourcing origin from Indonesia?
Indonesia has competitive advantage due to its geographical closeness. However, on a per tonne basis, assuming comparable quality, costs of transport may make marginal difference when compared with South Africa and Mozambique.
When compared to Australian coal, due to the high quality, cost of energy may well be comparable even though shipping costs are higher. Between Indonesian coal (5500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 90 per tonne) and Australian coal (6500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 120 per tonne), indicative variable cost difference of power generation may be about Indian Rupees 0.20 to 0.30 per kWh (electricity unit) in favor of Indonesian coal.
Will it affect Indian economy growth or this coal export ban is ignorable as India can easily identify alternative sources of fuel?
The magnitude of growth in power generation in India will necessarily mean that coal will remain the mainstay. Natural gas has had issues of availability. Nuclear plant development is facing socio-political challenge in view of the risks of technology failure. Development of hydel power has also faced issues of land acquisition, rehabilitation & resettlement apart from the technical issues of hydro-geological features. Renewable sources such as solar and wind generation are still projected to constitute a small portion of India power generation mix. Identifying an alternative source that can match coal in its accessibility, availability and affordability in the context of scale of capacity addition required in India is a challenge.
What is the Indian government's role on this issue, whether government has to come out with the solution such as easing Indian mining and environment law, open up mining for foreigners, G2G arrangement, etc…?
There is a need to look at domestic sources with pro-active and constructive approach and make all necessary legal and statutory amendments that make the resources available and mineable. Easing the regulations may not be one of such measures but making those regulations work in sync with each other in a time bound and predictable manner must certainly be.
There is certainly a case for opening the domestic coal sector for private participation, including independent miners, and for foreign participation so that newer technology and enhanced scale of operations are implemented in India. The regulation also needs to permit risk capital to come in for prospecting and exploration.
For imports the G2G relations can be leveraged to secure coal assets. India has good relationship with Indonesia and has also signed a tax treaty with Mozambique in 2010 which will facilitate investments. Government may also engage with these countries to ease exports to India and extend fiscal support to coal mining companies investing in mining and associated infrastructure development.
About Dipesh Dipu
Dipesh Dipu works as Director with Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu India Pvt. Ltd in the Energy and Resources consulting practice of the firm and anchors the Firm’s initiative in the mining and metals sectors.
He is a mining engineering graduate from Indian School of Mines and is a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA). He has also done executive program in business management from Indian Institute of Management Calcutta. Dipesh has recently been awarded the Abheraj Baldota Gold Medal for the Young Mining Engineer of the Year 2007 by the Mining Engineers’ Association of India in recognition of his contributions in the improvement of mining industry in India.
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Tuesday, 29 December 20
CORROSION-RESISTANT STEELS FOR CARGO OIL TANKS - DNV GL
KNOWLEDGE TO ELEVATE
Crude oil is a complex mixture of substances at varying ratios and in most cases contains at least some salt water. ...
Tuesday, 29 December 20
CHINA COKING COAL FUTURES RISE FOR THIRD DAY ON SUPPLY WORRIES - REUTERS
Chinese coking coal futures extended gains into a third session on Monday, jumping as much as 6.2% as lower imports, sliding inventories and mines ...
Wednesday, 23 December 20
COKING COAL'S DECLINE LIKELY TO FOLLOW THE PATH OF THERMAL COAL’S PROGRESSIVE DEMISE - IEEFA
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There has been a growing tsunami of climate commitment annou ...
Wednesday, 23 December 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
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Tuesday, 22 December 20
2021 DRY BULK OUTLOOK - SUPPLY GROWTH - TORVALD KLAVENESS
In the first article in the series we mentioned that dry bulk freight was in a super cycle between 2001 and 2008. The growth in global yard capacit ...
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- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- The University of Queensland
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- PTC India Limited - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Planning Commission, India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- White Energy Company Limited
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Australian Coal Association
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
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