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Tuesday, 06 September 11
INDONESIAS PROPOSED COAL EXPORT BAN MAY HAVE IMPACT ON THE INDIAN POWER SECTOR - DIPESH DIPU
COALspot.com - This is a special interview about Indonesian proposed coal export ban by 2014, with Mr. Dipesh Dipu, Director of Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu, India.
The Indonesian government is currently in the process of drafting a new regulation that could ban the export of low-grade coal by January 12, 2014. This is likely to apply to coal below 5700 kcal/kg on air dried basis in value.
As of now Indonesia is producing around 150 million tons of coal with calorific value below 5700 GAD (according to chairman of Indonesian coal mining association). However by 2014, there are possibilities the total production of below 5700 GAD coal may reach more than 200 million per annum.
Will Indonesian coal export ban impact on the Indian fuel requirements?
The earlier grade of coal that was being considered for proposed ban has GCV of 5100 kcal/kg of less (adb), which can be comparable to 3800-4200 kcal/kg (arb) domestic coal available in India. This grade of coal has found favor in India primarily due to likely price advantage but economics of power generation based on such grade of imported coal may be a suspect. This considering that such grades of coal from Indonesia typically have high moisture content, which makes transportation cost per unit of energy generated higher. The quantum of the low grade of coal (<5100 kcal/kg adb) procured from Indonesia is likely to remain relatively low.
However, if the new definition of low grade coal is applied (<5700 kcal/kg adb), it may be reasonable to believe that such a ban may have impact on the Indian power sector as volumes in this grade of coal are expected to rise in the proportion of coal exports to India. Several of the acquisitions made by Indian power generation companies in Indonesia have been in coal blocks that will produce coal of this grade, and a blanket ban on the exports can jeopardize power plant development in India.
On the other hand, the domestic Indonesian market may not be prepared to consume all the coal mined of this grade in view of the power generation capacity addition plans in Indonesia. In such a case, the coal mine development is likely to be deferred. The Indonesian law makers may need to reconsider domestic market demand, investment climate in coal sector and impact of the legislation on the export revenues.
What is the alternative source for Indian power industry if the proposed coal export ban come into effect by 2014?
Indian power generation companies have been forced to look out for coal assets abroad due to the investment and regulatory environment within the country. India boasts of more than 110 billion tonnes of coal reserves, which largely fall within a 300 meters of depth. If the regulatory and investment environment is amended to allow greater participation of private sector Indian dependence on imports will be reduced.
However, for imports, India will continue to look at Indonesia, South Africa, Australia and newer destinations like Mozambique and Columbia. But these sources also have constraints, domestic demands in South Africa is likely to restrict quantum jump in exports out of South Africa. Indonesia has also proposed domestic market obligations. Mozambique may have infrastructure constraints for large volumes of coal being transported from Tete province to ports of Maputo, Ncala or Beira. Australian coal is of high quality but may have higher costs of mining and transport.
What would be the additional cost if Indian consumers switch their sourcing origin from Indonesia?
Indonesia has competitive advantage due to its geographical closeness. However, on a per tonne basis, assuming comparable quality, costs of transport may make marginal difference when compared with South Africa and Mozambique.
When compared to Australian coal, due to the high quality, cost of energy may well be comparable even though shipping costs are higher. Between Indonesian coal (5500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 90 per tonne) and Australian coal (6500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 120 per tonne), indicative variable cost difference of power generation may be about Indian Rupees 0.20 to 0.30 per kWh (electricity unit) in favor of Indonesian coal.
Will it affect Indian economy growth or this coal export ban is ignorable as India can easily identify alternative sources of fuel?
The magnitude of growth in power generation in India will necessarily mean that coal will remain the mainstay. Natural gas has had issues of availability. Nuclear plant development is facing socio-political challenge in view of the risks of technology failure. Development of hydel power has also faced issues of land acquisition, rehabilitation & resettlement apart from the technical issues of hydro-geological features. Renewable sources such as solar and wind generation are still projected to constitute a small portion of India power generation mix. Identifying an alternative source that can match coal in its accessibility, availability and affordability in the context of scale of capacity addition required in India is a challenge.
What is the Indian government's role on this issue, whether government has to come out with the solution such as easing Indian mining and environment law, open up mining for foreigners, G2G arrangement, etc…?
There is a need to look at domestic sources with pro-active and constructive approach and make all necessary legal and statutory amendments that make the resources available and mineable. Easing the regulations may not be one of such measures but making those regulations work in sync with each other in a time bound and predictable manner must certainly be.
There is certainly a case for opening the domestic coal sector for private participation, including independent miners, and for foreign participation so that newer technology and enhanced scale of operations are implemented in India. The regulation also needs to permit risk capital to come in for prospecting and exploration.
For imports the G2G relations can be leveraged to secure coal assets. India has good relationship with Indonesia and has also signed a tax treaty with Mozambique in 2010 which will facilitate investments. Government may also engage with these countries to ease exports to India and extend fiscal support to coal mining companies investing in mining and associated infrastructure development.
About Dipesh Dipu
Dipesh Dipu works as Director with Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu India Pvt. Ltd in the Energy and Resources consulting practice of the firm and anchors the Firm’s initiative in the mining and metals sectors.
He is a mining engineering graduate from Indian School of Mines and is a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA). He has also done executive program in business management from Indian Institute of Management Calcutta. Dipesh has recently been awarded the Abheraj Baldota Gold Medal for the Young Mining Engineer of the Year 2007 by the Mining Engineers’ Association of India in recognition of his contributions in the improvement of mining industry in India.
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Saturday, 12 December 09
INDONESIA'S COAL RUSH - SOOTY SUCCESS
Rising demand from China and India is stoking Indonesia’s exports of coal
FOR power stations on the coast of China, it is often cheaper to ...
Thursday, 10 December 09
ENVIROCOAL REGISTERED IN 33 COUNTRIES
PT Adaro concerned to register the brand overseas
PT Adaro Energy Tbk has registered the Envirocoal trademark for its coal products in 33 countri ...
Thursday, 10 December 09
INDIA TO IMPORT 28 MILLION TONNE OF STEAM COAL
Faced with short supply of coal from domestic sources, the Indian power ministry has revised upwards its coal import target for the current fiscal t ...
Thursday, 10 December 09
INDONESIA'S NEW MINING LAW WILL NOT LIMIT COAL EXPORTS, SAYS GOVERNMENT
The government will allow coal producers to continue exporting even if they miss domestic sales requirements, a senior mining official said, marking ...
Wednesday, 09 December 09
INDONESIA'S RECAPITAL TO PAY $1.48 BLN FOR BERAU
Recapital Advisors, an Indonesian investment firm, will pay $1.48 billion in cash and notes to buy coal miner PT Berau Coal, $300 million of which i ...
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- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- The University of Queensland
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Planning Commission, India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
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