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Tuesday, 06 September 11
INDONESIAS PROPOSED COAL EXPORT BAN MAY HAVE IMPACT ON THE INDIAN POWER SECTOR - DIPESH DIPU
COALspot.com - This is a special interview about Indonesian proposed coal export ban by 2014, with Mr. Dipesh Dipu, Director of Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu, India.
The Indonesian government is currently in the process of drafting a new regulation that could ban the export of low-grade coal by January 12, 2014. This is likely to apply to coal below 5700 kcal/kg on air dried basis in value.
As of now Indonesia is producing around 150 million tons of coal with calorific value below 5700 GAD (according to chairman of Indonesian coal mining association). However by 2014, there are possibilities the total production of below 5700 GAD coal may reach more than 200 million per annum.
Will Indonesian coal export ban impact on the Indian fuel requirements?
The earlier grade of coal that was being considered for proposed ban has GCV of 5100 kcal/kg of less (adb), which can be comparable to 3800-4200 kcal/kg (arb) domestic coal available in India. This grade of coal has found favor in India primarily due to likely price advantage but economics of power generation based on such grade of imported coal may be a suspect. This considering that such grades of coal from Indonesia typically have high moisture content, which makes transportation cost per unit of energy generated higher. The quantum of the low grade of coal (<5100 kcal/kg adb) procured from Indonesia is likely to remain relatively low.
However, if the new definition of low grade coal is applied (<5700 kcal/kg adb), it may be reasonable to believe that such a ban may have impact on the Indian power sector as volumes in this grade of coal are expected to rise in the proportion of coal exports to India. Several of the acquisitions made by Indian power generation companies in Indonesia have been in coal blocks that will produce coal of this grade, and a blanket ban on the exports can jeopardize power plant development in India.
On the other hand, the domestic Indonesian market may not be prepared to consume all the coal mined of this grade in view of the power generation capacity addition plans in Indonesia. In such a case, the coal mine development is likely to be deferred. The Indonesian law makers may need to reconsider domestic market demand, investment climate in coal sector and impact of the legislation on the export revenues.
What is the alternative source for Indian power industry if the proposed coal export ban come into effect by 2014?
Indian power generation companies have been forced to look out for coal assets abroad due to the investment and regulatory environment within the country. India boasts of more than 110 billion tonnes of coal reserves, which largely fall within a 300 meters of depth. If the regulatory and investment environment is amended to allow greater participation of private sector Indian dependence on imports will be reduced.
However, for imports, India will continue to look at Indonesia, South Africa, Australia and newer destinations like Mozambique and Columbia. But these sources also have constraints, domestic demands in South Africa is likely to restrict quantum jump in exports out of South Africa. Indonesia has also proposed domestic market obligations. Mozambique may have infrastructure constraints for large volumes of coal being transported from Tete province to ports of Maputo, Ncala or Beira. Australian coal is of high quality but may have higher costs of mining and transport.
What would be the additional cost if Indian consumers switch their sourcing origin from Indonesia?
Indonesia has competitive advantage due to its geographical closeness. However, on a per tonne basis, assuming comparable quality, costs of transport may make marginal difference when compared with South Africa and Mozambique.
When compared to Australian coal, due to the high quality, cost of energy may well be comparable even though shipping costs are higher. Between Indonesian coal (5500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 90 per tonne) and Australian coal (6500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 120 per tonne), indicative variable cost difference of power generation may be about Indian Rupees 0.20 to 0.30 per kWh (electricity unit) in favor of Indonesian coal.
Will it affect Indian economy growth or this coal export ban is ignorable as India can easily identify alternative sources of fuel?
The magnitude of growth in power generation in India will necessarily mean that coal will remain the mainstay. Natural gas has had issues of availability. Nuclear plant development is facing socio-political challenge in view of the risks of technology failure. Development of hydel power has also faced issues of land acquisition, rehabilitation & resettlement apart from the technical issues of hydro-geological features. Renewable sources such as solar and wind generation are still projected to constitute a small portion of India power generation mix. Identifying an alternative source that can match coal in its accessibility, availability and affordability in the context of scale of capacity addition required in India is a challenge.
What is the Indian government's role on this issue, whether government has to come out with the solution such as easing Indian mining and environment law, open up mining for foreigners, G2G arrangement, etc…?
There is a need to look at domestic sources with pro-active and constructive approach and make all necessary legal and statutory amendments that make the resources available and mineable. Easing the regulations may not be one of such measures but making those regulations work in sync with each other in a time bound and predictable manner must certainly be.
There is certainly a case for opening the domestic coal sector for private participation, including independent miners, and for foreign participation so that newer technology and enhanced scale of operations are implemented in India. The regulation also needs to permit risk capital to come in for prospecting and exploration.
For imports the G2G relations can be leveraged to secure coal assets. India has good relationship with Indonesia and has also signed a tax treaty with Mozambique in 2010 which will facilitate investments. Government may also engage with these countries to ease exports to India and extend fiscal support to coal mining companies investing in mining and associated infrastructure development.
About Dipesh Dipu
Dipesh Dipu works as Director with Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu India Pvt. Ltd in the Energy and Resources consulting practice of the firm and anchors the Firm’s initiative in the mining and metals sectors.
He is a mining engineering graduate from Indian School of Mines and is a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA). He has also done executive program in business management from Indian Institute of Management Calcutta. Dipesh has recently been awarded the Abheraj Baldota Gold Medal for the Young Mining Engineer of the Year 2007 by the Mining Engineers’ Association of India in recognition of his contributions in the improvement of mining industry in India.
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Wednesday, 11 November 09
INDONESIA ASKS DOMESTIC COAL FIRMS TO SET ASIDE 30PCT OF OUTPUT
Indonesian government said that it had asked domestic coal producers to set aside 30% of their output next year to meet demand from new coal fired p ...
Wednesday, 11 November 09
MINING ACQUISITIONS BECOMING MORE STRATEGIC - E&Y
Mining Weekly reported that, Although miners around the world are looking to position themselves for growth, companies are being more selective when ...
Tuesday, 10 November 09
THAI COAL MINER BANPU Q3 NET UP, BEATS FORECAST
Reuters reported that, Thailand's top coal miner, Banpu, said on Tuesday its third-quarter net earnings rose a higher-than-expected 22 percent, hel ...
Monday, 09 November 09
NAPOCOR DEFERS 50,000 T COAL TENDER
Top Philippine electricity producer National Power Corp. (Napocor) has indefinitely postponed a tender for supply of 50,000 tons of steam coal sched ...
Monday, 09 November 09
SAM'S SEAFOOD HOLDINGS SET TO COMMENCE DRILLING AT INDONESIAN COAL PROJECT
Proactive Investors reported that, Sam's Seafood Holdings is preparing to kick off diamond drilling at the company's Indonesian coal project after ...
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- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- White Energy Company Limited
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Economic Council, Georgia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Planning Commission, India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- The University of Queensland
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Australian Coal Association
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
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