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Tuesday, 06 September 11
INDONESIAS PROPOSED COAL EXPORT BAN MAY HAVE IMPACT ON THE INDIAN POWER SECTOR - DIPESH DIPU
COALspot.com - This is a special interview about Indonesian proposed coal export ban by 2014, with Mr. Dipesh Dipu, Director of Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu, India.
The Indonesian government is currently in the process of drafting a new regulation that could ban the export of low-grade coal by January 12, 2014. This is likely to apply to coal below 5700 kcal/kg on air dried basis in value.
As of now Indonesia is producing around 150 million tons of coal with calorific value below 5700 GAD (according to chairman of Indonesian coal mining association). However by 2014, there are possibilities the total production of below 5700 GAD coal may reach more than 200 million per annum.
Will Indonesian coal export ban impact on the Indian fuel requirements?
The earlier grade of coal that was being considered for proposed ban has GCV of 5100 kcal/kg of less (adb), which can be comparable to 3800-4200 kcal/kg (arb) domestic coal available in India. This grade of coal has found favor in India primarily due to likely price advantage but economics of power generation based on such grade of imported coal may be a suspect. This considering that such grades of coal from Indonesia typically have high moisture content, which makes transportation cost per unit of energy generated higher. The quantum of the low grade of coal (<5100 kcal/kg adb) procured from Indonesia is likely to remain relatively low.
However, if the new definition of low grade coal is applied (<5700 kcal/kg adb), it may be reasonable to believe that such a ban may have impact on the Indian power sector as volumes in this grade of coal are expected to rise in the proportion of coal exports to India. Several of the acquisitions made by Indian power generation companies in Indonesia have been in coal blocks that will produce coal of this grade, and a blanket ban on the exports can jeopardize power plant development in India.
On the other hand, the domestic Indonesian market may not be prepared to consume all the coal mined of this grade in view of the power generation capacity addition plans in Indonesia. In such a case, the coal mine development is likely to be deferred. The Indonesian law makers may need to reconsider domestic market demand, investment climate in coal sector and impact of the legislation on the export revenues.
What is the alternative source for Indian power industry if the proposed coal export ban come into effect by 2014?
Indian power generation companies have been forced to look out for coal assets abroad due to the investment and regulatory environment within the country. India boasts of more than 110 billion tonnes of coal reserves, which largely fall within a 300 meters of depth. If the regulatory and investment environment is amended to allow greater participation of private sector Indian dependence on imports will be reduced.
However, for imports, India will continue to look at Indonesia, South Africa, Australia and newer destinations like Mozambique and Columbia. But these sources also have constraints, domestic demands in South Africa is likely to restrict quantum jump in exports out of South Africa. Indonesia has also proposed domestic market obligations. Mozambique may have infrastructure constraints for large volumes of coal being transported from Tete province to ports of Maputo, Ncala or Beira. Australian coal is of high quality but may have higher costs of mining and transport.
What would be the additional cost if Indian consumers switch their sourcing origin from Indonesia?
Indonesia has competitive advantage due to its geographical closeness. However, on a per tonne basis, assuming comparable quality, costs of transport may make marginal difference when compared with South Africa and Mozambique.
When compared to Australian coal, due to the high quality, cost of energy may well be comparable even though shipping costs are higher. Between Indonesian coal (5500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 90 per tonne) and Australian coal (6500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 120 per tonne), indicative variable cost difference of power generation may be about Indian Rupees 0.20 to 0.30 per kWh (electricity unit) in favor of Indonesian coal.
Will it affect Indian economy growth or this coal export ban is ignorable as India can easily identify alternative sources of fuel?
The magnitude of growth in power generation in India will necessarily mean that coal will remain the mainstay. Natural gas has had issues of availability. Nuclear plant development is facing socio-political challenge in view of the risks of technology failure. Development of hydel power has also faced issues of land acquisition, rehabilitation & resettlement apart from the technical issues of hydro-geological features. Renewable sources such as solar and wind generation are still projected to constitute a small portion of India power generation mix. Identifying an alternative source that can match coal in its accessibility, availability and affordability in the context of scale of capacity addition required in India is a challenge.
What is the Indian government's role on this issue, whether government has to come out with the solution such as easing Indian mining and environment law, open up mining for foreigners, G2G arrangement, etc…?
There is a need to look at domestic sources with pro-active and constructive approach and make all necessary legal and statutory amendments that make the resources available and mineable. Easing the regulations may not be one of such measures but making those regulations work in sync with each other in a time bound and predictable manner must certainly be.
There is certainly a case for opening the domestic coal sector for private participation, including independent miners, and for foreign participation so that newer technology and enhanced scale of operations are implemented in India. The regulation also needs to permit risk capital to come in for prospecting and exploration.
For imports the G2G relations can be leveraged to secure coal assets. India has good relationship with Indonesia and has also signed a tax treaty with Mozambique in 2010 which will facilitate investments. Government may also engage with these countries to ease exports to India and extend fiscal support to coal mining companies investing in mining and associated infrastructure development.
About Dipesh Dipu
Dipesh Dipu works as Director with Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu India Pvt. Ltd in the Energy and Resources consulting practice of the firm and anchors the Firm’s initiative in the mining and metals sectors.
He is a mining engineering graduate from Indian School of Mines and is a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA). He has also done executive program in business management from Indian Institute of Management Calcutta. Dipesh has recently been awarded the Abheraj Baldota Gold Medal for the Young Mining Engineer of the Year 2007 by the Mining Engineers’ Association of India in recognition of his contributions in the improvement of mining industry in India.
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Friday, 16 July 10
CHINA EXPORTS 10.14 MILLION TONNES OF COAL IN H1 OF 2010
China exported 10.14 million tonnes of coal in the first half of this year, down 13.1% compared with the corresponding period of last year, accordin ...
Thursday, 15 July 10
SMC TO PURSUE MINDANAO COAL MINING PROJECTS
Philippine Daily Inquirer reported that, DIVERSIFYING CONGLOMERATE San Miguel Corp. is inclined to pursue its coal mining projects in Mindanao ...
Thursday, 15 July 10
ADANI ENTERPRISES WILL BUY $1 BILLION COAL MINE FROM LINC ENERGY - TOP NEWS
Top News reported that, Adani Enterprises has almost managed to obtain a coal mine from Linc Energy for $1 billion in Queensland, Australia. This mi ...
Thursday, 15 July 10
ADANI TO DEVELOP COAL EXPORT TERMINAL IN AUSTRALIA - BUSINESS STANDARD
Business-Standard reported that, The Adani Group, promoter of Mundra Port and Special Economic Zone (MPSEZ), today said it has been selected as the ...
Thursday, 15 July 10
NO IMPROVEMENT IN THE DRY BULK MARKET - INTERMODAL
Broker’s insight
With the Baltic Dry Index today (13/7/2010) standing at 1,790 points - the lowest point since early May 2009 - ...
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- MS Steel International - UAE
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Australian Coal Association
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- White Energy Company Limited
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
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