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Tuesday, 06 September 11
INDONESIAS PROPOSED COAL EXPORT BAN MAY HAVE IMPACT ON THE INDIAN POWER SECTOR - DIPESH DIPU
COALspot.com - This is a special interview about Indonesian proposed coal export ban by 2014, with Mr. Dipesh Dipu, Director of Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu, India.
The Indonesian government is currently in the process of drafting a new regulation that could ban the export of low-grade coal by January 12, 2014. This is likely to apply to coal below 5700 kcal/kg on air dried basis in value.
As of now Indonesia is producing around 150 million tons of coal with calorific value below 5700 GAD (according to chairman of Indonesian coal mining association). However by 2014, there are possibilities the total production of below 5700 GAD coal may reach more than 200 million per annum.
Will Indonesian coal export ban impact on the Indian fuel requirements?
The earlier grade of coal that was being considered for proposed ban has GCV of 5100 kcal/kg of less (adb), which can be comparable to 3800-4200 kcal/kg (arb) domestic coal available in India. This grade of coal has found favor in India primarily due to likely price advantage but economics of power generation based on such grade of imported coal may be a suspect. This considering that such grades of coal from Indonesia typically have high moisture content, which makes transportation cost per unit of energy generated higher. The quantum of the low grade of coal (<5100 kcal/kg adb) procured from Indonesia is likely to remain relatively low.
However, if the new definition of low grade coal is applied (<5700 kcal/kg adb), it may be reasonable to believe that such a ban may have impact on the Indian power sector as volumes in this grade of coal are expected to rise in the proportion of coal exports to India. Several of the acquisitions made by Indian power generation companies in Indonesia have been in coal blocks that will produce coal of this grade, and a blanket ban on the exports can jeopardize power plant development in India.
On the other hand, the domestic Indonesian market may not be prepared to consume all the coal mined of this grade in view of the power generation capacity addition plans in Indonesia. In such a case, the coal mine development is likely to be deferred. The Indonesian law makers may need to reconsider domestic market demand, investment climate in coal sector and impact of the legislation on the export revenues.
What is the alternative source for Indian power industry if the proposed coal export ban come into effect by 2014?
Indian power generation companies have been forced to look out for coal assets abroad due to the investment and regulatory environment within the country. India boasts of more than 110 billion tonnes of coal reserves, which largely fall within a 300 meters of depth. If the regulatory and investment environment is amended to allow greater participation of private sector Indian dependence on imports will be reduced.
However, for imports, India will continue to look at Indonesia, South Africa, Australia and newer destinations like Mozambique and Columbia. But these sources also have constraints, domestic demands in South Africa is likely to restrict quantum jump in exports out of South Africa. Indonesia has also proposed domestic market obligations. Mozambique may have infrastructure constraints for large volumes of coal being transported from Tete province to ports of Maputo, Ncala or Beira. Australian coal is of high quality but may have higher costs of mining and transport.
What would be the additional cost if Indian consumers switch their sourcing origin from Indonesia?
Indonesia has competitive advantage due to its geographical closeness. However, on a per tonne basis, assuming comparable quality, costs of transport may make marginal difference when compared with South Africa and Mozambique.
When compared to Australian coal, due to the high quality, cost of energy may well be comparable even though shipping costs are higher. Between Indonesian coal (5500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 90 per tonne) and Australian coal (6500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 120 per tonne), indicative variable cost difference of power generation may be about Indian Rupees 0.20 to 0.30 per kWh (electricity unit) in favor of Indonesian coal.
Will it affect Indian economy growth or this coal export ban is ignorable as India can easily identify alternative sources of fuel?
The magnitude of growth in power generation in India will necessarily mean that coal will remain the mainstay. Natural gas has had issues of availability. Nuclear plant development is facing socio-political challenge in view of the risks of technology failure. Development of hydel power has also faced issues of land acquisition, rehabilitation & resettlement apart from the technical issues of hydro-geological features. Renewable sources such as solar and wind generation are still projected to constitute a small portion of India power generation mix. Identifying an alternative source that can match coal in its accessibility, availability and affordability in the context of scale of capacity addition required in India is a challenge.
What is the Indian government's role on this issue, whether government has to come out with the solution such as easing Indian mining and environment law, open up mining for foreigners, G2G arrangement, etc…?
There is a need to look at domestic sources with pro-active and constructive approach and make all necessary legal and statutory amendments that make the resources available and mineable. Easing the regulations may not be one of such measures but making those regulations work in sync with each other in a time bound and predictable manner must certainly be.
There is certainly a case for opening the domestic coal sector for private participation, including independent miners, and for foreign participation so that newer technology and enhanced scale of operations are implemented in India. The regulation also needs to permit risk capital to come in for prospecting and exploration.
For imports the G2G relations can be leveraged to secure coal assets. India has good relationship with Indonesia and has also signed a tax treaty with Mozambique in 2010 which will facilitate investments. Government may also engage with these countries to ease exports to India and extend fiscal support to coal mining companies investing in mining and associated infrastructure development.
About Dipesh Dipu
Dipesh Dipu works as Director with Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu India Pvt. Ltd in the Energy and Resources consulting practice of the firm and anchors the Firm’s initiative in the mining and metals sectors.
He is a mining engineering graduate from Indian School of Mines and is a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA). He has also done executive program in business management from Indian Institute of Management Calcutta. Dipesh has recently been awarded the Abheraj Baldota Gold Medal for the Young Mining Engineer of the Year 2007 by the Mining Engineers’ Association of India in recognition of his contributions in the improvement of mining industry in India.
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Sunday, 07 March 10
SHIPS WERE FIXED AT AROUND US$ 16,000 PER DAY FOR TRIP VIA INDONESIA TO INDIA - CAPT. REDDY
COALspot.com: The freight market was quite buoyant this week and BDI was up by 18 pct . The Cape index up by 23.60 pct and Panamax index was up by 1 ...
Saturday, 06 March 10
ESSAR TO BUY US COAL FIRM FOR $550-600 MN
Business-Standard reported that, the Essar Group is close to buying Trinity Coal, one of the top 10 coal producers in the US, in a deal worth $550-6 ...
Friday, 05 March 10
KARNATAKA POWER SEEKS 900,000 TONS STEAMING COAL OVER 9 MONTHS
Bloomberg reported that, Karnataka Power Corp., an Indian electricity generator, is seeking to import 900,000 metric tons of steaming coal over nine ...
Friday, 05 March 10
COAL RALLY ON CHINESE DEMAND SPARKS $59 ESTIMATES
Bloomberg reportd that, A rally that has boosted coal prices 21 percent from their lows last year may have further to go as the coldest U.S. winter ...
Thursday, 04 March 10
BANPU KEEPS JORONG OUTPUT AT 2M TONNES
Bangkok Post reported that, Banpu Plc, Asean's largest coal miner, is maintaining an output target of 2 million tonnes this year from its Jorong mi ...
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- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- The University of Queensland
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- PTC India Limited - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Australian Coal Association
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Planning Commission, India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
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