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Tuesday, 06 September 11
INDONESIAS PROPOSED COAL EXPORT BAN MAY HAVE IMPACT ON THE INDIAN POWER SECTOR - DIPESH DIPU
COALspot.com - This is a special interview about Indonesian proposed coal export ban by 2014, with Mr. Dipesh Dipu, Director of Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu, India.
The Indonesian government is currently in the process of drafting a new regulation that could ban the export of low-grade coal by January 12, 2014. This is likely to apply to coal below 5700 kcal/kg on air dried basis in value.
As of now Indonesia is producing around 150 million tons of coal with calorific value below 5700 GAD (according to chairman of Indonesian coal mining association). However by 2014, there are possibilities the total production of below 5700 GAD coal may reach more than 200 million per annum.
Will Indonesian coal export ban impact on the Indian fuel requirements?
The earlier grade of coal that was being considered for proposed ban has GCV of 5100 kcal/kg of less (adb), which can be comparable to 3800-4200 kcal/kg (arb) domestic coal available in India. This grade of coal has found favor in India primarily due to likely price advantage but economics of power generation based on such grade of imported coal may be a suspect. This considering that such grades of coal from Indonesia typically have high moisture content, which makes transportation cost per unit of energy generated higher. The quantum of the low grade of coal (<5100 kcal/kg adb) procured from Indonesia is likely to remain relatively low.
However, if the new definition of low grade coal is applied (<5700 kcal/kg adb), it may be reasonable to believe that such a ban may have impact on the Indian power sector as volumes in this grade of coal are expected to rise in the proportion of coal exports to India. Several of the acquisitions made by Indian power generation companies in Indonesia have been in coal blocks that will produce coal of this grade, and a blanket ban on the exports can jeopardize power plant development in India.
On the other hand, the domestic Indonesian market may not be prepared to consume all the coal mined of this grade in view of the power generation capacity addition plans in Indonesia. In such a case, the coal mine development is likely to be deferred. The Indonesian law makers may need to reconsider domestic market demand, investment climate in coal sector and impact of the legislation on the export revenues.
What is the alternative source for Indian power industry if the proposed coal export ban come into effect by 2014?
Indian power generation companies have been forced to look out for coal assets abroad due to the investment and regulatory environment within the country. India boasts of more than 110 billion tonnes of coal reserves, which largely fall within a 300 meters of depth. If the regulatory and investment environment is amended to allow greater participation of private sector Indian dependence on imports will be reduced.
However, for imports, India will continue to look at Indonesia, South Africa, Australia and newer destinations like Mozambique and Columbia. But these sources also have constraints, domestic demands in South Africa is likely to restrict quantum jump in exports out of South Africa. Indonesia has also proposed domestic market obligations. Mozambique may have infrastructure constraints for large volumes of coal being transported from Tete province to ports of Maputo, Ncala or Beira. Australian coal is of high quality but may have higher costs of mining and transport.
What would be the additional cost if Indian consumers switch their sourcing origin from Indonesia?
Indonesia has competitive advantage due to its geographical closeness. However, on a per tonne basis, assuming comparable quality, costs of transport may make marginal difference when compared with South Africa and Mozambique.
When compared to Australian coal, due to the high quality, cost of energy may well be comparable even though shipping costs are higher. Between Indonesian coal (5500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 90 per tonne) and Australian coal (6500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 120 per tonne), indicative variable cost difference of power generation may be about Indian Rupees 0.20 to 0.30 per kWh (electricity unit) in favor of Indonesian coal.
Will it affect Indian economy growth or this coal export ban is ignorable as India can easily identify alternative sources of fuel?
The magnitude of growth in power generation in India will necessarily mean that coal will remain the mainstay. Natural gas has had issues of availability. Nuclear plant development is facing socio-political challenge in view of the risks of technology failure. Development of hydel power has also faced issues of land acquisition, rehabilitation & resettlement apart from the technical issues of hydro-geological features. Renewable sources such as solar and wind generation are still projected to constitute a small portion of India power generation mix. Identifying an alternative source that can match coal in its accessibility, availability and affordability in the context of scale of capacity addition required in India is a challenge.
What is the Indian government's role on this issue, whether government has to come out with the solution such as easing Indian mining and environment law, open up mining for foreigners, G2G arrangement, etc…?
There is a need to look at domestic sources with pro-active and constructive approach and make all necessary legal and statutory amendments that make the resources available and mineable. Easing the regulations may not be one of such measures but making those regulations work in sync with each other in a time bound and predictable manner must certainly be.
There is certainly a case for opening the domestic coal sector for private participation, including independent miners, and for foreign participation so that newer technology and enhanced scale of operations are implemented in India. The regulation also needs to permit risk capital to come in for prospecting and exploration.
For imports the G2G relations can be leveraged to secure coal assets. India has good relationship with Indonesia and has also signed a tax treaty with Mozambique in 2010 which will facilitate investments. Government may also engage with these countries to ease exports to India and extend fiscal support to coal mining companies investing in mining and associated infrastructure development.
About Dipesh Dipu
Dipesh Dipu works as Director with Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu India Pvt. Ltd in the Energy and Resources consulting practice of the firm and anchors the Firm’s initiative in the mining and metals sectors.
He is a mining engineering graduate from Indian School of Mines and is a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA). He has also done executive program in business management from Indian Institute of Management Calcutta. Dipesh has recently been awarded the Abheraj Baldota Gold Medal for the Young Mining Engineer of the Year 2007 by the Mining Engineers’ Association of India in recognition of his contributions in the improvement of mining industry in India.
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Wednesday, 21 October 09
INDONESIA'S BUKIT ASAM GETS COAL RAILWAY APPROVAL
Reuters reported that, Indonesian state coal miner PT Tambang Batubara Bukit Asam Tbk said on Wednesday it had been given government approval to sta ...
Wednesday, 21 October 09
COAL DEMAND SOARS AS ASIA ECONOMIES REBOUND - PEABODY
Reuters reported that, Demand for coal to generate electricity and make steel in China and India is expected to grow by 7 percent to 8 percent annua ...
Wednesday, 21 October 09
INDONESIAN SHOCK FOR INDIAN POWER PLANTS
Business-Standard reported that, India’s ambitious plans to generate an additional 180,000 Mw of power in the next seven years will face hurdl ...
Wednesday, 21 October 09
DUTA GRAHA PLANNING TO DELVE INTO MINING SECTOR
The Jakarta Globe reported that, PT Duta Graha, one of the country’s largest private engineering firms, says it intends to diversify into the ...
Tuesday, 20 October 09
RECAPITAL SET TO BUY INDONESIA'S BERAU COAL - SOURCES
* COULD PAY AT LEAST $1.3 BLN FOR BERAU - SOURCES
* RECAPITAL CONFIRMS IT HAS BID FOR BERAU
* BAKRIE GROUP LIKELY TO BACK BID – SOURCES
...
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- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- The University of Queensland
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- White Energy Company Limited
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Planning Commission, India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
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