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Tuesday, 06 September 11
INDONESIAS PROPOSED COAL EXPORT BAN MAY HAVE IMPACT ON THE INDIAN POWER SECTOR - DIPESH DIPU
COALspot.com - This is a special interview about Indonesian proposed coal export ban by 2014, with Mr. Dipesh Dipu, Director of Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu, India.
The Indonesian government is currently in the process of drafting a new regulation that could ban the export of low-grade coal by January 12, 2014. This is likely to apply to coal below 5700 kcal/kg on air dried basis in value.
As of now Indonesia is producing around 150 million tons of coal with calorific value below 5700 GAD (according to chairman of Indonesian coal mining association). However by 2014, there are possibilities the total production of below 5700 GAD coal may reach more than 200 million per annum.
Will Indonesian coal export ban impact on the Indian fuel requirements?
The earlier grade of coal that was being considered for proposed ban has GCV of 5100 kcal/kg of less (adb), which can be comparable to 3800-4200 kcal/kg (arb) domestic coal available in India. This grade of coal has found favor in India primarily due to likely price advantage but economics of power generation based on such grade of imported coal may be a suspect. This considering that such grades of coal from Indonesia typically have high moisture content, which makes transportation cost per unit of energy generated higher. The quantum of the low grade of coal (<5100 kcal/kg adb) procured from Indonesia is likely to remain relatively low.
However, if the new definition of low grade coal is applied (<5700 kcal/kg adb), it may be reasonable to believe that such a ban may have impact on the Indian power sector as volumes in this grade of coal are expected to rise in the proportion of coal exports to India. Several of the acquisitions made by Indian power generation companies in Indonesia have been in coal blocks that will produce coal of this grade, and a blanket ban on the exports can jeopardize power plant development in India.
On the other hand, the domestic Indonesian market may not be prepared to consume all the coal mined of this grade in view of the power generation capacity addition plans in Indonesia. In such a case, the coal mine development is likely to be deferred. The Indonesian law makers may need to reconsider domestic market demand, investment climate in coal sector and impact of the legislation on the export revenues.
What is the alternative source for Indian power industry if the proposed coal export ban come into effect by 2014?
Indian power generation companies have been forced to look out for coal assets abroad due to the investment and regulatory environment within the country. India boasts of more than 110 billion tonnes of coal reserves, which largely fall within a 300 meters of depth. If the regulatory and investment environment is amended to allow greater participation of private sector Indian dependence on imports will be reduced.
However, for imports, India will continue to look at Indonesia, South Africa, Australia and newer destinations like Mozambique and Columbia. But these sources also have constraints, domestic demands in South Africa is likely to restrict quantum jump in exports out of South Africa. Indonesia has also proposed domestic market obligations. Mozambique may have infrastructure constraints for large volumes of coal being transported from Tete province to ports of Maputo, Ncala or Beira. Australian coal is of high quality but may have higher costs of mining and transport.
What would be the additional cost if Indian consumers switch their sourcing origin from Indonesia?
Indonesia has competitive advantage due to its geographical closeness. However, on a per tonne basis, assuming comparable quality, costs of transport may make marginal difference when compared with South Africa and Mozambique.
When compared to Australian coal, due to the high quality, cost of energy may well be comparable even though shipping costs are higher. Between Indonesian coal (5500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 90 per tonne) and Australian coal (6500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 120 per tonne), indicative variable cost difference of power generation may be about Indian Rupees 0.20 to 0.30 per kWh (electricity unit) in favor of Indonesian coal.
Will it affect Indian economy growth or this coal export ban is ignorable as India can easily identify alternative sources of fuel?
The magnitude of growth in power generation in India will necessarily mean that coal will remain the mainstay. Natural gas has had issues of availability. Nuclear plant development is facing socio-political challenge in view of the risks of technology failure. Development of hydel power has also faced issues of land acquisition, rehabilitation & resettlement apart from the technical issues of hydro-geological features. Renewable sources such as solar and wind generation are still projected to constitute a small portion of India power generation mix. Identifying an alternative source that can match coal in its accessibility, availability and affordability in the context of scale of capacity addition required in India is a challenge.
What is the Indian government's role on this issue, whether government has to come out with the solution such as easing Indian mining and environment law, open up mining for foreigners, G2G arrangement, etc…?
There is a need to look at domestic sources with pro-active and constructive approach and make all necessary legal and statutory amendments that make the resources available and mineable. Easing the regulations may not be one of such measures but making those regulations work in sync with each other in a time bound and predictable manner must certainly be.
There is certainly a case for opening the domestic coal sector for private participation, including independent miners, and for foreign participation so that newer technology and enhanced scale of operations are implemented in India. The regulation also needs to permit risk capital to come in for prospecting and exploration.
For imports the G2G relations can be leveraged to secure coal assets. India has good relationship with Indonesia and has also signed a tax treaty with Mozambique in 2010 which will facilitate investments. Government may also engage with these countries to ease exports to India and extend fiscal support to coal mining companies investing in mining and associated infrastructure development.
About Dipesh Dipu
Dipesh Dipu works as Director with Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu India Pvt. Ltd in the Energy and Resources consulting practice of the firm and anchors the Firm’s initiative in the mining and metals sectors.
He is a mining engineering graduate from Indian School of Mines and is a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA). He has also done executive program in business management from Indian Institute of Management Calcutta. Dipesh has recently been awarded the Abheraj Baldota Gold Medal for the Young Mining Engineer of the Year 2007 by the Mining Engineers’ Association of India in recognition of his contributions in the improvement of mining industry in India.
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Saturday, 19 June 10
STRONG DEMAND, RISING PRODUCTION SETTING SCENE FOR COAL BONANZA - THE JAKARTA GLOBE
The Jakarta globe rerported that, As the nation’s coal miners enjoy burgeoning demand from energy-hungry economies such as China and India, th ...
Saturday, 19 June 10
DRY BULK MARKET DOWN ON CHINESE SLOWDOWN FEARS
Dry bulk freight rates have been on a freefall for more than two weeks now, something which has caused the industry’s benchmark, the Baltic Dr ...
Saturday, 19 June 10
COAL INDIA KEEN ON BLOCK DEVELOPMENT IN INDONESIA - THE HINDU BUSINESS LINE
Expanding horizon
Agreement by the Indonesian Government is likely to help CIL gain foothold in India's largest sourcing point of thermal coal.
...
Friday, 18 June 10
THE PANAMAX MARKET CONTINUED ITS SOFTENING TREND - FEARNBULK
Handy
Flat Atlantic markets with most markets in ´slow mode´ due to holidays in China.
Supramax vessels open in the USG are achievi ...
Thursday, 17 June 10
INDONESIAN COAL PRICE REFERENCE FOR JUNE IS US$ 97.22/TON UP 5.59 PERCENT
COALspot.com: The directorate general of mineral, coal and geothermal of Indonesia has been publishing a monthly coal price reference (HBA) to be us ...
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- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- White Energy Company Limited
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Australian Coal Association
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- The University of Queensland
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- PTC India Limited - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
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