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Tuesday, 06 September 11
INDONESIAS PROPOSED COAL EXPORT BAN MAY HAVE IMPACT ON THE INDIAN POWER SECTOR - DIPESH DIPU
.jpg) COALspot.com - This is a special interview about Indonesian proposed coal export ban by 2014, with Mr. Dipesh Dipu, Director of Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu, India.
The Indonesian government is currently in the process of drafting a new regulation that could ban the export of low-grade coal by January 12, 2014. This is likely to apply to coal below 5700 kcal/kg on air dried basis in value.
As of now Indonesia is producing around 150 million tons of coal with calorific value below 5700 GAD (according to chairman of Indonesian coal mining association). However by 2014, there are possibilities the total production of below 5700 GAD coal may reach more than 200 million per annum.
Will Indonesian coal export ban impact on the Indian fuel requirements?
The earlier grade of coal that was being considered for proposed ban has GCV of 5100 kcal/kg of less (adb), which can be comparable to 3800-4200 kcal/kg (arb) domestic coal available in India. This grade of coal has found favor in India primarily due to likely price advantage but economics of power generation based on such grade of imported coal may be a suspect. This considering that such grades of coal from Indonesia typically have high moisture content, which makes transportation cost per unit of energy generated higher. The quantum of the low grade of coal (<5100 kcal/kg adb) procured from Indonesia is likely to remain relatively low.
However, if the new definition of low grade coal is applied (<5700 kcal/kg adb), it may be reasonable to believe that such a ban may have impact on the Indian power sector as volumes in this grade of coal are expected to rise in the proportion of coal exports to India. Several of the acquisitions made by Indian power generation companies in Indonesia have been in coal blocks that will produce coal of this grade, and a blanket ban on the exports can jeopardize power plant development in India.
On the other hand, the domestic Indonesian market may not be prepared to consume all the coal mined of this grade in view of the power generation capacity addition plans in Indonesia. In such a case, the coal mine development is likely to be deferred. The Indonesian law makers may need to reconsider domestic market demand, investment climate in coal sector and impact of the legislation on the export revenues.
What is the alternative source for Indian power industry if the proposed coal export ban come into effect by 2014?
Indian power generation companies have been forced to look out for coal assets abroad due to the investment and regulatory environment within the country. India boasts of more than 110 billion tonnes of coal reserves, which largely fall within a 300 meters of depth. If the regulatory and investment environment is amended to allow greater participation of private sector Indian dependence on imports will be reduced.
However, for imports, India will continue to look at Indonesia, South Africa, Australia and newer destinations like Mozambique and Columbia. But these sources also have constraints, domestic demands in South Africa is likely to restrict quantum jump in exports out of South Africa. Indonesia has also proposed domestic market obligations. Mozambique may have infrastructure constraints for large volumes of coal being transported from Tete province to ports of Maputo, Ncala or Beira. Australian coal is of high quality but may have higher costs of mining and transport.
What would be the additional cost if Indian consumers switch their sourcing origin from Indonesia?
Indonesia has competitive advantage due to its geographical closeness. However, on a per tonne basis, assuming comparable quality, costs of transport may make marginal difference when compared with South Africa and Mozambique.
When compared to Australian coal, due to the high quality, cost of energy may well be comparable even though shipping costs are higher. Between Indonesian coal (5500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 90 per tonne) and Australian coal (6500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 120 per tonne), indicative variable cost difference of power generation may be about Indian Rupees 0.20 to 0.30 per kWh (electricity unit) in favor of Indonesian coal.
Will it affect Indian economy growth or this coal export ban is ignorable as India can easily identify alternative sources of fuel?
The magnitude of growth in power generation in India will necessarily mean that coal will remain the mainstay. Natural gas has had issues of availability. Nuclear plant development is facing socio-political challenge in view of the risks of technology failure. Development of hydel power has also faced issues of land acquisition, rehabilitation & resettlement apart from the technical issues of hydro-geological features. Renewable sources such as solar and wind generation are still projected to constitute a small portion of India power generation mix. Identifying an alternative source that can match coal in its accessibility, availability and affordability in the context of scale of capacity addition required in India is a challenge.
What is the Indian government's role on this issue, whether government has to come out with the solution such as easing Indian mining and environment law, open up mining for foreigners, G2G arrangement, etc…?
There is a need to look at domestic sources with pro-active and constructive approach and make all necessary legal and statutory amendments that make the resources available and mineable. Easing the regulations may not be one of such measures but making those regulations work in sync with each other in a time bound and predictable manner must certainly be.
There is certainly a case for opening the domestic coal sector for private participation, including independent miners, and for foreign participation so that newer technology and enhanced scale of operations are implemented in India. The regulation also needs to permit risk capital to come in for prospecting and exploration.
For imports the G2G relations can be leveraged to secure coal assets. India has good relationship with Indonesia and has also signed a tax treaty with Mozambique in 2010 which will facilitate investments. Government may also engage with these countries to ease exports to India and extend fiscal support to coal mining companies investing in mining and associated infrastructure development.
About Dipesh Dipu
Dipesh Dipu works as Director with Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu India Pvt. Ltd in the Energy and Resources consulting practice of the firm and anchors the Firm’s initiative in the mining and metals sectors.
He is a mining engineering graduate from Indian School of Mines and is a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA). He has also done executive program in business management from Indian Institute of Management Calcutta. Dipesh has recently been awarded the Abheraj Baldota Gold Medal for the Young Mining Engineer of the Year 2007 by the Mining Engineers’ Association of India in recognition of his contributions in the improvement of mining industry in India.
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Wednesday, 04 August 10
MALAYSIA'S AGATE GROUP TIES UP WITH INDIA'S ECOGREEN TO DEVELOP COAL BUSINESS
COALspot.com: "Malaysian based AGATE Group had entered into an agreement with India's EcoGreen to jointly develop coal business in India ...
Wednesday, 04 August 10
ADARO PRODUCED 21.62 MILLION TONS OF COAL IN 1H 2010
COALspot.com: “Adaro Energy’s production volume during the second quarter of 2010 was 10.26 million tones and for the first half of 2010 ...
Wednesday, 04 August 10
CIL TO TAKE UP NEW PROJECT TO MEET INCREASED DEMAND OF COAL
As part of Annual Plan 2010-11, Planning Commission has projected all India demand of coal 656.31 Million Tonnes against which the indigenous supply ...
Tuesday, 03 August 10
INDONESIA CONSIDERING RUPIAH DENOMINATION
The jakarta post reportd that, the central bank is deliberating a potential Rupiah denomination in light of decreasing exchange rate valuations agai ...
Monday, 02 August 10
DRY BULK MARKET NEEDS TO FIND ADDITIONAL SUPPORT IN AUGUST
The dry bulk market ended another week of rebounding, posting on Friday its 11th straight rise. Still, as analysts point out the rate of this rise h ...
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- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Economic Council, Georgia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- PTC India Limited - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- The University of Queensland
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Planning Commission, India
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