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Monday, 11 July 11
REFLECTIONS ON THE FLEET REACHING ONE BILLION TONNES - CLARKSONS / HELLENIC SHIPPING
“A billion gross tonnes of shipping” has a nice ring to it. It presents the industry as a business of substance, with its 85,000 ships worth almost $1 trillion. So the news that on 1st July 2011 the world merchant fleet passed this important milestone deserves a little reflection on where we have come from and where we are going.
55 Years of Change
The last anniversary of this sort was in 1955 when the fleet reached 100 million gross tons. But today’s fleet is very different. Of course it has grown tenfold, averaging 4.2% per year, but back in 1955 shipping was also very different. Liners and tramps dominated cargo and the premium cargo was people. Fifty six years and 100,000+ investment decisions later everything has changed. Air liners replaced passenger liners; containerships replaced cargo liners and bulkers replaced tramps. Only tankers survived and they are much bigger.
Investment Roller-Coaster
Although this sounds like neat strategic development, for shipping investors it was a nightmare because the growth path was unbelievably volatile. Business started with a surge of growth - between 1955 and 1975 the growth rate accelerated from 4% to 10.2% as investors queued up to order super-tankers and bulkers, funded by the emerging Eurodollar market. That phase peaked in 1975 and by 1985 growth had slumped to -1%. Then it all started again, with growth surging to 8+% in 2010. Part of this volatility was caused by fluctuations in trade growth which was very fast (8%pa) in the run up to the 1975 peak, then grew by just 1% pa in the 1980s and by around 3% since then. But fleet growth was supercharged by investor’s enthusiasm for playing the market using easy Eurodollar finance.
Productivity Puzzle
One surprising lesson from all this is that, despite the chaotic boom and bust environment, the industry was very successful in delivering the new technology which the globalising world economy needed - a state-of-the-art fleet of tankers, bulk carriers and containerships, all carefully graduated in size to meet the complex needs of the modern trading world for cheap sea transport. Another surprise is that the fleet’s transport “productivity” did not increase very much. In 1955 100m GT transported 820mt of cargo, about 8.2t per GT. Today 1 billion GT delivers around 8.4bn tons of cargo, an average of 8.4t per GT.
A Job Well Done
So there you have it. Shipping cycles are about getting the right ships for the trade, at the cheapest freight rates. After 100,000 angst ridden investment decisions shipping investors have really delivered the goods - a billion tons of ships, tailored to the complex needs of the modern global economy, and super low freight rates. On which note, an extra pat on the back to Capesize owners who are doing such a splendid job today, regardless of cost.
Have a nice day.
Source: Clarksons / Hellenic Shipping
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Tuesday, 26 April 11
NTPC CALLS TENDER FOR 4 MLN TON OF NON-COKING COAL
COALspot.com - NTPC Limited, incorporated in 1975 as a public sector company wholly owned by Government of India, is the largest thermal power gener ...
Monday, 25 April 11
THE FUTURES FOR THREE YEARS WAS AT AROUND PANAMAX/US$ 14,000 PER DAY & SUPRAMAX/US$ 14,000 PER DAY - VISTAAR
COALspot.com - The freight market continued to soften further with all segments down except for the handy size which was marginally up by 10 points. ...
Saturday, 23 April 11
GUPTA COAL TO BAG ONE MILLION TONS OF COAL SUPPLY ORDER FROM KPCL AT AROUND US$ 127.53 PMT
COALspot.com - Karnataka Power Corporation (KPCL), a state utility of Karnataka, India has secured its one million tons of thermal coal with c ...
Saturday, 23 April 11
STRAITS ASIA SETS 11.5 MIO TONS OUTPUT - INSIDER STORIES
Insider Stories reported that, Singapore-listed Straits Asia Resources Limited plans to jack up its coal output target of 8.5% to 11.5 million tons ...
Friday, 22 April 11
DRY BULK MARKET KEEPS FALLING, NOW AT TWO-MONTH LOWS - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING
The dry bulk market seems unable at the moment to recover from the weight of newbuilding deliveries, resulting in too many ships competing for fewer ...
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- PTC India Limited - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Australian Coal Association
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- White Energy Company Limited
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Planning Commission, India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- The University of Queensland
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
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