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Tuesday, 06 September 11
INDONESIAS PROPOSED COAL EXPORT BAN MAY HAVE IMPACT ON THE INDIAN POWER SECTOR - DIPESH DIPU
COALspot.com - This is a special interview about Indonesian proposed coal export ban by 2014, with Mr. Dipesh Dipu, Director of Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu, India.
The Indonesian government is currently in the process of drafting a new regulation that could ban the export of low-grade coal by January 12, 2014. This is likely to apply to coal below 5700 kcal/kg on air dried basis in value.
As of now Indonesia is producing around 150 million tons of coal with calorific value below 5700 GAD (according to chairman of Indonesian coal mining association). However by 2014, there are possibilities the total production of below 5700 GAD coal may reach more than 200 million per annum.
Will Indonesian coal export ban impact on the Indian fuel requirements?
The earlier grade of coal that was being considered for proposed ban has GCV of 5100 kcal/kg of less (adb), which can be comparable to 3800-4200 kcal/kg (arb) domestic coal available in India. This grade of coal has found favor in India primarily due to likely price advantage but economics of power generation based on such grade of imported coal may be a suspect. This considering that such grades of coal from Indonesia typically have high moisture content, which makes transportation cost per unit of energy generated higher. The quantum of the low grade of coal (<5100 kcal/kg adb) procured from Indonesia is likely to remain relatively low.
However, if the new definition of low grade coal is applied (<5700 kcal/kg adb), it may be reasonable to believe that such a ban may have impact on the Indian power sector as volumes in this grade of coal are expected to rise in the proportion of coal exports to India. Several of the acquisitions made by Indian power generation companies in Indonesia have been in coal blocks that will produce coal of this grade, and a blanket ban on the exports can jeopardize power plant development in India.
On the other hand, the domestic Indonesian market may not be prepared to consume all the coal mined of this grade in view of the power generation capacity addition plans in Indonesia. In such a case, the coal mine development is likely to be deferred. The Indonesian law makers may need to reconsider domestic market demand, investment climate in coal sector and impact of the legislation on the export revenues.
What is the alternative source for Indian power industry if the proposed coal export ban come into effect by 2014?
Indian power generation companies have been forced to look out for coal assets abroad due to the investment and regulatory environment within the country. India boasts of more than 110 billion tonnes of coal reserves, which largely fall within a 300 meters of depth. If the regulatory and investment environment is amended to allow greater participation of private sector Indian dependence on imports will be reduced.
However, for imports, India will continue to look at Indonesia, South Africa, Australia and newer destinations like Mozambique and Columbia. But these sources also have constraints, domestic demands in South Africa is likely to restrict quantum jump in exports out of South Africa. Indonesia has also proposed domestic market obligations. Mozambique may have infrastructure constraints for large volumes of coal being transported from Tete province to ports of Maputo, Ncala or Beira. Australian coal is of high quality but may have higher costs of mining and transport.
What would be the additional cost if Indian consumers switch their sourcing origin from Indonesia?
Indonesia has competitive advantage due to its geographical closeness. However, on a per tonne basis, assuming comparable quality, costs of transport may make marginal difference when compared with South Africa and Mozambique.
When compared to Australian coal, due to the high quality, cost of energy may well be comparable even though shipping costs are higher. Between Indonesian coal (5500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 90 per tonne) and Australian coal (6500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 120 per tonne), indicative variable cost difference of power generation may be about Indian Rupees 0.20 to 0.30 per kWh (electricity unit) in favor of Indonesian coal.
Will it affect Indian economy growth or this coal export ban is ignorable as India can easily identify alternative sources of fuel?
The magnitude of growth in power generation in India will necessarily mean that coal will remain the mainstay. Natural gas has had issues of availability. Nuclear plant development is facing socio-political challenge in view of the risks of technology failure. Development of hydel power has also faced issues of land acquisition, rehabilitation & resettlement apart from the technical issues of hydro-geological features. Renewable sources such as solar and wind generation are still projected to constitute a small portion of India power generation mix. Identifying an alternative source that can match coal in its accessibility, availability and affordability in the context of scale of capacity addition required in India is a challenge.
What is the Indian government's role on this issue, whether government has to come out with the solution such as easing Indian mining and environment law, open up mining for foreigners, G2G arrangement, etc…?
There is a need to look at domestic sources with pro-active and constructive approach and make all necessary legal and statutory amendments that make the resources available and mineable. Easing the regulations may not be one of such measures but making those regulations work in sync with each other in a time bound and predictable manner must certainly be.
There is certainly a case for opening the domestic coal sector for private participation, including independent miners, and for foreign participation so that newer technology and enhanced scale of operations are implemented in India. The regulation also needs to permit risk capital to come in for prospecting and exploration.
For imports the G2G relations can be leveraged to secure coal assets. India has good relationship with Indonesia and has also signed a tax treaty with Mozambique in 2010 which will facilitate investments. Government may also engage with these countries to ease exports to India and extend fiscal support to coal mining companies investing in mining and associated infrastructure development.
About Dipesh Dipu
Dipesh Dipu works as Director with Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu India Pvt. Ltd in the Energy and Resources consulting practice of the firm and anchors the Firm’s initiative in the mining and metals sectors.
He is a mining engineering graduate from Indian School of Mines and is a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA). He has also done executive program in business management from Indian Institute of Management Calcutta. Dipesh has recently been awarded the Abheraj Baldota Gold Medal for the Young Mining Engineer of the Year 2007 by the Mining Engineers’ Association of India in recognition of his contributions in the improvement of mining industry in India.
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Tuesday, 25 January 11
DRY BULK RATES CONTINUED TO TUMBLE LAST WEEK - BRS
With weather-related problems affecting the short-term outlook, and new building deliveries the longer-term picture, dry bulk rates continued to tum ...
Tuesday, 25 January 11
R-POWER TO INVEST $5BN IN INDONESIA - THE TIMES OF INDIA
The Times of India reported that, In what is being seen as one of the largest foreign investments in Indonesia, Reliance Power will infuse $5 billio ...
Monday, 24 January 11
GOVT PROMISES COAL FOR PLN DESPITE PRICE SPIKES - THE JAKARTA POST
The Jakarta Post reported that, the government says state electricity company PT PLN will receive enough coal to fire its power plants, despite pric ...
Monday, 24 January 11
DRY BULK MARKETS DOWNTURN SEES NO RELIEF - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING
The dry bulk market has kept falling for yet another week, with the industry’s benchmark, the Baltic Dry Index (BDI) losing an additional 4.79 ...
Sunday, 23 January 11
THE AVERAGE CHARTER RATE FOR CAPE SIZE VESSELS WAS AT $ 8,859 PD ALMOST CLOSE TO 2008 LOWS - VISTAAR
COALspot.com - The BDI continues to drop and saw a drop of about 5 pct this week closing at 1,370 points. “ In May 2010 the BDI touched ...
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- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Planning Commission, India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- PTC India Limited - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
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