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Tuesday, 06 September 11
INDONESIAS PROPOSED COAL EXPORT BAN MAY HAVE IMPACT ON THE INDIAN POWER SECTOR - DIPESH DIPU
COALspot.com - This is a special interview about Indonesian proposed coal export ban by 2014, with Mr. Dipesh Dipu, Director of Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu, India.
The Indonesian government is currently in the process of drafting a new regulation that could ban the export of low-grade coal by January 12, 2014. This is likely to apply to coal below 5700 kcal/kg on air dried basis in value.
As of now Indonesia is producing around 150 million tons of coal with calorific value below 5700 GAD (according to chairman of Indonesian coal mining association). However by 2014, there are possibilities the total production of below 5700 GAD coal may reach more than 200 million per annum.
Will Indonesian coal export ban impact on the Indian fuel requirements?
The earlier grade of coal that was being considered for proposed ban has GCV of 5100 kcal/kg of less (adb), which can be comparable to 3800-4200 kcal/kg (arb) domestic coal available in India. This grade of coal has found favor in India primarily due to likely price advantage but economics of power generation based on such grade of imported coal may be a suspect. This considering that such grades of coal from Indonesia typically have high moisture content, which makes transportation cost per unit of energy generated higher. The quantum of the low grade of coal (<5100 kcal/kg adb) procured from Indonesia is likely to remain relatively low.
However, if the new definition of low grade coal is applied (<5700 kcal/kg adb), it may be reasonable to believe that such a ban may have impact on the Indian power sector as volumes in this grade of coal are expected to rise in the proportion of coal exports to India. Several of the acquisitions made by Indian power generation companies in Indonesia have been in coal blocks that will produce coal of this grade, and a blanket ban on the exports can jeopardize power plant development in India.
On the other hand, the domestic Indonesian market may not be prepared to consume all the coal mined of this grade in view of the power generation capacity addition plans in Indonesia. In such a case, the coal mine development is likely to be deferred. The Indonesian law makers may need to reconsider domestic market demand, investment climate in coal sector and impact of the legislation on the export revenues.
What is the alternative source for Indian power industry if the proposed coal export ban come into effect by 2014?
Indian power generation companies have been forced to look out for coal assets abroad due to the investment and regulatory environment within the country. India boasts of more than 110 billion tonnes of coal reserves, which largely fall within a 300 meters of depth. If the regulatory and investment environment is amended to allow greater participation of private sector Indian dependence on imports will be reduced.
However, for imports, India will continue to look at Indonesia, South Africa, Australia and newer destinations like Mozambique and Columbia. But these sources also have constraints, domestic demands in South Africa is likely to restrict quantum jump in exports out of South Africa. Indonesia has also proposed domestic market obligations. Mozambique may have infrastructure constraints for large volumes of coal being transported from Tete province to ports of Maputo, Ncala or Beira. Australian coal is of high quality but may have higher costs of mining and transport.
What would be the additional cost if Indian consumers switch their sourcing origin from Indonesia?
Indonesia has competitive advantage due to its geographical closeness. However, on a per tonne basis, assuming comparable quality, costs of transport may make marginal difference when compared with South Africa and Mozambique.
When compared to Australian coal, due to the high quality, cost of energy may well be comparable even though shipping costs are higher. Between Indonesian coal (5500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 90 per tonne) and Australian coal (6500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 120 per tonne), indicative variable cost difference of power generation may be about Indian Rupees 0.20 to 0.30 per kWh (electricity unit) in favor of Indonesian coal.
Will it affect Indian economy growth or this coal export ban is ignorable as India can easily identify alternative sources of fuel?
The magnitude of growth in power generation in India will necessarily mean that coal will remain the mainstay. Natural gas has had issues of availability. Nuclear plant development is facing socio-political challenge in view of the risks of technology failure. Development of hydel power has also faced issues of land acquisition, rehabilitation & resettlement apart from the technical issues of hydro-geological features. Renewable sources such as solar and wind generation are still projected to constitute a small portion of India power generation mix. Identifying an alternative source that can match coal in its accessibility, availability and affordability in the context of scale of capacity addition required in India is a challenge.
What is the Indian government's role on this issue, whether government has to come out with the solution such as easing Indian mining and environment law, open up mining for foreigners, G2G arrangement, etc…?
There is a need to look at domestic sources with pro-active and constructive approach and make all necessary legal and statutory amendments that make the resources available and mineable. Easing the regulations may not be one of such measures but making those regulations work in sync with each other in a time bound and predictable manner must certainly be.
There is certainly a case for opening the domestic coal sector for private participation, including independent miners, and for foreign participation so that newer technology and enhanced scale of operations are implemented in India. The regulation also needs to permit risk capital to come in for prospecting and exploration.
For imports the G2G relations can be leveraged to secure coal assets. India has good relationship with Indonesia and has also signed a tax treaty with Mozambique in 2010 which will facilitate investments. Government may also engage with these countries to ease exports to India and extend fiscal support to coal mining companies investing in mining and associated infrastructure development.
About Dipesh Dipu
Dipesh Dipu works as Director with Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu India Pvt. Ltd in the Energy and Resources consulting practice of the firm and anchors the Firm’s initiative in the mining and metals sectors.
He is a mining engineering graduate from Indian School of Mines and is a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA). He has also done executive program in business management from Indian Institute of Management Calcutta. Dipesh has recently been awarded the Abheraj Baldota Gold Medal for the Young Mining Engineer of the Year 2007 by the Mining Engineers’ Association of India in recognition of his contributions in the improvement of mining industry in India.
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Tuesday, 09 August 11
DRY BULK MARKET UNABLE TO FIND UPWARD MOMENTUM, SLUMPS AGAIN - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING
They same that what goes up must come down and nobody seems to have found a better application of this expression, than the beleguered dry bulk mark ...
Monday, 08 August 11
OIL PRICES ARE SOFTENING, WILL IT INFLUENCE COAL PRICES?
COALspot.com - The current global economic condition is in volatility after a little chance of optimism for economic recovery.
Oil price at ...
Monday, 08 August 11
A SUPRAMAX VESSEL WAS REPORTED FIXED AT $ 12K - VISTAAR
COALspot.com - The BDI was slightly up by about 4 points closed at 1268 points which was supported by cape index which was up 3.14 pct and closed at ...
Saturday, 06 August 11
NTPC IS CONSIDERING TO ENTER INTO 25 YEARS COAL PURCHASE AGREEMENT
Indian, State-run power producer NTPC's present annual consumption is 164 million tonnes, and company is considering long-term agreements abroad to ...
Friday, 05 August 11
RIO TINTO SIGNS MOU WITH JINDAL STEEL AND POWER ON ADVANCING HISMELT TECHNOLOGY
Press Release - Rio Tinto has signed a Memorandum of Understanding (MoU) with Jindal Steel and Power Limited (JSPL) to take the next step in g ...
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- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Australian Coal Association
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- PTC India Limited - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- MS Steel International - UAE
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Planning Commission, India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
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