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Tuesday, 06 September 11
INDONESIAS PROPOSED COAL EXPORT BAN MAY HAVE IMPACT ON THE INDIAN POWER SECTOR - DIPESH DIPU
.jpg) COALspot.com - This is a special interview about Indonesian proposed coal export ban by 2014, with Mr. Dipesh Dipu, Director of Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu, India.
The Indonesian government is currently in the process of drafting a new regulation that could ban the export of low-grade coal by January 12, 2014. This is likely to apply to coal below 5700 kcal/kg on air dried basis in value.
As of now Indonesia is producing around 150 million tons of coal with calorific value below 5700 GAD (according to chairman of Indonesian coal mining association). However by 2014, there are possibilities the total production of below 5700 GAD coal may reach more than 200 million per annum.
Will Indonesian coal export ban impact on the Indian fuel requirements?
The earlier grade of coal that was being considered for proposed ban has GCV of 5100 kcal/kg of less (adb), which can be comparable to 3800-4200 kcal/kg (arb) domestic coal available in India. This grade of coal has found favor in India primarily due to likely price advantage but economics of power generation based on such grade of imported coal may be a suspect. This considering that such grades of coal from Indonesia typically have high moisture content, which makes transportation cost per unit of energy generated higher. The quantum of the low grade of coal (<5100 kcal/kg adb) procured from Indonesia is likely to remain relatively low.
However, if the new definition of low grade coal is applied (<5700 kcal/kg adb), it may be reasonable to believe that such a ban may have impact on the Indian power sector as volumes in this grade of coal are expected to rise in the proportion of coal exports to India. Several of the acquisitions made by Indian power generation companies in Indonesia have been in coal blocks that will produce coal of this grade, and a blanket ban on the exports can jeopardize power plant development in India.
On the other hand, the domestic Indonesian market may not be prepared to consume all the coal mined of this grade in view of the power generation capacity addition plans in Indonesia. In such a case, the coal mine development is likely to be deferred. The Indonesian law makers may need to reconsider domestic market demand, investment climate in coal sector and impact of the legislation on the export revenues.
What is the alternative source for Indian power industry if the proposed coal export ban come into effect by 2014?
Indian power generation companies have been forced to look out for coal assets abroad due to the investment and regulatory environment within the country. India boasts of more than 110 billion tonnes of coal reserves, which largely fall within a 300 meters of depth. If the regulatory and investment environment is amended to allow greater participation of private sector Indian dependence on imports will be reduced.
However, for imports, India will continue to look at Indonesia, South Africa, Australia and newer destinations like Mozambique and Columbia. But these sources also have constraints, domestic demands in South Africa is likely to restrict quantum jump in exports out of South Africa. Indonesia has also proposed domestic market obligations. Mozambique may have infrastructure constraints for large volumes of coal being transported from Tete province to ports of Maputo, Ncala or Beira. Australian coal is of high quality but may have higher costs of mining and transport.
What would be the additional cost if Indian consumers switch their sourcing origin from Indonesia?
Indonesia has competitive advantage due to its geographical closeness. However, on a per tonne basis, assuming comparable quality, costs of transport may make marginal difference when compared with South Africa and Mozambique.
When compared to Australian coal, due to the high quality, cost of energy may well be comparable even though shipping costs are higher. Between Indonesian coal (5500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 90 per tonne) and Australian coal (6500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 120 per tonne), indicative variable cost difference of power generation may be about Indian Rupees 0.20 to 0.30 per kWh (electricity unit) in favor of Indonesian coal.
Will it affect Indian economy growth or this coal export ban is ignorable as India can easily identify alternative sources of fuel?
The magnitude of growth in power generation in India will necessarily mean that coal will remain the mainstay. Natural gas has had issues of availability. Nuclear plant development is facing socio-political challenge in view of the risks of technology failure. Development of hydel power has also faced issues of land acquisition, rehabilitation & resettlement apart from the technical issues of hydro-geological features. Renewable sources such as solar and wind generation are still projected to constitute a small portion of India power generation mix. Identifying an alternative source that can match coal in its accessibility, availability and affordability in the context of scale of capacity addition required in India is a challenge.
What is the Indian government's role on this issue, whether government has to come out with the solution such as easing Indian mining and environment law, open up mining for foreigners, G2G arrangement, etc…?
There is a need to look at domestic sources with pro-active and constructive approach and make all necessary legal and statutory amendments that make the resources available and mineable. Easing the regulations may not be one of such measures but making those regulations work in sync with each other in a time bound and predictable manner must certainly be.
There is certainly a case for opening the domestic coal sector for private participation, including independent miners, and for foreign participation so that newer technology and enhanced scale of operations are implemented in India. The regulation also needs to permit risk capital to come in for prospecting and exploration.
For imports the G2G relations can be leveraged to secure coal assets. India has good relationship with Indonesia and has also signed a tax treaty with Mozambique in 2010 which will facilitate investments. Government may also engage with these countries to ease exports to India and extend fiscal support to coal mining companies investing in mining and associated infrastructure development.
About Dipesh Dipu
Dipesh Dipu works as Director with Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu India Pvt. Ltd in the Energy and Resources consulting practice of the firm and anchors the Firm’s initiative in the mining and metals sectors.
He is a mining engineering graduate from Indian School of Mines and is a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA). He has also done executive program in business management from Indian Institute of Management Calcutta. Dipesh has recently been awarded the Abheraj Baldota Gold Medal for the Young Mining Engineer of the Year 2007 by the Mining Engineers’ Association of India in recognition of his contributions in the improvement of mining industry in India.
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Wednesday, 03 February 21
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- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
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- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Planning Commission, India
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- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
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- Bhatia International Limited - India
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- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
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- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
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- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
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- Romanian Commodities Exchange
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- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
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- Economic Council, Georgia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Australian Coal Association
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
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- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
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- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
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- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
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- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
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- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- White Energy Company Limited
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- The University of Queensland
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
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- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
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