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Tuesday, 06 September 11
INDONESIAS PROPOSED COAL EXPORT BAN MAY HAVE IMPACT ON THE INDIAN POWER SECTOR - DIPESH DIPU
COALspot.com - This is a special interview about Indonesian proposed coal export ban by 2014, with Mr. Dipesh Dipu, Director of Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu, India.
The Indonesian government is currently in the process of drafting a new regulation that could ban the export of low-grade coal by January 12, 2014. This is likely to apply to coal below 5700 kcal/kg on air dried basis in value.
As of now Indonesia is producing around 150 million tons of coal with calorific value below 5700 GAD (according to chairman of Indonesian coal mining association). However by 2014, there are possibilities the total production of below 5700 GAD coal may reach more than 200 million per annum.
Will Indonesian coal export ban impact on the Indian fuel requirements?
The earlier grade of coal that was being considered for proposed ban has GCV of 5100 kcal/kg of less (adb), which can be comparable to 3800-4200 kcal/kg (arb) domestic coal available in India. This grade of coal has found favor in India primarily due to likely price advantage but economics of power generation based on such grade of imported coal may be a suspect. This considering that such grades of coal from Indonesia typically have high moisture content, which makes transportation cost per unit of energy generated higher. The quantum of the low grade of coal (<5100 kcal/kg adb) procured from Indonesia is likely to remain relatively low.
However, if the new definition of low grade coal is applied (<5700 kcal/kg adb), it may be reasonable to believe that such a ban may have impact on the Indian power sector as volumes in this grade of coal are expected to rise in the proportion of coal exports to India. Several of the acquisitions made by Indian power generation companies in Indonesia have been in coal blocks that will produce coal of this grade, and a blanket ban on the exports can jeopardize power plant development in India.
On the other hand, the domestic Indonesian market may not be prepared to consume all the coal mined of this grade in view of the power generation capacity addition plans in Indonesia. In such a case, the coal mine development is likely to be deferred. The Indonesian law makers may need to reconsider domestic market demand, investment climate in coal sector and impact of the legislation on the export revenues.
What is the alternative source for Indian power industry if the proposed coal export ban come into effect by 2014?
Indian power generation companies have been forced to look out for coal assets abroad due to the investment and regulatory environment within the country. India boasts of more than 110 billion tonnes of coal reserves, which largely fall within a 300 meters of depth. If the regulatory and investment environment is amended to allow greater participation of private sector Indian dependence on imports will be reduced.
However, for imports, India will continue to look at Indonesia, South Africa, Australia and newer destinations like Mozambique and Columbia. But these sources also have constraints, domestic demands in South Africa is likely to restrict quantum jump in exports out of South Africa. Indonesia has also proposed domestic market obligations. Mozambique may have infrastructure constraints for large volumes of coal being transported from Tete province to ports of Maputo, Ncala or Beira. Australian coal is of high quality but may have higher costs of mining and transport.
What would be the additional cost if Indian consumers switch their sourcing origin from Indonesia?
Indonesia has competitive advantage due to its geographical closeness. However, on a per tonne basis, assuming comparable quality, costs of transport may make marginal difference when compared with South Africa and Mozambique.
When compared to Australian coal, due to the high quality, cost of energy may well be comparable even though shipping costs are higher. Between Indonesian coal (5500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 90 per tonne) and Australian coal (6500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 120 per tonne), indicative variable cost difference of power generation may be about Indian Rupees 0.20 to 0.30 per kWh (electricity unit) in favor of Indonesian coal.
Will it affect Indian economy growth or this coal export ban is ignorable as India can easily identify alternative sources of fuel?
The magnitude of growth in power generation in India will necessarily mean that coal will remain the mainstay. Natural gas has had issues of availability. Nuclear plant development is facing socio-political challenge in view of the risks of technology failure. Development of hydel power has also faced issues of land acquisition, rehabilitation & resettlement apart from the technical issues of hydro-geological features. Renewable sources such as solar and wind generation are still projected to constitute a small portion of India power generation mix. Identifying an alternative source that can match coal in its accessibility, availability and affordability in the context of scale of capacity addition required in India is a challenge.
What is the Indian government's role on this issue, whether government has to come out with the solution such as easing Indian mining and environment law, open up mining for foreigners, G2G arrangement, etc…?
There is a need to look at domestic sources with pro-active and constructive approach and make all necessary legal and statutory amendments that make the resources available and mineable. Easing the regulations may not be one of such measures but making those regulations work in sync with each other in a time bound and predictable manner must certainly be.
There is certainly a case for opening the domestic coal sector for private participation, including independent miners, and for foreign participation so that newer technology and enhanced scale of operations are implemented in India. The regulation also needs to permit risk capital to come in for prospecting and exploration.
For imports the G2G relations can be leveraged to secure coal assets. India has good relationship with Indonesia and has also signed a tax treaty with Mozambique in 2010 which will facilitate investments. Government may also engage with these countries to ease exports to India and extend fiscal support to coal mining companies investing in mining and associated infrastructure development.
About Dipesh Dipu
Dipesh Dipu works as Director with Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu India Pvt. Ltd in the Energy and Resources consulting practice of the firm and anchors the Firm’s initiative in the mining and metals sectors.
He is a mining engineering graduate from Indian School of Mines and is a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA). He has also done executive program in business management from Indian Institute of Management Calcutta. Dipesh has recently been awarded the Abheraj Baldota Gold Medal for the Young Mining Engineer of the Year 2007 by the Mining Engineers’ Association of India in recognition of his contributions in the improvement of mining industry in India.
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Friday, 30 September 11
MINING BILL CLEARED, FIRMS TO SHARE 26% PROFITS WITH LOCALS - NDTV
NDTV reported that, The Union Cabinet cleared the draft mining bill aimed at regulating mining activities Friday. The bill proposes a profit-sharing ...
Friday, 30 September 11
INDIAN IRON ORE MARKET GETTING ACTIVE - FEARNLEYS AS
Handy
The Atlantic market continued its strong trend with fresh cargoes entering the market. Vessels open US Gulf fixed tick above US$ 27k back to t ...
Friday, 30 September 11
KRISHNAPATNAM PORT WINS GLOBAL PORT & COAL PORT OF THE YEAR AWARDS
COALspot.com - Krishnapatnam Port, a dynamic new generation world class port located in the East Coast of India has been adjudged the winner in the ...
Thursday, 29 September 11
INDONESIA'S MINERS FACE AN UNCERTAIN FUTURE - RUPERT WALKER
An evolving regulatory framework for the country's minerals industry could threaten its profitability and stifle investment.
The five-year surge ...
Thursday, 29 September 11
DRY BULK MARKET FALLS MID-WEEK, FURTHER DROP EXPECTED NEXT WEEK ON CHINA HOLIDAYS - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING
The dry bulk market, as reflected by the Baltic Dry Index (BDI) retreated by 0.36% yesterday reaching 1,920 points, with the Capesize segment suffer ...
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- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Australian Coal Association
- The University of Queensland
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Planning Commission, India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
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