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Tuesday, 06 September 11
INDONESIAS PROPOSED COAL EXPORT BAN MAY HAVE IMPACT ON THE INDIAN POWER SECTOR - DIPESH DIPU
COALspot.com - This is a special interview about Indonesian proposed coal export ban by 2014, with Mr. Dipesh Dipu, Director of Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu, India.
The Indonesian government is currently in the process of drafting a new regulation that could ban the export of low-grade coal by January 12, 2014. This is likely to apply to coal below 5700 kcal/kg on air dried basis in value.
As of now Indonesia is producing around 150 million tons of coal with calorific value below 5700 GAD (according to chairman of Indonesian coal mining association). However by 2014, there are possibilities the total production of below 5700 GAD coal may reach more than 200 million per annum.
Will Indonesian coal export ban impact on the Indian fuel requirements?
The earlier grade of coal that was being considered for proposed ban has GCV of 5100 kcal/kg of less (adb), which can be comparable to 3800-4200 kcal/kg (arb) domestic coal available in India. This grade of coal has found favor in India primarily due to likely price advantage but economics of power generation based on such grade of imported coal may be a suspect. This considering that such grades of coal from Indonesia typically have high moisture content, which makes transportation cost per unit of energy generated higher. The quantum of the low grade of coal (<5100 kcal/kg adb) procured from Indonesia is likely to remain relatively low.
However, if the new definition of low grade coal is applied (<5700 kcal/kg adb), it may be reasonable to believe that such a ban may have impact on the Indian power sector as volumes in this grade of coal are expected to rise in the proportion of coal exports to India. Several of the acquisitions made by Indian power generation companies in Indonesia have been in coal blocks that will produce coal of this grade, and a blanket ban on the exports can jeopardize power plant development in India.
On the other hand, the domestic Indonesian market may not be prepared to consume all the coal mined of this grade in view of the power generation capacity addition plans in Indonesia. In such a case, the coal mine development is likely to be deferred. The Indonesian law makers may need to reconsider domestic market demand, investment climate in coal sector and impact of the legislation on the export revenues.
What is the alternative source for Indian power industry if the proposed coal export ban come into effect by 2014?
Indian power generation companies have been forced to look out for coal assets abroad due to the investment and regulatory environment within the country. India boasts of more than 110 billion tonnes of coal reserves, which largely fall within a 300 meters of depth. If the regulatory and investment environment is amended to allow greater participation of private sector Indian dependence on imports will be reduced.
However, for imports, India will continue to look at Indonesia, South Africa, Australia and newer destinations like Mozambique and Columbia. But these sources also have constraints, domestic demands in South Africa is likely to restrict quantum jump in exports out of South Africa. Indonesia has also proposed domestic market obligations. Mozambique may have infrastructure constraints for large volumes of coal being transported from Tete province to ports of Maputo, Ncala or Beira. Australian coal is of high quality but may have higher costs of mining and transport.
What would be the additional cost if Indian consumers switch their sourcing origin from Indonesia?
Indonesia has competitive advantage due to its geographical closeness. However, on a per tonne basis, assuming comparable quality, costs of transport may make marginal difference when compared with South Africa and Mozambique.
When compared to Australian coal, due to the high quality, cost of energy may well be comparable even though shipping costs are higher. Between Indonesian coal (5500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 90 per tonne) and Australian coal (6500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 120 per tonne), indicative variable cost difference of power generation may be about Indian Rupees 0.20 to 0.30 per kWh (electricity unit) in favor of Indonesian coal.
Will it affect Indian economy growth or this coal export ban is ignorable as India can easily identify alternative sources of fuel?
The magnitude of growth in power generation in India will necessarily mean that coal will remain the mainstay. Natural gas has had issues of availability. Nuclear plant development is facing socio-political challenge in view of the risks of technology failure. Development of hydel power has also faced issues of land acquisition, rehabilitation & resettlement apart from the technical issues of hydro-geological features. Renewable sources such as solar and wind generation are still projected to constitute a small portion of India power generation mix. Identifying an alternative source that can match coal in its accessibility, availability and affordability in the context of scale of capacity addition required in India is a challenge.
What is the Indian government's role on this issue, whether government has to come out with the solution such as easing Indian mining and environment law, open up mining for foreigners, G2G arrangement, etc…?
There is a need to look at domestic sources with pro-active and constructive approach and make all necessary legal and statutory amendments that make the resources available and mineable. Easing the regulations may not be one of such measures but making those regulations work in sync with each other in a time bound and predictable manner must certainly be.
There is certainly a case for opening the domestic coal sector for private participation, including independent miners, and for foreign participation so that newer technology and enhanced scale of operations are implemented in India. The regulation also needs to permit risk capital to come in for prospecting and exploration.
For imports the G2G relations can be leveraged to secure coal assets. India has good relationship with Indonesia and has also signed a tax treaty with Mozambique in 2010 which will facilitate investments. Government may also engage with these countries to ease exports to India and extend fiscal support to coal mining companies investing in mining and associated infrastructure development.
About Dipesh Dipu
Dipesh Dipu works as Director with Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu India Pvt. Ltd in the Energy and Resources consulting practice of the firm and anchors the Firm’s initiative in the mining and metals sectors.
He is a mining engineering graduate from Indian School of Mines and is a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA). He has also done executive program in business management from Indian Institute of Management Calcutta. Dipesh has recently been awarded the Abheraj Baldota Gold Medal for the Young Mining Engineer of the Year 2007 by the Mining Engineers’ Association of India in recognition of his contributions in the improvement of mining industry in India.
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Thursday, 02 December 10
INDIA'S COAL SHORTAGE TO DEEPEN NEXT YEAR - MONEY CONTROL
Money Control reported that, India's coal deficit will deepen sharply next year, its coal minister said on Tuesday, forcing Asia's third largest e ...
Thursday, 02 December 10
CIL INCHES CLOSER TO PEABODY STAKE DEAL - THE TELEGRAPH INDIA
The Telegraph India reported that, state-run Coal India Ltd (CIL) hopes to complete negotiations to buy over 10 per cent in Australian miner Peabody ...
Thursday, 02 December 10
DRY BULK MARKET WEIGHED DOWN BY CAPESIZE BLUES - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING
The negative sentiment currently undergoing in the capesize market has kept the dry bulk market’s benchmark, the Baltic Dry Index (BDI) on the ...
Monday, 29 November 10
NUCLEAR SUPERTANKERS TO SHAKE UP SHIPPING - THIS IS MONEY
This is money reported that, plans are under way that could see nuclear-powered supertankers sailing the world’s shipping lanes, refuelling on ...
Sunday, 28 November 10
FREIGHT MARKET SEEMS TO BE NERVOUS - VISTAAR
COALspot.com - The freight market continued to remain uncertain even though only cape index was down by 8.31 pct.
Overall the market seems to be ...
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- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Economic Council, Georgia
- The University of Queensland
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- PTC India Limited - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Planning Commission, India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
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