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Tuesday, 06 September 11
INDONESIAS PROPOSED COAL EXPORT BAN MAY HAVE IMPACT ON THE INDIAN POWER SECTOR - DIPESH DIPU
COALspot.com - This is a special interview about Indonesian proposed coal export ban by 2014, with Mr. Dipesh Dipu, Director of Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu, India.
The Indonesian government is currently in the process of drafting a new regulation that could ban the export of low-grade coal by January 12, 2014. This is likely to apply to coal below 5700 kcal/kg on air dried basis in value.
As of now Indonesia is producing around 150 million tons of coal with calorific value below 5700 GAD (according to chairman of Indonesian coal mining association). However by 2014, there are possibilities the total production of below 5700 GAD coal may reach more than 200 million per annum.
Will Indonesian coal export ban impact on the Indian fuel requirements?
The earlier grade of coal that was being considered for proposed ban has GCV of 5100 kcal/kg of less (adb), which can be comparable to 3800-4200 kcal/kg (arb) domestic coal available in India. This grade of coal has found favor in India primarily due to likely price advantage but economics of power generation based on such grade of imported coal may be a suspect. This considering that such grades of coal from Indonesia typically have high moisture content, which makes transportation cost per unit of energy generated higher. The quantum of the low grade of coal (<5100 kcal/kg adb) procured from Indonesia is likely to remain relatively low.
However, if the new definition of low grade coal is applied (<5700 kcal/kg adb), it may be reasonable to believe that such a ban may have impact on the Indian power sector as volumes in this grade of coal are expected to rise in the proportion of coal exports to India. Several of the acquisitions made by Indian power generation companies in Indonesia have been in coal blocks that will produce coal of this grade, and a blanket ban on the exports can jeopardize power plant development in India.
On the other hand, the domestic Indonesian market may not be prepared to consume all the coal mined of this grade in view of the power generation capacity addition plans in Indonesia. In such a case, the coal mine development is likely to be deferred. The Indonesian law makers may need to reconsider domestic market demand, investment climate in coal sector and impact of the legislation on the export revenues.
What is the alternative source for Indian power industry if the proposed coal export ban come into effect by 2014?
Indian power generation companies have been forced to look out for coal assets abroad due to the investment and regulatory environment within the country. India boasts of more than 110 billion tonnes of coal reserves, which largely fall within a 300 meters of depth. If the regulatory and investment environment is amended to allow greater participation of private sector Indian dependence on imports will be reduced.
However, for imports, India will continue to look at Indonesia, South Africa, Australia and newer destinations like Mozambique and Columbia. But these sources also have constraints, domestic demands in South Africa is likely to restrict quantum jump in exports out of South Africa. Indonesia has also proposed domestic market obligations. Mozambique may have infrastructure constraints for large volumes of coal being transported from Tete province to ports of Maputo, Ncala or Beira. Australian coal is of high quality but may have higher costs of mining and transport.
What would be the additional cost if Indian consumers switch their sourcing origin from Indonesia?
Indonesia has competitive advantage due to its geographical closeness. However, on a per tonne basis, assuming comparable quality, costs of transport may make marginal difference when compared with South Africa and Mozambique.
When compared to Australian coal, due to the high quality, cost of energy may well be comparable even though shipping costs are higher. Between Indonesian coal (5500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 90 per tonne) and Australian coal (6500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 120 per tonne), indicative variable cost difference of power generation may be about Indian Rupees 0.20 to 0.30 per kWh (electricity unit) in favor of Indonesian coal.
Will it affect Indian economy growth or this coal export ban is ignorable as India can easily identify alternative sources of fuel?
The magnitude of growth in power generation in India will necessarily mean that coal will remain the mainstay. Natural gas has had issues of availability. Nuclear plant development is facing socio-political challenge in view of the risks of technology failure. Development of hydel power has also faced issues of land acquisition, rehabilitation & resettlement apart from the technical issues of hydro-geological features. Renewable sources such as solar and wind generation are still projected to constitute a small portion of India power generation mix. Identifying an alternative source that can match coal in its accessibility, availability and affordability in the context of scale of capacity addition required in India is a challenge.
What is the Indian government's role on this issue, whether government has to come out with the solution such as easing Indian mining and environment law, open up mining for foreigners, G2G arrangement, etc…?
There is a need to look at domestic sources with pro-active and constructive approach and make all necessary legal and statutory amendments that make the resources available and mineable. Easing the regulations may not be one of such measures but making those regulations work in sync with each other in a time bound and predictable manner must certainly be.
There is certainly a case for opening the domestic coal sector for private participation, including independent miners, and for foreign participation so that newer technology and enhanced scale of operations are implemented in India. The regulation also needs to permit risk capital to come in for prospecting and exploration.
For imports the G2G relations can be leveraged to secure coal assets. India has good relationship with Indonesia and has also signed a tax treaty with Mozambique in 2010 which will facilitate investments. Government may also engage with these countries to ease exports to India and extend fiscal support to coal mining companies investing in mining and associated infrastructure development.
About Dipesh Dipu
Dipesh Dipu works as Director with Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu India Pvt. Ltd in the Energy and Resources consulting practice of the firm and anchors the Firm’s initiative in the mining and metals sectors.
He is a mining engineering graduate from Indian School of Mines and is a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA). He has also done executive program in business management from Indian Institute of Management Calcutta. Dipesh has recently been awarded the Abheraj Baldota Gold Medal for the Young Mining Engineer of the Year 2007 by the Mining Engineers’ Association of India in recognition of his contributions in the improvement of mining industry in India.
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Wednesday, 04 November 09
BINANI HOPES TO BUY INDONESIAN COAL MINE IN 2-3 MONTHS
"We are still negotiating, but hope to conclude the deal in the next two to three months," Binani Cement Managing Director Vinod Juneja to ...
Tuesday, 03 November 09
CHINA TO BE NET COAL IMPORTER IN 2009
China is accelerating its importation of coal to cope with fallen output caused by the consolidation of small coalmines, and is likely to become a n ...
Monday, 02 November 09
RIO TINTO WARNS ON CHEAP MONGOLIAN COAL
The Age reported that, Mining giant Rio Tinto has warned that cheap coal from Mongolia as well as congestion at the Port of Newcastle in NSW could u ...
Monday, 02 November 09
ESSAR SEEKS COAL ASSETS IN SOUTH AFRICA
Paguntaka reported that, Essar Group plans to acquire coal assets in South Africa to help boost its power business in India. A senior executive of E ...
Sunday, 01 November 09
MINES REGULATION AMENDMENT BILL TO BE TABLED IN PARLIAMENT
Thaindia News reported that, A bill seeking to amend the Mines and Minerals Development Regulation Act, 1957, will be introduced in the winter sessi ...
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- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Australian Coal Association
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Planning Commission, India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- The University of Queensland
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Parliament of New Zealand
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
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