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Tuesday, 06 September 11
INDONESIAS PROPOSED COAL EXPORT BAN MAY HAVE IMPACT ON THE INDIAN POWER SECTOR - DIPESH DIPU
COALspot.com - This is a special interview about Indonesian proposed coal export ban by 2014, with Mr. Dipesh Dipu, Director of Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu, India.
The Indonesian government is currently in the process of drafting a new regulation that could ban the export of low-grade coal by January 12, 2014. This is likely to apply to coal below 5700 kcal/kg on air dried basis in value.
As of now Indonesia is producing around 150 million tons of coal with calorific value below 5700 GAD (according to chairman of Indonesian coal mining association). However by 2014, there are possibilities the total production of below 5700 GAD coal may reach more than 200 million per annum.
Will Indonesian coal export ban impact on the Indian fuel requirements?
The earlier grade of coal that was being considered for proposed ban has GCV of 5100 kcal/kg of less (adb), which can be comparable to 3800-4200 kcal/kg (arb) domestic coal available in India. This grade of coal has found favor in India primarily due to likely price advantage but economics of power generation based on such grade of imported coal may be a suspect. This considering that such grades of coal from Indonesia typically have high moisture content, which makes transportation cost per unit of energy generated higher. The quantum of the low grade of coal (<5100 kcal/kg adb) procured from Indonesia is likely to remain relatively low.
However, if the new definition of low grade coal is applied (<5700 kcal/kg adb), it may be reasonable to believe that such a ban may have impact on the Indian power sector as volumes in this grade of coal are expected to rise in the proportion of coal exports to India. Several of the acquisitions made by Indian power generation companies in Indonesia have been in coal blocks that will produce coal of this grade, and a blanket ban on the exports can jeopardize power plant development in India.
On the other hand, the domestic Indonesian market may not be prepared to consume all the coal mined of this grade in view of the power generation capacity addition plans in Indonesia. In such a case, the coal mine development is likely to be deferred. The Indonesian law makers may need to reconsider domestic market demand, investment climate in coal sector and impact of the legislation on the export revenues.
What is the alternative source for Indian power industry if the proposed coal export ban come into effect by 2014?
Indian power generation companies have been forced to look out for coal assets abroad due to the investment and regulatory environment within the country. India boasts of more than 110 billion tonnes of coal reserves, which largely fall within a 300 meters of depth. If the regulatory and investment environment is amended to allow greater participation of private sector Indian dependence on imports will be reduced.
However, for imports, India will continue to look at Indonesia, South Africa, Australia and newer destinations like Mozambique and Columbia. But these sources also have constraints, domestic demands in South Africa is likely to restrict quantum jump in exports out of South Africa. Indonesia has also proposed domestic market obligations. Mozambique may have infrastructure constraints for large volumes of coal being transported from Tete province to ports of Maputo, Ncala or Beira. Australian coal is of high quality but may have higher costs of mining and transport.
What would be the additional cost if Indian consumers switch their sourcing origin from Indonesia?
Indonesia has competitive advantage due to its geographical closeness. However, on a per tonne basis, assuming comparable quality, costs of transport may make marginal difference when compared with South Africa and Mozambique.
When compared to Australian coal, due to the high quality, cost of energy may well be comparable even though shipping costs are higher. Between Indonesian coal (5500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 90 per tonne) and Australian coal (6500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 120 per tonne), indicative variable cost difference of power generation may be about Indian Rupees 0.20 to 0.30 per kWh (electricity unit) in favor of Indonesian coal.
Will it affect Indian economy growth or this coal export ban is ignorable as India can easily identify alternative sources of fuel?
The magnitude of growth in power generation in India will necessarily mean that coal will remain the mainstay. Natural gas has had issues of availability. Nuclear plant development is facing socio-political challenge in view of the risks of technology failure. Development of hydel power has also faced issues of land acquisition, rehabilitation & resettlement apart from the technical issues of hydro-geological features. Renewable sources such as solar and wind generation are still projected to constitute a small portion of India power generation mix. Identifying an alternative source that can match coal in its accessibility, availability and affordability in the context of scale of capacity addition required in India is a challenge.
What is the Indian government's role on this issue, whether government has to come out with the solution such as easing Indian mining and environment law, open up mining for foreigners, G2G arrangement, etc…?
There is a need to look at domestic sources with pro-active and constructive approach and make all necessary legal and statutory amendments that make the resources available and mineable. Easing the regulations may not be one of such measures but making those regulations work in sync with each other in a time bound and predictable manner must certainly be.
There is certainly a case for opening the domestic coal sector for private participation, including independent miners, and for foreign participation so that newer technology and enhanced scale of operations are implemented in India. The regulation also needs to permit risk capital to come in for prospecting and exploration.
For imports the G2G relations can be leveraged to secure coal assets. India has good relationship with Indonesia and has also signed a tax treaty with Mozambique in 2010 which will facilitate investments. Government may also engage with these countries to ease exports to India and extend fiscal support to coal mining companies investing in mining and associated infrastructure development.
About Dipesh Dipu
Dipesh Dipu works as Director with Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu India Pvt. Ltd in the Energy and Resources consulting practice of the firm and anchors the Firm’s initiative in the mining and metals sectors.
He is a mining engineering graduate from Indian School of Mines and is a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA). He has also done executive program in business management from Indian Institute of Management Calcutta. Dipesh has recently been awarded the Abheraj Baldota Gold Medal for the Young Mining Engineer of the Year 2007 by the Mining Engineers’ Association of India in recognition of his contributions in the improvement of mining industry in India.
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Tuesday, 09 August 11
DRY BULK MARKET UNABLE TO FIND UPWARD MOMENTUM, SLUMPS AGAIN - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING
They same that what goes up must come down and nobody seems to have found a better application of this expression, than the beleguered dry bulk mark ...
Monday, 08 August 11
OIL PRICES ARE SOFTENING, WILL IT INFLUENCE COAL PRICES?
COALspot.com - The current global economic condition is in volatility after a little chance of optimism for economic recovery.
Oil price at ...
Monday, 08 August 11
A SUPRAMAX VESSEL WAS REPORTED FIXED AT $ 12K - VISTAAR
COALspot.com - The BDI was slightly up by about 4 points closed at 1268 points which was supported by cape index which was up 3.14 pct and closed at ...
Saturday, 06 August 11
NTPC IS CONSIDERING TO ENTER INTO 25 YEARS COAL PURCHASE AGREEMENT
Indian, State-run power producer NTPC's present annual consumption is 164 million tonnes, and company is considering long-term agreements abroad to ...
Friday, 05 August 11
RIO TINTO SIGNS MOU WITH JINDAL STEEL AND POWER ON ADVANCING HISMELT TECHNOLOGY
Press Release - Rio Tinto has signed a Memorandum of Understanding (MoU) with Jindal Steel and Power Limited (JSPL) to take the next step in g ...
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- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- PTC India Limited - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Australian Coal Association
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
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