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Tuesday, 06 September 11
INDONESIAS PROPOSED COAL EXPORT BAN MAY HAVE IMPACT ON THE INDIAN POWER SECTOR - DIPESH DIPU
COALspot.com - This is a special interview about Indonesian proposed coal export ban by 2014, with Mr. Dipesh Dipu, Director of Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu, India.
The Indonesian government is currently in the process of drafting a new regulation that could ban the export of low-grade coal by January 12, 2014. This is likely to apply to coal below 5700 kcal/kg on air dried basis in value.
As of now Indonesia is producing around 150 million tons of coal with calorific value below 5700 GAD (according to chairman of Indonesian coal mining association). However by 2014, there are possibilities the total production of below 5700 GAD coal may reach more than 200 million per annum.
Will Indonesian coal export ban impact on the Indian fuel requirements?
The earlier grade of coal that was being considered for proposed ban has GCV of 5100 kcal/kg of less (adb), which can be comparable to 3800-4200 kcal/kg (arb) domestic coal available in India. This grade of coal has found favor in India primarily due to likely price advantage but economics of power generation based on such grade of imported coal may be a suspect. This considering that such grades of coal from Indonesia typically have high moisture content, which makes transportation cost per unit of energy generated higher. The quantum of the low grade of coal (<5100 kcal/kg adb) procured from Indonesia is likely to remain relatively low.
However, if the new definition of low grade coal is applied (<5700 kcal/kg adb), it may be reasonable to believe that such a ban may have impact on the Indian power sector as volumes in this grade of coal are expected to rise in the proportion of coal exports to India. Several of the acquisitions made by Indian power generation companies in Indonesia have been in coal blocks that will produce coal of this grade, and a blanket ban on the exports can jeopardize power plant development in India.
On the other hand, the domestic Indonesian market may not be prepared to consume all the coal mined of this grade in view of the power generation capacity addition plans in Indonesia. In such a case, the coal mine development is likely to be deferred. The Indonesian law makers may need to reconsider domestic market demand, investment climate in coal sector and impact of the legislation on the export revenues.
What is the alternative source for Indian power industry if the proposed coal export ban come into effect by 2014?
Indian power generation companies have been forced to look out for coal assets abroad due to the investment and regulatory environment within the country. India boasts of more than 110 billion tonnes of coal reserves, which largely fall within a 300 meters of depth. If the regulatory and investment environment is amended to allow greater participation of private sector Indian dependence on imports will be reduced.
However, for imports, India will continue to look at Indonesia, South Africa, Australia and newer destinations like Mozambique and Columbia. But these sources also have constraints, domestic demands in South Africa is likely to restrict quantum jump in exports out of South Africa. Indonesia has also proposed domestic market obligations. Mozambique may have infrastructure constraints for large volumes of coal being transported from Tete province to ports of Maputo, Ncala or Beira. Australian coal is of high quality but may have higher costs of mining and transport.
What would be the additional cost if Indian consumers switch their sourcing origin from Indonesia?
Indonesia has competitive advantage due to its geographical closeness. However, on a per tonne basis, assuming comparable quality, costs of transport may make marginal difference when compared with South Africa and Mozambique.
When compared to Australian coal, due to the high quality, cost of energy may well be comparable even though shipping costs are higher. Between Indonesian coal (5500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 90 per tonne) and Australian coal (6500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 120 per tonne), indicative variable cost difference of power generation may be about Indian Rupees 0.20 to 0.30 per kWh (electricity unit) in favor of Indonesian coal.
Will it affect Indian economy growth or this coal export ban is ignorable as India can easily identify alternative sources of fuel?
The magnitude of growth in power generation in India will necessarily mean that coal will remain the mainstay. Natural gas has had issues of availability. Nuclear plant development is facing socio-political challenge in view of the risks of technology failure. Development of hydel power has also faced issues of land acquisition, rehabilitation & resettlement apart from the technical issues of hydro-geological features. Renewable sources such as solar and wind generation are still projected to constitute a small portion of India power generation mix. Identifying an alternative source that can match coal in its accessibility, availability and affordability in the context of scale of capacity addition required in India is a challenge.
What is the Indian government's role on this issue, whether government has to come out with the solution such as easing Indian mining and environment law, open up mining for foreigners, G2G arrangement, etc…?
There is a need to look at domestic sources with pro-active and constructive approach and make all necessary legal and statutory amendments that make the resources available and mineable. Easing the regulations may not be one of such measures but making those regulations work in sync with each other in a time bound and predictable manner must certainly be.
There is certainly a case for opening the domestic coal sector for private participation, including independent miners, and for foreign participation so that newer technology and enhanced scale of operations are implemented in India. The regulation also needs to permit risk capital to come in for prospecting and exploration.
For imports the G2G relations can be leveraged to secure coal assets. India has good relationship with Indonesia and has also signed a tax treaty with Mozambique in 2010 which will facilitate investments. Government may also engage with these countries to ease exports to India and extend fiscal support to coal mining companies investing in mining and associated infrastructure development.
About Dipesh Dipu
Dipesh Dipu works as Director with Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu India Pvt. Ltd in the Energy and Resources consulting practice of the firm and anchors the Firm’s initiative in the mining and metals sectors.
He is a mining engineering graduate from Indian School of Mines and is a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA). He has also done executive program in business management from Indian Institute of Management Calcutta. Dipesh has recently been awarded the Abheraj Baldota Gold Medal for the Young Mining Engineer of the Year 2007 by the Mining Engineers’ Association of India in recognition of his contributions in the improvement of mining industry in India.
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Tuesday, 01 November 11
ATLAS RESOURCES SETS IPO AT RP1,500 - INSIDER STORIES
Insider Stories reported that, coal miner PT Atlas Resources Tbk has set its initial public offering (IPO) at Rp1,500 (approximately US$ 0.169) per ...
Tuesday, 01 November 11
DRY BULK MARKETS CORRECTION SPILLS OVER ONTO NEW WEEK - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING
The dry bulk market is losing steam, as evidenced by the falls experienced last week, which were also apparent at the beginning of the new week. A l ...
Monday, 31 October 11
CHINAS HUNGER FOR INDONESIAN COAL AT THREE YEAR-HIGH AS WINTER NEARS - JOSEPH KIRSCHKE
COALspot.com - Chinese demand for power-station coal from Indonesia has soared to its highest level in three years, as central heating plants and po ...
Saturday, 29 October 11
ATLAS RESOURCES SEALS US$95 MIO LOAN - INSIDER STORIES
Insider Stories reported that, coal producer PT Atlas Resources Tbk, that is controlled by Indonesian businessman Andre Abdi, has secured US$95 mill ...
Saturday, 29 October 11
INDONESIA TO INDIA FREIGHT LIKELY TO REMAIN SOFT
COALspot.com - The market continued to slow down and all segment were down this week.
The biggest drop was in the Cape Index down by 8.19 pct&nbs ...
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- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Economic Council, Georgia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Planning Commission, India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- The University of Queensland
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Australian Coal Association
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- PTC India Limited - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
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