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Tuesday, 06 September 11
INDONESIAS PROPOSED COAL EXPORT BAN MAY HAVE IMPACT ON THE INDIAN POWER SECTOR - DIPESH DIPU
COALspot.com - This is a special interview about Indonesian proposed coal export ban by 2014, with Mr. Dipesh Dipu, Director of Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu, India.
The Indonesian government is currently in the process of drafting a new regulation that could ban the export of low-grade coal by January 12, 2014. This is likely to apply to coal below 5700 kcal/kg on air dried basis in value.
As of now Indonesia is producing around 150 million tons of coal with calorific value below 5700 GAD (according to chairman of Indonesian coal mining association). However by 2014, there are possibilities the total production of below 5700 GAD coal may reach more than 200 million per annum.
Will Indonesian coal export ban impact on the Indian fuel requirements?
The earlier grade of coal that was being considered for proposed ban has GCV of 5100 kcal/kg of less (adb), which can be comparable to 3800-4200 kcal/kg (arb) domestic coal available in India. This grade of coal has found favor in India primarily due to likely price advantage but economics of power generation based on such grade of imported coal may be a suspect. This considering that such grades of coal from Indonesia typically have high moisture content, which makes transportation cost per unit of energy generated higher. The quantum of the low grade of coal (<5100 kcal/kg adb) procured from Indonesia is likely to remain relatively low.
However, if the new definition of low grade coal is applied (<5700 kcal/kg adb), it may be reasonable to believe that such a ban may have impact on the Indian power sector as volumes in this grade of coal are expected to rise in the proportion of coal exports to India. Several of the acquisitions made by Indian power generation companies in Indonesia have been in coal blocks that will produce coal of this grade, and a blanket ban on the exports can jeopardize power plant development in India.
On the other hand, the domestic Indonesian market may not be prepared to consume all the coal mined of this grade in view of the power generation capacity addition plans in Indonesia. In such a case, the coal mine development is likely to be deferred. The Indonesian law makers may need to reconsider domestic market demand, investment climate in coal sector and impact of the legislation on the export revenues.
What is the alternative source for Indian power industry if the proposed coal export ban come into effect by 2014?
Indian power generation companies have been forced to look out for coal assets abroad due to the investment and regulatory environment within the country. India boasts of more than 110 billion tonnes of coal reserves, which largely fall within a 300 meters of depth. If the regulatory and investment environment is amended to allow greater participation of private sector Indian dependence on imports will be reduced.
However, for imports, India will continue to look at Indonesia, South Africa, Australia and newer destinations like Mozambique and Columbia. But these sources also have constraints, domestic demands in South Africa is likely to restrict quantum jump in exports out of South Africa. Indonesia has also proposed domestic market obligations. Mozambique may have infrastructure constraints for large volumes of coal being transported from Tete province to ports of Maputo, Ncala or Beira. Australian coal is of high quality but may have higher costs of mining and transport.
What would be the additional cost if Indian consumers switch their sourcing origin from Indonesia?
Indonesia has competitive advantage due to its geographical closeness. However, on a per tonne basis, assuming comparable quality, costs of transport may make marginal difference when compared with South Africa and Mozambique.
When compared to Australian coal, due to the high quality, cost of energy may well be comparable even though shipping costs are higher. Between Indonesian coal (5500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 90 per tonne) and Australian coal (6500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 120 per tonne), indicative variable cost difference of power generation may be about Indian Rupees 0.20 to 0.30 per kWh (electricity unit) in favor of Indonesian coal.
Will it affect Indian economy growth or this coal export ban is ignorable as India can easily identify alternative sources of fuel?
The magnitude of growth in power generation in India will necessarily mean that coal will remain the mainstay. Natural gas has had issues of availability. Nuclear plant development is facing socio-political challenge in view of the risks of technology failure. Development of hydel power has also faced issues of land acquisition, rehabilitation & resettlement apart from the technical issues of hydro-geological features. Renewable sources such as solar and wind generation are still projected to constitute a small portion of India power generation mix. Identifying an alternative source that can match coal in its accessibility, availability and affordability in the context of scale of capacity addition required in India is a challenge.
What is the Indian government's role on this issue, whether government has to come out with the solution such as easing Indian mining and environment law, open up mining for foreigners, G2G arrangement, etc…?
There is a need to look at domestic sources with pro-active and constructive approach and make all necessary legal and statutory amendments that make the resources available and mineable. Easing the regulations may not be one of such measures but making those regulations work in sync with each other in a time bound and predictable manner must certainly be.
There is certainly a case for opening the domestic coal sector for private participation, including independent miners, and for foreign participation so that newer technology and enhanced scale of operations are implemented in India. The regulation also needs to permit risk capital to come in for prospecting and exploration.
For imports the G2G relations can be leveraged to secure coal assets. India has good relationship with Indonesia and has also signed a tax treaty with Mozambique in 2010 which will facilitate investments. Government may also engage with these countries to ease exports to India and extend fiscal support to coal mining companies investing in mining and associated infrastructure development.
About Dipesh Dipu
Dipesh Dipu works as Director with Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu India Pvt. Ltd in the Energy and Resources consulting practice of the firm and anchors the Firm’s initiative in the mining and metals sectors.
He is a mining engineering graduate from Indian School of Mines and is a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA). He has also done executive program in business management from Indian Institute of Management Calcutta. Dipesh has recently been awarded the Abheraj Baldota Gold Medal for the Young Mining Engineer of the Year 2007 by the Mining Engineers’ Association of India in recognition of his contributions in the improvement of mining industry in India.
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Monday, 31 August 09
INDONESIA ADARO'S NET PROFIT SOARS 1,506 PERCENT ON HIGH PRICES
The Jakarta Post reported that, the country's second largest coal producer, PT Adaro Energy said Sunday that its first-half net profit soared 1,506 ...
Sunday, 30 August 09
THE FUTURES FOR THREE YEARS FOR 2010-2012 IS AROUND PANAMAX / US$ 15,500 & SUPRAMAX / US$ 13,500 PER DAY
COALspot.com (Singapore): The dry bulk market continued to be soft this week and the BDI was almost stable and closed at 2,421 points this week.
...
Friday, 28 August 09
INDONESIA SEEKS TO INCREASE COAL PRODUCTION TO BOLSTER REVENUE
The Jakarta Post, the leading english news paper in Indonesia reported that, Indonesia expects to increase coal production by up to 20 million tons ...
Friday, 28 August 09
MERCURIA ENERGY OPENS INDONESIA TRADING OFFICE
COALspot.com ( Indonesia): Mercuria Energy Group has opened a new office in Jakarta, Indonesia, focussed on trading coal.
Jakarta-based Emanuele ...
Friday, 28 August 09
COAL MINE BUYERS DUST OFF THEIR CASH ( ANALYZED BY REUTERS)
* Coal asset buyers give up waiting for bargains
* Mining majors expected to buy not sell
* South Africa a target, Indonesia less so
By Jackie ...
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- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Australian Coal Association
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Planning Commission, India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- The University of Queensland
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- White Energy Company Limited
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
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