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Tuesday, 06 September 11
INDONESIAS PROPOSED COAL EXPORT BAN MAY HAVE IMPACT ON THE INDIAN POWER SECTOR - DIPESH DIPU
COALspot.com - This is a special interview about Indonesian proposed coal export ban by 2014, with Mr. Dipesh Dipu, Director of Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu, India.
The Indonesian government is currently in the process of drafting a new regulation that could ban the export of low-grade coal by January 12, 2014. This is likely to apply to coal below 5700 kcal/kg on air dried basis in value.
As of now Indonesia is producing around 150 million tons of coal with calorific value below 5700 GAD (according to chairman of Indonesian coal mining association). However by 2014, there are possibilities the total production of below 5700 GAD coal may reach more than 200 million per annum.
Will Indonesian coal export ban impact on the Indian fuel requirements?
The earlier grade of coal that was being considered for proposed ban has GCV of 5100 kcal/kg of less (adb), which can be comparable to 3800-4200 kcal/kg (arb) domestic coal available in India. This grade of coal has found favor in India primarily due to likely price advantage but economics of power generation based on such grade of imported coal may be a suspect. This considering that such grades of coal from Indonesia typically have high moisture content, which makes transportation cost per unit of energy generated higher. The quantum of the low grade of coal (<5100 kcal/kg adb) procured from Indonesia is likely to remain relatively low.
However, if the new definition of low grade coal is applied (<5700 kcal/kg adb), it may be reasonable to believe that such a ban may have impact on the Indian power sector as volumes in this grade of coal are expected to rise in the proportion of coal exports to India. Several of the acquisitions made by Indian power generation companies in Indonesia have been in coal blocks that will produce coal of this grade, and a blanket ban on the exports can jeopardize power plant development in India.
On the other hand, the domestic Indonesian market may not be prepared to consume all the coal mined of this grade in view of the power generation capacity addition plans in Indonesia. In such a case, the coal mine development is likely to be deferred. The Indonesian law makers may need to reconsider domestic market demand, investment climate in coal sector and impact of the legislation on the export revenues.
What is the alternative source for Indian power industry if the proposed coal export ban come into effect by 2014?
Indian power generation companies have been forced to look out for coal assets abroad due to the investment and regulatory environment within the country. India boasts of more than 110 billion tonnes of coal reserves, which largely fall within a 300 meters of depth. If the regulatory and investment environment is amended to allow greater participation of private sector Indian dependence on imports will be reduced.
However, for imports, India will continue to look at Indonesia, South Africa, Australia and newer destinations like Mozambique and Columbia. But these sources also have constraints, domestic demands in South Africa is likely to restrict quantum jump in exports out of South Africa. Indonesia has also proposed domestic market obligations. Mozambique may have infrastructure constraints for large volumes of coal being transported from Tete province to ports of Maputo, Ncala or Beira. Australian coal is of high quality but may have higher costs of mining and transport.
What would be the additional cost if Indian consumers switch their sourcing origin from Indonesia?
Indonesia has competitive advantage due to its geographical closeness. However, on a per tonne basis, assuming comparable quality, costs of transport may make marginal difference when compared with South Africa and Mozambique.
When compared to Australian coal, due to the high quality, cost of energy may well be comparable even though shipping costs are higher. Between Indonesian coal (5500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 90 per tonne) and Australian coal (6500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 120 per tonne), indicative variable cost difference of power generation may be about Indian Rupees 0.20 to 0.30 per kWh (electricity unit) in favor of Indonesian coal.
Will it affect Indian economy growth or this coal export ban is ignorable as India can easily identify alternative sources of fuel?
The magnitude of growth in power generation in India will necessarily mean that coal will remain the mainstay. Natural gas has had issues of availability. Nuclear plant development is facing socio-political challenge in view of the risks of technology failure. Development of hydel power has also faced issues of land acquisition, rehabilitation & resettlement apart from the technical issues of hydro-geological features. Renewable sources such as solar and wind generation are still projected to constitute a small portion of India power generation mix. Identifying an alternative source that can match coal in its accessibility, availability and affordability in the context of scale of capacity addition required in India is a challenge.
What is the Indian government's role on this issue, whether government has to come out with the solution such as easing Indian mining and environment law, open up mining for foreigners, G2G arrangement, etc…?
There is a need to look at domestic sources with pro-active and constructive approach and make all necessary legal and statutory amendments that make the resources available and mineable. Easing the regulations may not be one of such measures but making those regulations work in sync with each other in a time bound and predictable manner must certainly be.
There is certainly a case for opening the domestic coal sector for private participation, including independent miners, and for foreign participation so that newer technology and enhanced scale of operations are implemented in India. The regulation also needs to permit risk capital to come in for prospecting and exploration.
For imports the G2G relations can be leveraged to secure coal assets. India has good relationship with Indonesia and has also signed a tax treaty with Mozambique in 2010 which will facilitate investments. Government may also engage with these countries to ease exports to India and extend fiscal support to coal mining companies investing in mining and associated infrastructure development.
About Dipesh Dipu
Dipesh Dipu works as Director with Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu India Pvt. Ltd in the Energy and Resources consulting practice of the firm and anchors the Firm’s initiative in the mining and metals sectors.
He is a mining engineering graduate from Indian School of Mines and is a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA). He has also done executive program in business management from Indian Institute of Management Calcutta. Dipesh has recently been awarded the Abheraj Baldota Gold Medal for the Young Mining Engineer of the Year 2007 by the Mining Engineers’ Association of India in recognition of his contributions in the improvement of mining industry in India.
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Tuesday, 23 June 09
NAPOCOR TO RE-TENDER FOR 195,000 T COAL IN JULY
Electricity producer National Power Corp. (Napocor) will hold a tender on July 15 to buy 195,000 tons of steam coal for its Sual power station, the ...
Monday, 22 June 09
ONE DIES IN KUTAI COAL TUNNEL COLLAPSE
The Jakarta Post reported that, A tunnel at a coal mine belonging to company PT Fajar Bumi Sakti in Kutai Kartanegara, East Kalimantan collapsed on ...
Monday, 22 June 09
THIS WEEK IS EXPECTED TO BE FIRM AND DEMAND OF SHIPS WOULD BE STRONG - VISTAAR SINGAPORE
COALspot.com (Singapore): The BDI up by 487 points over last week which is an increase of almost 13 pct. The increase is again mainly due to Ca ...
Monday, 22 June 09
CHINESE MAY COAL IMPORTS HIT RECORD 9.43 MILLION TONNES
Reuters quoted Custom Data showed that China's coal imports hit an all-time record of 9.43 million tonnes in May.
The figure surpasses the previ ...
Monday, 22 June 09
SOUTH AFRICAN EXPORT COAL DECLINES ON WEAKENING EUROPEAN DEMAND
Prices for coal shipped from South Africa’s Richards Bay, site of the world’s largest export terminal for the fuel, posted the first dro ...
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- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- PTC India Limited - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Australian Coal Association
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Planning Commission, India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- The University of Queensland
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
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