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Tuesday, 06 September 11
INDONESIAS PROPOSED COAL EXPORT BAN MAY HAVE IMPACT ON THE INDIAN POWER SECTOR - DIPESH DIPU
COALspot.com - This is a special interview about Indonesian proposed coal export ban by 2014, with Mr. Dipesh Dipu, Director of Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu, India.
The Indonesian government is currently in the process of drafting a new regulation that could ban the export of low-grade coal by January 12, 2014. This is likely to apply to coal below 5700 kcal/kg on air dried basis in value.
As of now Indonesia is producing around 150 million tons of coal with calorific value below 5700 GAD (according to chairman of Indonesian coal mining association). However by 2014, there are possibilities the total production of below 5700 GAD coal may reach more than 200 million per annum.
Will Indonesian coal export ban impact on the Indian fuel requirements?
The earlier grade of coal that was being considered for proposed ban has GCV of 5100 kcal/kg of less (adb), which can be comparable to 3800-4200 kcal/kg (arb) domestic coal available in India. This grade of coal has found favor in India primarily due to likely price advantage but economics of power generation based on such grade of imported coal may be a suspect. This considering that such grades of coal from Indonesia typically have high moisture content, which makes transportation cost per unit of energy generated higher. The quantum of the low grade of coal (<5100 kcal/kg adb) procured from Indonesia is likely to remain relatively low.
However, if the new definition of low grade coal is applied (<5700 kcal/kg adb), it may be reasonable to believe that such a ban may have impact on the Indian power sector as volumes in this grade of coal are expected to rise in the proportion of coal exports to India. Several of the acquisitions made by Indian power generation companies in Indonesia have been in coal blocks that will produce coal of this grade, and a blanket ban on the exports can jeopardize power plant development in India.
On the other hand, the domestic Indonesian market may not be prepared to consume all the coal mined of this grade in view of the power generation capacity addition plans in Indonesia. In such a case, the coal mine development is likely to be deferred. The Indonesian law makers may need to reconsider domestic market demand, investment climate in coal sector and impact of the legislation on the export revenues.
What is the alternative source for Indian power industry if the proposed coal export ban come into effect by 2014?
Indian power generation companies have been forced to look out for coal assets abroad due to the investment and regulatory environment within the country. India boasts of more than 110 billion tonnes of coal reserves, which largely fall within a 300 meters of depth. If the regulatory and investment environment is amended to allow greater participation of private sector Indian dependence on imports will be reduced.
However, for imports, India will continue to look at Indonesia, South Africa, Australia and newer destinations like Mozambique and Columbia. But these sources also have constraints, domestic demands in South Africa is likely to restrict quantum jump in exports out of South Africa. Indonesia has also proposed domestic market obligations. Mozambique may have infrastructure constraints for large volumes of coal being transported from Tete province to ports of Maputo, Ncala or Beira. Australian coal is of high quality but may have higher costs of mining and transport.
What would be the additional cost if Indian consumers switch their sourcing origin from Indonesia?
Indonesia has competitive advantage due to its geographical closeness. However, on a per tonne basis, assuming comparable quality, costs of transport may make marginal difference when compared with South Africa and Mozambique.
When compared to Australian coal, due to the high quality, cost of energy may well be comparable even though shipping costs are higher. Between Indonesian coal (5500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 90 per tonne) and Australian coal (6500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 120 per tonne), indicative variable cost difference of power generation may be about Indian Rupees 0.20 to 0.30 per kWh (electricity unit) in favor of Indonesian coal.
Will it affect Indian economy growth or this coal export ban is ignorable as India can easily identify alternative sources of fuel?
The magnitude of growth in power generation in India will necessarily mean that coal will remain the mainstay. Natural gas has had issues of availability. Nuclear plant development is facing socio-political challenge in view of the risks of technology failure. Development of hydel power has also faced issues of land acquisition, rehabilitation & resettlement apart from the technical issues of hydro-geological features. Renewable sources such as solar and wind generation are still projected to constitute a small portion of India power generation mix. Identifying an alternative source that can match coal in its accessibility, availability and affordability in the context of scale of capacity addition required in India is a challenge.
What is the Indian government's role on this issue, whether government has to come out with the solution such as easing Indian mining and environment law, open up mining for foreigners, G2G arrangement, etc…?
There is a need to look at domestic sources with pro-active and constructive approach and make all necessary legal and statutory amendments that make the resources available and mineable. Easing the regulations may not be one of such measures but making those regulations work in sync with each other in a time bound and predictable manner must certainly be.
There is certainly a case for opening the domestic coal sector for private participation, including independent miners, and for foreign participation so that newer technology and enhanced scale of operations are implemented in India. The regulation also needs to permit risk capital to come in for prospecting and exploration.
For imports the G2G relations can be leveraged to secure coal assets. India has good relationship with Indonesia and has also signed a tax treaty with Mozambique in 2010 which will facilitate investments. Government may also engage with these countries to ease exports to India and extend fiscal support to coal mining companies investing in mining and associated infrastructure development.
About Dipesh Dipu
Dipesh Dipu works as Director with Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu India Pvt. Ltd in the Energy and Resources consulting practice of the firm and anchors the Firm’s initiative in the mining and metals sectors.
He is a mining engineering graduate from Indian School of Mines and is a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA). He has also done executive program in business management from Indian Institute of Management Calcutta. Dipesh has recently been awarded the Abheraj Baldota Gold Medal for the Young Mining Engineer of the Year 2007 by the Mining Engineers’ Association of India in recognition of his contributions in the improvement of mining industry in India.
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Wednesday, 17 November 10
DRY BULK MARKET LOOKING FOR SUPPORT IN COAL TRADES AND INDIAN IRON ORE EXPORTS - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING
Nikos Roussanoglou, Hellenic Shipping reported that, the dry bulk market is lacking support to end its 13-day slide, as evidenced by Monday’s ...
Tuesday, 16 November 10
'VALLAR PLC' TO BECOME 'BUMI PLC' POST DEAL - THE JAKARTA POST
The Jakarta Post reported that, The United Kingdom’s Vallar Plc will change its name to Bumi Plc following a cash and stock transaction with t ...
Tuesday, 16 November 10
ROTHSCHILD BUYS INDONESIAN COAL STAKES FOR $3 BILLION - BLOOMBERG
Bloomberg reported that, Nathaniel Rothschild, the only son of U.K. financier Jacob Rothschild, agreed to invest $3 billion in two Indonesian coal c ...
Sunday, 14 November 10
THE FREIGHT MARKET CONTINUED ITS DOWN FALL - VISTAAR SINGAPORE
COALspot.com: The freight market continued its down fall with BDI down by 7.29 pct and closed at 2,313 points.
All other segments were also under ...
Saturday, 13 November 10
INDONESIA SHIPPED 8.73 % MORE COAL IN OCTOBER THAN A MONTH EARLIER
COALspot.com: Indonesia, the world largest coal exporter, shipped 23.55 mln mt of coal in October 2010, which is 8.73 percent more compared to Septe ...
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- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- The University of Queensland
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- White Energy Company Limited
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Planning Commission, India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
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