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Tuesday, 06 September 11
INDONESIAS PROPOSED COAL EXPORT BAN MAY HAVE IMPACT ON THE INDIAN POWER SECTOR - DIPESH DIPU
COALspot.com - This is a special interview about Indonesian proposed coal export ban by 2014, with Mr. Dipesh Dipu, Director of Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu, India.
The Indonesian government is currently in the process of drafting a new regulation that could ban the export of low-grade coal by January 12, 2014. This is likely to apply to coal below 5700 kcal/kg on air dried basis in value.
As of now Indonesia is producing around 150 million tons of coal with calorific value below 5700 GAD (according to chairman of Indonesian coal mining association). However by 2014, there are possibilities the total production of below 5700 GAD coal may reach more than 200 million per annum.
Will Indonesian coal export ban impact on the Indian fuel requirements?
The earlier grade of coal that was being considered for proposed ban has GCV of 5100 kcal/kg of less (adb), which can be comparable to 3800-4200 kcal/kg (arb) domestic coal available in India. This grade of coal has found favor in India primarily due to likely price advantage but economics of power generation based on such grade of imported coal may be a suspect. This considering that such grades of coal from Indonesia typically have high moisture content, which makes transportation cost per unit of energy generated higher. The quantum of the low grade of coal (<5100 kcal/kg adb) procured from Indonesia is likely to remain relatively low.
However, if the new definition of low grade coal is applied (<5700 kcal/kg adb), it may be reasonable to believe that such a ban may have impact on the Indian power sector as volumes in this grade of coal are expected to rise in the proportion of coal exports to India. Several of the acquisitions made by Indian power generation companies in Indonesia have been in coal blocks that will produce coal of this grade, and a blanket ban on the exports can jeopardize power plant development in India.
On the other hand, the domestic Indonesian market may not be prepared to consume all the coal mined of this grade in view of the power generation capacity addition plans in Indonesia. In such a case, the coal mine development is likely to be deferred. The Indonesian law makers may need to reconsider domestic market demand, investment climate in coal sector and impact of the legislation on the export revenues.
What is the alternative source for Indian power industry if the proposed coal export ban come into effect by 2014?
Indian power generation companies have been forced to look out for coal assets abroad due to the investment and regulatory environment within the country. India boasts of more than 110 billion tonnes of coal reserves, which largely fall within a 300 meters of depth. If the regulatory and investment environment is amended to allow greater participation of private sector Indian dependence on imports will be reduced.
However, for imports, India will continue to look at Indonesia, South Africa, Australia and newer destinations like Mozambique and Columbia. But these sources also have constraints, domestic demands in South Africa is likely to restrict quantum jump in exports out of South Africa. Indonesia has also proposed domestic market obligations. Mozambique may have infrastructure constraints for large volumes of coal being transported from Tete province to ports of Maputo, Ncala or Beira. Australian coal is of high quality but may have higher costs of mining and transport.
What would be the additional cost if Indian consumers switch their sourcing origin from Indonesia?
Indonesia has competitive advantage due to its geographical closeness. However, on a per tonne basis, assuming comparable quality, costs of transport may make marginal difference when compared with South Africa and Mozambique.
When compared to Australian coal, due to the high quality, cost of energy may well be comparable even though shipping costs are higher. Between Indonesian coal (5500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 90 per tonne) and Australian coal (6500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 120 per tonne), indicative variable cost difference of power generation may be about Indian Rupees 0.20 to 0.30 per kWh (electricity unit) in favor of Indonesian coal.
Will it affect Indian economy growth or this coal export ban is ignorable as India can easily identify alternative sources of fuel?
The magnitude of growth in power generation in India will necessarily mean that coal will remain the mainstay. Natural gas has had issues of availability. Nuclear plant development is facing socio-political challenge in view of the risks of technology failure. Development of hydel power has also faced issues of land acquisition, rehabilitation & resettlement apart from the technical issues of hydro-geological features. Renewable sources such as solar and wind generation are still projected to constitute a small portion of India power generation mix. Identifying an alternative source that can match coal in its accessibility, availability and affordability in the context of scale of capacity addition required in India is a challenge.
What is the Indian government's role on this issue, whether government has to come out with the solution such as easing Indian mining and environment law, open up mining for foreigners, G2G arrangement, etc…?
There is a need to look at domestic sources with pro-active and constructive approach and make all necessary legal and statutory amendments that make the resources available and mineable. Easing the regulations may not be one of such measures but making those regulations work in sync with each other in a time bound and predictable manner must certainly be.
There is certainly a case for opening the domestic coal sector for private participation, including independent miners, and for foreign participation so that newer technology and enhanced scale of operations are implemented in India. The regulation also needs to permit risk capital to come in for prospecting and exploration.
For imports the G2G relations can be leveraged to secure coal assets. India has good relationship with Indonesia and has also signed a tax treaty with Mozambique in 2010 which will facilitate investments. Government may also engage with these countries to ease exports to India and extend fiscal support to coal mining companies investing in mining and associated infrastructure development.
About Dipesh Dipu
Dipesh Dipu works as Director with Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu India Pvt. Ltd in the Energy and Resources consulting practice of the firm and anchors the Firm’s initiative in the mining and metals sectors.
He is a mining engineering graduate from Indian School of Mines and is a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA). He has also done executive program in business management from Indian Institute of Management Calcutta. Dipesh has recently been awarded the Abheraj Baldota Gold Medal for the Young Mining Engineer of the Year 2007 by the Mining Engineers’ Association of India in recognition of his contributions in the improvement of mining industry in India.
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Saturday, 03 September 11
TNPL TO BUY 240K MT OF NON-COKING COAL
COALspot.com - Tamil Nadu Newsprint and Papers Limited (TNPL), is seeking to procure 240,000 MT +/- 5 percent of non-coking imported coal with ...
Friday, 02 September 11
CAPESIZE DEMAND LIFTS DRY BULK MARKET ONCE AGAIN - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING
In what proves to be the best week of the year for Capesize owners, strong demand has helped propel the dry bulk market to new highs yesterday. The ...
Thursday, 01 September 11
EWP TO BUY 195KT OF VIETNAM COAL
COALspot.com - Korea Midland Power (KOMIPO) has issued an International open bidding for 490kt of sub bituminous coal, according to a bid invitation ...
Thursday, 01 September 11
DRY BULK MARKET TAKES GREAT LEAP FORWARD - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU
In what turned out to be a rather hopeful ending of the month, the last day of August saw the dry bulk market’s benchmark, the BDI (Baltic Dry ...
Tuesday, 30 August 11
FAUJI CEMENT CONSUMED MORE THAN 1 MILLION TONS OF LOCAL COAL
Cooper Minerals Inc.based in Vancouver, BC, Canada, is a junior exploration company engaged in the acquisition, exploration and development of miner ...
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- VISA Power Limited - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- White Energy Company Limited
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- The University of Queensland
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- PTC India Limited - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Australian Coal Association
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
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