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Tuesday, 06 September 11
INDONESIAS PROPOSED COAL EXPORT BAN MAY HAVE IMPACT ON THE INDIAN POWER SECTOR - DIPESH DIPU
COALspot.com - This is a special interview about Indonesian proposed coal export ban by 2014, with Mr. Dipesh Dipu, Director of Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu, India.
The Indonesian government is currently in the process of drafting a new regulation that could ban the export of low-grade coal by January 12, 2014. This is likely to apply to coal below 5700 kcal/kg on air dried basis in value.
As of now Indonesia is producing around 150 million tons of coal with calorific value below 5700 GAD (according to chairman of Indonesian coal mining association). However by 2014, there are possibilities the total production of below 5700 GAD coal may reach more than 200 million per annum.
Will Indonesian coal export ban impact on the Indian fuel requirements?
The earlier grade of coal that was being considered for proposed ban has GCV of 5100 kcal/kg of less (adb), which can be comparable to 3800-4200 kcal/kg (arb) domestic coal available in India. This grade of coal has found favor in India primarily due to likely price advantage but economics of power generation based on such grade of imported coal may be a suspect. This considering that such grades of coal from Indonesia typically have high moisture content, which makes transportation cost per unit of energy generated higher. The quantum of the low grade of coal (<5100 kcal/kg adb) procured from Indonesia is likely to remain relatively low.
However, if the new definition of low grade coal is applied (<5700 kcal/kg adb), it may be reasonable to believe that such a ban may have impact on the Indian power sector as volumes in this grade of coal are expected to rise in the proportion of coal exports to India. Several of the acquisitions made by Indian power generation companies in Indonesia have been in coal blocks that will produce coal of this grade, and a blanket ban on the exports can jeopardize power plant development in India.
On the other hand, the domestic Indonesian market may not be prepared to consume all the coal mined of this grade in view of the power generation capacity addition plans in Indonesia. In such a case, the coal mine development is likely to be deferred. The Indonesian law makers may need to reconsider domestic market demand, investment climate in coal sector and impact of the legislation on the export revenues.
What is the alternative source for Indian power industry if the proposed coal export ban come into effect by 2014?
Indian power generation companies have been forced to look out for coal assets abroad due to the investment and regulatory environment within the country. India boasts of more than 110 billion tonnes of coal reserves, which largely fall within a 300 meters of depth. If the regulatory and investment environment is amended to allow greater participation of private sector Indian dependence on imports will be reduced.
However, for imports, India will continue to look at Indonesia, South Africa, Australia and newer destinations like Mozambique and Columbia. But these sources also have constraints, domestic demands in South Africa is likely to restrict quantum jump in exports out of South Africa. Indonesia has also proposed domestic market obligations. Mozambique may have infrastructure constraints for large volumes of coal being transported from Tete province to ports of Maputo, Ncala or Beira. Australian coal is of high quality but may have higher costs of mining and transport.
What would be the additional cost if Indian consumers switch their sourcing origin from Indonesia?
Indonesia has competitive advantage due to its geographical closeness. However, on a per tonne basis, assuming comparable quality, costs of transport may make marginal difference when compared with South Africa and Mozambique.
When compared to Australian coal, due to the high quality, cost of energy may well be comparable even though shipping costs are higher. Between Indonesian coal (5500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 90 per tonne) and Australian coal (6500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 120 per tonne), indicative variable cost difference of power generation may be about Indian Rupees 0.20 to 0.30 per kWh (electricity unit) in favor of Indonesian coal.
Will it affect Indian economy growth or this coal export ban is ignorable as India can easily identify alternative sources of fuel?
The magnitude of growth in power generation in India will necessarily mean that coal will remain the mainstay. Natural gas has had issues of availability. Nuclear plant development is facing socio-political challenge in view of the risks of technology failure. Development of hydel power has also faced issues of land acquisition, rehabilitation & resettlement apart from the technical issues of hydro-geological features. Renewable sources such as solar and wind generation are still projected to constitute a small portion of India power generation mix. Identifying an alternative source that can match coal in its accessibility, availability and affordability in the context of scale of capacity addition required in India is a challenge.
What is the Indian government's role on this issue, whether government has to come out with the solution such as easing Indian mining and environment law, open up mining for foreigners, G2G arrangement, etc…?
There is a need to look at domestic sources with pro-active and constructive approach and make all necessary legal and statutory amendments that make the resources available and mineable. Easing the regulations may not be one of such measures but making those regulations work in sync with each other in a time bound and predictable manner must certainly be.
There is certainly a case for opening the domestic coal sector for private participation, including independent miners, and for foreign participation so that newer technology and enhanced scale of operations are implemented in India. The regulation also needs to permit risk capital to come in for prospecting and exploration.
For imports the G2G relations can be leveraged to secure coal assets. India has good relationship with Indonesia and has also signed a tax treaty with Mozambique in 2010 which will facilitate investments. Government may also engage with these countries to ease exports to India and extend fiscal support to coal mining companies investing in mining and associated infrastructure development.
About Dipesh Dipu
Dipesh Dipu works as Director with Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu India Pvt. Ltd in the Energy and Resources consulting practice of the firm and anchors the Firm’s initiative in the mining and metals sectors.
He is a mining engineering graduate from Indian School of Mines and is a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA). He has also done executive program in business management from Indian Institute of Management Calcutta. Dipesh has recently been awarded the Abheraj Baldota Gold Medal for the Young Mining Engineer of the Year 2007 by the Mining Engineers’ Association of India in recognition of his contributions in the improvement of mining industry in India.
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Tuesday, 20 April 10
INDO HARUM ENERGY WINS US$200MN LOAN PLEDGE FROM BANK SYNDICATE
Indonesian coal producer PT Harum Energy has secured a loan commitment of US$200 million from a syndicate of six banks.
Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi ...
Tuesday, 20 April 10
PACIFIC SUPRA MARKET WAS STILL SOFTENING - BRS
A modest increase in dry bulk rates this week with activity picking up in the middle of the week. Panamax rates remain above the Capes, and there wa ...
Monday, 19 April 10
IS CHINA TO SUFFER NEW COAL SUPPLY SHORTAGE IN 2010? - XINHUA
Is China likely to suffer a new coal supply shortage in 2010? It's a question haunting many Chinese market analysts now. After a string of several ...
Monday, 19 April 10
WHITE ENERGY BUYS SA COAL - ABC NET
ABC Net reported that, South Australian Coal Limited is being bought by the New South Wales company White Energy.
Shareholders will get a combine ...
Monday, 19 April 10
PLN TO OPERATE COAL MINES IN BID TO FUEL POWER PLANTS
The Jakarta Globe reported that, state electricity utility PT Perusahaan Listrik Negara said on Sunday that it aimed to take over operation of small ...
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- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- The University of Queensland
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Minerals Council of Australia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Australian Coal Association
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- White Energy Company Limited
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- MS Steel International - UAE
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
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