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Tuesday, 06 September 11
INDONESIAS PROPOSED COAL EXPORT BAN MAY HAVE IMPACT ON THE INDIAN POWER SECTOR - DIPESH DIPU
COALspot.com - This is a special interview about Indonesian proposed coal export ban by 2014, with Mr. Dipesh Dipu, Director of Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu, India.
The Indonesian government is currently in the process of drafting a new regulation that could ban the export of low-grade coal by January 12, 2014. This is likely to apply to coal below 5700 kcal/kg on air dried basis in value.
As of now Indonesia is producing around 150 million tons of coal with calorific value below 5700 GAD (according to chairman of Indonesian coal mining association). However by 2014, there are possibilities the total production of below 5700 GAD coal may reach more than 200 million per annum.
Will Indonesian coal export ban impact on the Indian fuel requirements?
The earlier grade of coal that was being considered for proposed ban has GCV of 5100 kcal/kg of less (adb), which can be comparable to 3800-4200 kcal/kg (arb) domestic coal available in India. This grade of coal has found favor in India primarily due to likely price advantage but economics of power generation based on such grade of imported coal may be a suspect. This considering that such grades of coal from Indonesia typically have high moisture content, which makes transportation cost per unit of energy generated higher. The quantum of the low grade of coal (<5100 kcal/kg adb) procured from Indonesia is likely to remain relatively low.
However, if the new definition of low grade coal is applied (<5700 kcal/kg adb), it may be reasonable to believe that such a ban may have impact on the Indian power sector as volumes in this grade of coal are expected to rise in the proportion of coal exports to India. Several of the acquisitions made by Indian power generation companies in Indonesia have been in coal blocks that will produce coal of this grade, and a blanket ban on the exports can jeopardize power plant development in India.
On the other hand, the domestic Indonesian market may not be prepared to consume all the coal mined of this grade in view of the power generation capacity addition plans in Indonesia. In such a case, the coal mine development is likely to be deferred. The Indonesian law makers may need to reconsider domestic market demand, investment climate in coal sector and impact of the legislation on the export revenues.
What is the alternative source for Indian power industry if the proposed coal export ban come into effect by 2014?
Indian power generation companies have been forced to look out for coal assets abroad due to the investment and regulatory environment within the country. India boasts of more than 110 billion tonnes of coal reserves, which largely fall within a 300 meters of depth. If the regulatory and investment environment is amended to allow greater participation of private sector Indian dependence on imports will be reduced.
However, for imports, India will continue to look at Indonesia, South Africa, Australia and newer destinations like Mozambique and Columbia. But these sources also have constraints, domestic demands in South Africa is likely to restrict quantum jump in exports out of South Africa. Indonesia has also proposed domestic market obligations. Mozambique may have infrastructure constraints for large volumes of coal being transported from Tete province to ports of Maputo, Ncala or Beira. Australian coal is of high quality but may have higher costs of mining and transport.
What would be the additional cost if Indian consumers switch their sourcing origin from Indonesia?
Indonesia has competitive advantage due to its geographical closeness. However, on a per tonne basis, assuming comparable quality, costs of transport may make marginal difference when compared with South Africa and Mozambique.
When compared to Australian coal, due to the high quality, cost of energy may well be comparable even though shipping costs are higher. Between Indonesian coal (5500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 90 per tonne) and Australian coal (6500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 120 per tonne), indicative variable cost difference of power generation may be about Indian Rupees 0.20 to 0.30 per kWh (electricity unit) in favor of Indonesian coal.
Will it affect Indian economy growth or this coal export ban is ignorable as India can easily identify alternative sources of fuel?
The magnitude of growth in power generation in India will necessarily mean that coal will remain the mainstay. Natural gas has had issues of availability. Nuclear plant development is facing socio-political challenge in view of the risks of technology failure. Development of hydel power has also faced issues of land acquisition, rehabilitation & resettlement apart from the technical issues of hydro-geological features. Renewable sources such as solar and wind generation are still projected to constitute a small portion of India power generation mix. Identifying an alternative source that can match coal in its accessibility, availability and affordability in the context of scale of capacity addition required in India is a challenge.
What is the Indian government's role on this issue, whether government has to come out with the solution such as easing Indian mining and environment law, open up mining for foreigners, G2G arrangement, etc…?
There is a need to look at domestic sources with pro-active and constructive approach and make all necessary legal and statutory amendments that make the resources available and mineable. Easing the regulations may not be one of such measures but making those regulations work in sync with each other in a time bound and predictable manner must certainly be.
There is certainly a case for opening the domestic coal sector for private participation, including independent miners, and for foreign participation so that newer technology and enhanced scale of operations are implemented in India. The regulation also needs to permit risk capital to come in for prospecting and exploration.
For imports the G2G relations can be leveraged to secure coal assets. India has good relationship with Indonesia and has also signed a tax treaty with Mozambique in 2010 which will facilitate investments. Government may also engage with these countries to ease exports to India and extend fiscal support to coal mining companies investing in mining and associated infrastructure development.
About Dipesh Dipu
Dipesh Dipu works as Director with Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu India Pvt. Ltd in the Energy and Resources consulting practice of the firm and anchors the Firm’s initiative in the mining and metals sectors.
He is a mining engineering graduate from Indian School of Mines and is a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA). He has also done executive program in business management from Indian Institute of Management Calcutta. Dipesh has recently been awarded the Abheraj Baldota Gold Medal for the Young Mining Engineer of the Year 2007 by the Mining Engineers’ Association of India in recognition of his contributions in the improvement of mining industry in India.
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Monday, 10 August 09
POLICY HURDLES DELAY NALCO'S U$$ 4.166 BILLION OVERSEAS PROJECTS
National Aluminium Company Ltd's (NALCO) greenfield projects in overseas markets like Indonesia and Iran are in limbo because of political
...
Monday, 10 August 09
SAIL, TATA STEEL TO REDUCE COAL IMPORTS BY PARADIP PORT
World Shipping News reported that, Steel Authority of India Ltd (SAIL) and Tata Steel have scaled down coal imports through Paradip Port, hit by pre ...
Monday, 10 August 09
NTPC LIKELY TO SET UP POWER PLANTS IN NIGERIA AND SRILANKA
Economic time reported that, National Thermal Power Corporation Limited (NTPC), country's largest power utility, is likely to set up power plants i ...
Monday, 10 August 09
VINACOMIN TO SELL COAL AT MARKET PRICES TO DOMESTIC USERS
VNBusinessNews.com - Reuters reported that Vietnamese government has agreed to let coal monopoly Vinacomin sell coal at market oriented prices to do ...
Sunday, 09 August 09
TNEB ENNORE PORT CALLS TO TRIPLE COAL OUTPUT
World Shipping News reported that, the Tamil Nadu Electricity Board (TNEB) has asked Ennore Port Ltd (EPL) to increase the port’s installed ca ...
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- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Planning Commission, India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- White Energy Company Limited
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Australian Coal Association
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- The University of Queensland
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
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