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Tuesday, 06 September 11
INDONESIAS PROPOSED COAL EXPORT BAN MAY HAVE IMPACT ON THE INDIAN POWER SECTOR - DIPESH DIPU
COALspot.com - This is a special interview about Indonesian proposed coal export ban by 2014, with Mr. Dipesh Dipu, Director of Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu, India.
The Indonesian government is currently in the process of drafting a new regulation that could ban the export of low-grade coal by January 12, 2014. This is likely to apply to coal below 5700 kcal/kg on air dried basis in value.
As of now Indonesia is producing around 150 million tons of coal with calorific value below 5700 GAD (according to chairman of Indonesian coal mining association). However by 2014, there are possibilities the total production of below 5700 GAD coal may reach more than 200 million per annum.
Will Indonesian coal export ban impact on the Indian fuel requirements?
The earlier grade of coal that was being considered for proposed ban has GCV of 5100 kcal/kg of less (adb), which can be comparable to 3800-4200 kcal/kg (arb) domestic coal available in India. This grade of coal has found favor in India primarily due to likely price advantage but economics of power generation based on such grade of imported coal may be a suspect. This considering that such grades of coal from Indonesia typically have high moisture content, which makes transportation cost per unit of energy generated higher. The quantum of the low grade of coal (<5100 kcal/kg adb) procured from Indonesia is likely to remain relatively low.
However, if the new definition of low grade coal is applied (<5700 kcal/kg adb), it may be reasonable to believe that such a ban may have impact on the Indian power sector as volumes in this grade of coal are expected to rise in the proportion of coal exports to India. Several of the acquisitions made by Indian power generation companies in Indonesia have been in coal blocks that will produce coal of this grade, and a blanket ban on the exports can jeopardize power plant development in India.
On the other hand, the domestic Indonesian market may not be prepared to consume all the coal mined of this grade in view of the power generation capacity addition plans in Indonesia. In such a case, the coal mine development is likely to be deferred. The Indonesian law makers may need to reconsider domestic market demand, investment climate in coal sector and impact of the legislation on the export revenues.
What is the alternative source for Indian power industry if the proposed coal export ban come into effect by 2014?
Indian power generation companies have been forced to look out for coal assets abroad due to the investment and regulatory environment within the country. India boasts of more than 110 billion tonnes of coal reserves, which largely fall within a 300 meters of depth. If the regulatory and investment environment is amended to allow greater participation of private sector Indian dependence on imports will be reduced.
However, for imports, India will continue to look at Indonesia, South Africa, Australia and newer destinations like Mozambique and Columbia. But these sources also have constraints, domestic demands in South Africa is likely to restrict quantum jump in exports out of South Africa. Indonesia has also proposed domestic market obligations. Mozambique may have infrastructure constraints for large volumes of coal being transported from Tete province to ports of Maputo, Ncala or Beira. Australian coal is of high quality but may have higher costs of mining and transport.
What would be the additional cost if Indian consumers switch their sourcing origin from Indonesia?
Indonesia has competitive advantage due to its geographical closeness. However, on a per tonne basis, assuming comparable quality, costs of transport may make marginal difference when compared with South Africa and Mozambique.
When compared to Australian coal, due to the high quality, cost of energy may well be comparable even though shipping costs are higher. Between Indonesian coal (5500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 90 per tonne) and Australian coal (6500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 120 per tonne), indicative variable cost difference of power generation may be about Indian Rupees 0.20 to 0.30 per kWh (electricity unit) in favor of Indonesian coal.
Will it affect Indian economy growth or this coal export ban is ignorable as India can easily identify alternative sources of fuel?
The magnitude of growth in power generation in India will necessarily mean that coal will remain the mainstay. Natural gas has had issues of availability. Nuclear plant development is facing socio-political challenge in view of the risks of technology failure. Development of hydel power has also faced issues of land acquisition, rehabilitation & resettlement apart from the technical issues of hydro-geological features. Renewable sources such as solar and wind generation are still projected to constitute a small portion of India power generation mix. Identifying an alternative source that can match coal in its accessibility, availability and affordability in the context of scale of capacity addition required in India is a challenge.
What is the Indian government's role on this issue, whether government has to come out with the solution such as easing Indian mining and environment law, open up mining for foreigners, G2G arrangement, etc…?
There is a need to look at domestic sources with pro-active and constructive approach and make all necessary legal and statutory amendments that make the resources available and mineable. Easing the regulations may not be one of such measures but making those regulations work in sync with each other in a time bound and predictable manner must certainly be.
There is certainly a case for opening the domestic coal sector for private participation, including independent miners, and for foreign participation so that newer technology and enhanced scale of operations are implemented in India. The regulation also needs to permit risk capital to come in for prospecting and exploration.
For imports the G2G relations can be leveraged to secure coal assets. India has good relationship with Indonesia and has also signed a tax treaty with Mozambique in 2010 which will facilitate investments. Government may also engage with these countries to ease exports to India and extend fiscal support to coal mining companies investing in mining and associated infrastructure development.
About Dipesh Dipu
Dipesh Dipu works as Director with Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu India Pvt. Ltd in the Energy and Resources consulting practice of the firm and anchors the Firm’s initiative in the mining and metals sectors.
He is a mining engineering graduate from Indian School of Mines and is a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA). He has also done executive program in business management from Indian Institute of Management Calcutta. Dipesh has recently been awarded the Abheraj Baldota Gold Medal for the Young Mining Engineer of the Year 2007 by the Mining Engineers’ Association of India in recognition of his contributions in the improvement of mining industry in India.
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Friday, 29 July 11
5300 ADB COAL WILL BE AT US$ 60/TON IN THIS QUARTER - RAIN
COALspot.com - PT Resource Alam Indonesia Tbk (KKGI) seeing the average selling price of its coal for the third quarter of this year will increase t ...
Thursday, 28 July 11
PTBA'S COAL PRICES UP IN H1 2011
COALspot.com - Bukit Asam’s coal prices in the second half of 2011 will expected to be higher than the first half of this year, said Sukrisno, ...
Thursday, 28 July 11
RESOURCE ALAM 1H PROFIT SURGES 208 PERCENT
Indonesia's tenth largest coal miner in term of concessions, PT Resource Alam Indonesia (KKGI), part of Rain Group, today reported a skyrocket net ...
Thursday, 28 July 11
DRY BULK MARKET EDGES FURTHER DOWN ON ADDED PRESSURE - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING
The Baltic Dry Index (BDI), an indicator of dry bulk freight rates has reached new lows this week, with yesterday’s session ending further dow ...
Wednesday, 27 July 11
BLACKSTONE TO INVEST INR 5,000 MILLION (APPRX. US$ 111 MILLION) IN VISA POWER
Press Release - The Blackstone Group (NYSE: BX) today announced that it will be investing INR 5,000 million (c. USD 111 million) in VISA Power ...
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- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Planning Commission, India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- PTC India Limited - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- The University of Queensland
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Australian Coal Association
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
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