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Thursday, 28 July 11
DRY BULK MARKET EDGES FURTHER DOWN ON ADDED PRESSURE - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING


The Baltic Dry Index (BDI), an indicator of dry bulk freight rates has reached new lows this week, with yesterday’s session ending further down by 1.07% to 1,296 points. Once again the Capesize segment posted the biggest losses, with the Baltic Capesize Index down by 0.88% to 1,800 points. On a similar note, the Panamax market was down by 0.39% ending at 1,532 points, while marginal losses were also recorded on the Supramax segment, which retreated by 0.08% to 1,265 points.

Referring on the Capesize market, the latest weekly report from shipbroker Fearnley’s said that “summer doldrums prevailing, with limited volumes traded and levels softening slowly. Atlantic being dull and without much direction - a softer USD 11,500 done for transatlantic round on nice 181kdwt/built 2010 and the Tubarao/Qingdao fronthaul conference trade hovering around an uninspiring USD 19.25/19.50 pmt. Pacific spot also suffering from a similar lack of fresh volumes, with the main climate indicator trade Dampier/Qingdao remaining stuck in the dismal USD 7.75/7.85 pmt-region. Little joy is expected short-term, as the number of ballasters heading west remains steady and possibly increasing. Period activity very limited, partly due to major players being absent - representative conclusions include 169kdwt/blt 2010 done for 5-8 months at around USD 11,400/day basis prompt China delivery” it said.

In a similar report earlier in the week, shipbroker Shiptrade Services had mentioned that it was a soft week with rates dropping in both basins. “In the Atlantic region cargoes were thin with plenty of tonnage available. During mid-week we saw a short enquiry increase for Transatlantic round that improved rates just a bit, but soon levels dropped again at around USD 12.250 per day. In this respect the Brazil – China route moved the same way and at levels concluded around USD 19.30 pmt. In the Pacific, market remained at steady activity, but rates softened just a bit as iron ore majors were not eager for tonnage. Owners had to discount, and at week’s closing the Australia – China trade was concluded at levels around USD 7.85 - 7.95 pmt” said Shiptrade Services. Meanwhile, quoted by a Reuters story, Mr. George Lazaridis head of research of shipbroker Intermodal said that "we have seen a drop in activity especially from iron ore cargo, mainly due to drop in demand compared with about four weeks ago.”

On the Panamax front, Fearnley’s said that “the Panamax market had a slow start to the week with little business being reported. Seems there are more cargoes in the market, however some owners seem reluctant to fix at current levels. The period market has been nonexisting.

Vessels being fixed for Tarvs are now getting tick above USD 14k while the fronthauls are being fixed in region of USD 21k. In the Pacific we see a slight rate increase compared to last week with rounds being fixed at USD 8,600 while backhauls are being fixed at a poor USD 4k” the shipbroker said.

Shiptrade’s view on the Panamax market was the following: “Activity was steady but rates moved downwards. There was a good activity in the Atlantic but rates softened as an effect from the ballasters coming from the pacific. Rates for Transatlantic round began from USD 16.000 per day during early week, and eventually concluded at USD 14.000 per day. On the Fronthaul trade, there were not many owners willing to sail towards Far East, so levels ex Continent/Mediterranean remained at the same levels, around USD 22.000 per day, while the ECSA/F.EAST trade, concluded at levels around USD 24.000 plus USD 450.000 ballast bonus. In the Pacific we could still see a high volume of tonnage, combined with no increase on the requirements. Indonesia cargoes to India remained at a steady flow, but many Owners consider this as a last option. Rates for Pacific round were done around USD 8.000-8.500 per day basis N. China delivery, while rates for trips ex NOPAC moved upwards at levels around USD 9.750 per day basis delivery N.China/Japan range. (M/V Ellivita 75.522/99’)” said Shiptrade Services.

As for the smaller Handy market Fearnleys’ report mentioned that “the Atlantic is soft across all segments with little fresh enquiry and tonnage piling up with rates in mid 20´s for Supras back to Feast via Aden. Black Sea is ´dead´ and mainly supported by the odd grain cargo. Most tonnage prefers to stay in Atlantic thus there is more and more ballasters competing at Gibraltar. Same situation on the Continent where tonnage is struggling to find good business. Outlook: soft. The Pacific remains quiet with not much change. For Indo-India, Supras in south China are getting close to 12k. Nickelore rounds are getting firm rates in low mid-teens. Very quiet on iron ore front due to monsoons as WCI-China rates slided to 10k and from ECI around 9k. RBCT biz fixed on ECI tonnage around 10k. Red Sea, ferts on handymax/Supras are fixed at very mid 20´s pmt on voyage basis to WC India. Period deals done at 12k for large Supras” it concluded.
Source: Nikos Roussanoglou, Hellenic Shipping



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