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Tuesday, 06 September 11
INDONESIAS PROPOSED COAL EXPORT BAN MAY HAVE IMPACT ON THE INDIAN POWER SECTOR - DIPESH DIPU
COALspot.com - This is a special interview about Indonesian proposed coal export ban by 2014, with Mr. Dipesh Dipu, Director of Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu, India.
The Indonesian government is currently in the process of drafting a new regulation that could ban the export of low-grade coal by January 12, 2014. This is likely to apply to coal below 5700 kcal/kg on air dried basis in value.
As of now Indonesia is producing around 150 million tons of coal with calorific value below 5700 GAD (according to chairman of Indonesian coal mining association). However by 2014, there are possibilities the total production of below 5700 GAD coal may reach more than 200 million per annum.
Will Indonesian coal export ban impact on the Indian fuel requirements?
The earlier grade of coal that was being considered for proposed ban has GCV of 5100 kcal/kg of less (adb), which can be comparable to 3800-4200 kcal/kg (arb) domestic coal available in India. This grade of coal has found favor in India primarily due to likely price advantage but economics of power generation based on such grade of imported coal may be a suspect. This considering that such grades of coal from Indonesia typically have high moisture content, which makes transportation cost per unit of energy generated higher. The quantum of the low grade of coal (<5100 kcal/kg adb) procured from Indonesia is likely to remain relatively low.
However, if the new definition of low grade coal is applied (<5700 kcal/kg adb), it may be reasonable to believe that such a ban may have impact on the Indian power sector as volumes in this grade of coal are expected to rise in the proportion of coal exports to India. Several of the acquisitions made by Indian power generation companies in Indonesia have been in coal blocks that will produce coal of this grade, and a blanket ban on the exports can jeopardize power plant development in India.
On the other hand, the domestic Indonesian market may not be prepared to consume all the coal mined of this grade in view of the power generation capacity addition plans in Indonesia. In such a case, the coal mine development is likely to be deferred. The Indonesian law makers may need to reconsider domestic market demand, investment climate in coal sector and impact of the legislation on the export revenues.
What is the alternative source for Indian power industry if the proposed coal export ban come into effect by 2014?
Indian power generation companies have been forced to look out for coal assets abroad due to the investment and regulatory environment within the country. India boasts of more than 110 billion tonnes of coal reserves, which largely fall within a 300 meters of depth. If the regulatory and investment environment is amended to allow greater participation of private sector Indian dependence on imports will be reduced.
However, for imports, India will continue to look at Indonesia, South Africa, Australia and newer destinations like Mozambique and Columbia. But these sources also have constraints, domestic demands in South Africa is likely to restrict quantum jump in exports out of South Africa. Indonesia has also proposed domestic market obligations. Mozambique may have infrastructure constraints for large volumes of coal being transported from Tete province to ports of Maputo, Ncala or Beira. Australian coal is of high quality but may have higher costs of mining and transport.
What would be the additional cost if Indian consumers switch their sourcing origin from Indonesia?
Indonesia has competitive advantage due to its geographical closeness. However, on a per tonne basis, assuming comparable quality, costs of transport may make marginal difference when compared with South Africa and Mozambique.
When compared to Australian coal, due to the high quality, cost of energy may well be comparable even though shipping costs are higher. Between Indonesian coal (5500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 90 per tonne) and Australian coal (6500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 120 per tonne), indicative variable cost difference of power generation may be about Indian Rupees 0.20 to 0.30 per kWh (electricity unit) in favor of Indonesian coal.
Will it affect Indian economy growth or this coal export ban is ignorable as India can easily identify alternative sources of fuel?
The magnitude of growth in power generation in India will necessarily mean that coal will remain the mainstay. Natural gas has had issues of availability. Nuclear plant development is facing socio-political challenge in view of the risks of technology failure. Development of hydel power has also faced issues of land acquisition, rehabilitation & resettlement apart from the technical issues of hydro-geological features. Renewable sources such as solar and wind generation are still projected to constitute a small portion of India power generation mix. Identifying an alternative source that can match coal in its accessibility, availability and affordability in the context of scale of capacity addition required in India is a challenge.
What is the Indian government's role on this issue, whether government has to come out with the solution such as easing Indian mining and environment law, open up mining for foreigners, G2G arrangement, etc…?
There is a need to look at domestic sources with pro-active and constructive approach and make all necessary legal and statutory amendments that make the resources available and mineable. Easing the regulations may not be one of such measures but making those regulations work in sync with each other in a time bound and predictable manner must certainly be.
There is certainly a case for opening the domestic coal sector for private participation, including independent miners, and for foreign participation so that newer technology and enhanced scale of operations are implemented in India. The regulation also needs to permit risk capital to come in for prospecting and exploration.
For imports the G2G relations can be leveraged to secure coal assets. India has good relationship with Indonesia and has also signed a tax treaty with Mozambique in 2010 which will facilitate investments. Government may also engage with these countries to ease exports to India and extend fiscal support to coal mining companies investing in mining and associated infrastructure development.
About Dipesh Dipu
Dipesh Dipu works as Director with Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu India Pvt. Ltd in the Energy and Resources consulting practice of the firm and anchors the Firm’s initiative in the mining and metals sectors.
He is a mining engineering graduate from Indian School of Mines and is a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA). He has also done executive program in business management from Indian Institute of Management Calcutta. Dipesh has recently been awarded the Abheraj Baldota Gold Medal for the Young Mining Engineer of the Year 2007 by the Mining Engineers’ Association of India in recognition of his contributions in the improvement of mining industry in India.
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Wednesday, 20 July 11
ANTWERP RECEIVES THE CAPESIZE MG COURAGE
The deepening of the Western Scheldt has made the port of Antwerp easily accessible not only to Ultra Large Container Ships of over 10,000 TEU but a ...
Wednesday, 20 July 11
KALIMANTAN GOLD APPOINTS COMMISSIONER TO SUBSIDIARY
Kalimantan Gold Corporation Limited has announced the appointment of Dr. Bambang Setiawan as Commissioner (a senior advisor) to the Board of PT Kali ...
Wednesday, 20 July 11
CHALLENGER GETS TABANG PROJECT IUP PERMIT
COALspot.com - Challenger Deep Resources Corporation has been getting exploration permit or Izin Usaha Pertambangan (IUP) for its Tabang coal in Eas ...
Wednesday, 20 July 11
TCM COAL PROJECT IN SOUTH KALIMANTAN MOVES TO FINAL FEASIBILITY STUDY
COALspot.com - Pan Asia Corporation Ltd has executed a formal agreement with an underground mining group KOPEX to undertake a final feasibilit ...
Wednesday, 20 July 11
DRY BULK MARKET KEEPS ON FALLING ON SOFTENING CONDITIONS - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING
The dry bulk market retreated to lower ground on Tuesday, as the industry’s benchmark, the BDI (Baltic Dry Index) fell to 1,330 points, down b ...
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- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Australian Coal Association
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- The University of Queensland
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Planning Commission, India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
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