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Tuesday, 06 September 11
INDONESIAS PROPOSED COAL EXPORT BAN MAY HAVE IMPACT ON THE INDIAN POWER SECTOR - DIPESH DIPU
COALspot.com - This is a special interview about Indonesian proposed coal export ban by 2014, with Mr. Dipesh Dipu, Director of Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu, India.
The Indonesian government is currently in the process of drafting a new regulation that could ban the export of low-grade coal by January 12, 2014. This is likely to apply to coal below 5700 kcal/kg on air dried basis in value.
As of now Indonesia is producing around 150 million tons of coal with calorific value below 5700 GAD (according to chairman of Indonesian coal mining association). However by 2014, there are possibilities the total production of below 5700 GAD coal may reach more than 200 million per annum.
Will Indonesian coal export ban impact on the Indian fuel requirements?
The earlier grade of coal that was being considered for proposed ban has GCV of 5100 kcal/kg of less (adb), which can be comparable to 3800-4200 kcal/kg (arb) domestic coal available in India. This grade of coal has found favor in India primarily due to likely price advantage but economics of power generation based on such grade of imported coal may be a suspect. This considering that such grades of coal from Indonesia typically have high moisture content, which makes transportation cost per unit of energy generated higher. The quantum of the low grade of coal (<5100 kcal/kg adb) procured from Indonesia is likely to remain relatively low.
However, if the new definition of low grade coal is applied (<5700 kcal/kg adb), it may be reasonable to believe that such a ban may have impact on the Indian power sector as volumes in this grade of coal are expected to rise in the proportion of coal exports to India. Several of the acquisitions made by Indian power generation companies in Indonesia have been in coal blocks that will produce coal of this grade, and a blanket ban on the exports can jeopardize power plant development in India.
On the other hand, the domestic Indonesian market may not be prepared to consume all the coal mined of this grade in view of the power generation capacity addition plans in Indonesia. In such a case, the coal mine development is likely to be deferred. The Indonesian law makers may need to reconsider domestic market demand, investment climate in coal sector and impact of the legislation on the export revenues.
What is the alternative source for Indian power industry if the proposed coal export ban come into effect by 2014?
Indian power generation companies have been forced to look out for coal assets abroad due to the investment and regulatory environment within the country. India boasts of more than 110 billion tonnes of coal reserves, which largely fall within a 300 meters of depth. If the regulatory and investment environment is amended to allow greater participation of private sector Indian dependence on imports will be reduced.
However, for imports, India will continue to look at Indonesia, South Africa, Australia and newer destinations like Mozambique and Columbia. But these sources also have constraints, domestic demands in South Africa is likely to restrict quantum jump in exports out of South Africa. Indonesia has also proposed domestic market obligations. Mozambique may have infrastructure constraints for large volumes of coal being transported from Tete province to ports of Maputo, Ncala or Beira. Australian coal is of high quality but may have higher costs of mining and transport.
What would be the additional cost if Indian consumers switch their sourcing origin from Indonesia?
Indonesia has competitive advantage due to its geographical closeness. However, on a per tonne basis, assuming comparable quality, costs of transport may make marginal difference when compared with South Africa and Mozambique.
When compared to Australian coal, due to the high quality, cost of energy may well be comparable even though shipping costs are higher. Between Indonesian coal (5500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 90 per tonne) and Australian coal (6500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 120 per tonne), indicative variable cost difference of power generation may be about Indian Rupees 0.20 to 0.30 per kWh (electricity unit) in favor of Indonesian coal.
Will it affect Indian economy growth or this coal export ban is ignorable as India can easily identify alternative sources of fuel?
The magnitude of growth in power generation in India will necessarily mean that coal will remain the mainstay. Natural gas has had issues of availability. Nuclear plant development is facing socio-political challenge in view of the risks of technology failure. Development of hydel power has also faced issues of land acquisition, rehabilitation & resettlement apart from the technical issues of hydro-geological features. Renewable sources such as solar and wind generation are still projected to constitute a small portion of India power generation mix. Identifying an alternative source that can match coal in its accessibility, availability and affordability in the context of scale of capacity addition required in India is a challenge.
What is the Indian government's role on this issue, whether government has to come out with the solution such as easing Indian mining and environment law, open up mining for foreigners, G2G arrangement, etc…?
There is a need to look at domestic sources with pro-active and constructive approach and make all necessary legal and statutory amendments that make the resources available and mineable. Easing the regulations may not be one of such measures but making those regulations work in sync with each other in a time bound and predictable manner must certainly be.
There is certainly a case for opening the domestic coal sector for private participation, including independent miners, and for foreign participation so that newer technology and enhanced scale of operations are implemented in India. The regulation also needs to permit risk capital to come in for prospecting and exploration.
For imports the G2G relations can be leveraged to secure coal assets. India has good relationship with Indonesia and has also signed a tax treaty with Mozambique in 2010 which will facilitate investments. Government may also engage with these countries to ease exports to India and extend fiscal support to coal mining companies investing in mining and associated infrastructure development.
About Dipesh Dipu
Dipesh Dipu works as Director with Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu India Pvt. Ltd in the Energy and Resources consulting practice of the firm and anchors the Firm’s initiative in the mining and metals sectors.
He is a mining engineering graduate from Indian School of Mines and is a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA). He has also done executive program in business management from Indian Institute of Management Calcutta. Dipesh has recently been awarded the Abheraj Baldota Gold Medal for the Young Mining Engineer of the Year 2007 by the Mining Engineers’ Association of India in recognition of his contributions in the improvement of mining industry in India.
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Friday, 18 September 09
STANCHART TO ADVISE BAYAN ON INDONESIA COAL FINANCING
Indonesian coal miner PT Bayan Resources Tbk said on Wednesday it has appointed Standard Chartered Bank as a financial adviser for raising at least ...
Friday, 18 September 09
COKING COAL SUPPLY TO FALL 3 MILLION TONS IN CHINA ON SHUTDOWN
Bloomberg reported that, Coking coal supply in China, the largest consumer, may fall by 3 million metric tons a month after a mine accident this mon ...
Thursday, 17 September 09
FOUR LEFT IN INDIA'S MMTC COAL IMPORT TENDER-SOURCE
Reuters reported that, India's MMTC Ltd has accepted four out of five submissions for an import tender for 12.5 million tonnes of coal, with a bid ...
Thursday, 17 September 09
INDIA SEEKS COAL
IBT commodities reported that, India is on a coal buying spree. The big Asian nation is scrambling to cover an expected shortfall in domestic supply ...
Wednesday, 16 September 09
S. LANKA, INDIA'S NTPC TO SIGN $500 MLN COAL DEAL
Reuters reported that, Sri Lanka is to sign a commercial agreement with India's National Thermal Power Corporation (NTPC.BO) to build a $500 millio ...
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- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- PTC India Limited - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Australian Coal Association
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- The University of Queensland
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
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